Today’s Crystal Ball prize goes to …

Our hat’s off to Framer over at Arizona 8th for calling it back in May of 2007.


  1. Kralmajales says

    I think that Thompson raised expectations way too high with is “flirting” to run and “draft him” movement. All the talk in the spring made him out to be some kind of savior of the party, if only he would run. Then…he ran and it was like crickets. This is one idea of why his campaign failed but the bigger one is below.

    I think that waiting too long just plain killed him. There was debate after debate early in the spring for the GOP where they were able to say who they were, get their message out, and let people get to know them. People had already started to hang their hats on a candidate and it left only some who didn’t like the candidates and some undecideds left to a) give him money, b) vote for him and c) volunteer. Not the way to run a campaign.

    Now…I could go on at length about Giuliani’s crazy as hell strategy to keep skipping primaries and caucuses until he found one that he liked and benefitted him. In a sense, the same reasoning above applies to Giuliani…as the primaries go on, people give money, get excited, and choose other candidates. Those who are in his corner have to keep being told to “wait until you see us in Florida”. That starts ringing little hollow after 4, 5, and 6 place showings.

    Anyhoo…my 2 cents.

  2. nightcrawler says

    No surprise here. It was the right thing to do. The real question is who does Fred’s departure help the most? I believe it will be Mitt Romney.

    As long as Huckabee hangs around he will poach votes from McCain in the primaries.

  3. And then there were four…

  4. Five

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