Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan: Arizona General Election Results Now Official

azsos-reagan

Secretary of State, AG and Chief Justice certify results

Phoenix, AZ – Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan today issued the official canvass of results for the 2016 General Election.  The Secretary was joined by Attorney General Mark Brnovich and Chief Justice Scott Bales for the formal certification.

Secretary Reagan reported 2.6 million Arizonans voted in the general election, making it the highest number of ballots cast in state history.  While there were a historic number of votes, turnout was about average at 74% ranking 6th highest in Arizona history.

1. 1980 – 80.1% Reagan – Carter
2. 2008 – 77.7% Obama – McCain
3. 1992 – 77.2% Clinton – Bush
4. 2004 – 77.1% Bush – Kerry
5. 2012 – 74.4% Obama – Romney
6. 2016 – 74.2% Trump – Clinton

Demographically, women made up 55% of Arizona’s electorate while 18-24 year olds made up 6%.  The average age of the Arizona voter is 55.

Early balloting continues to grow and the rising number of provisional ballots has finally been stopped.  The general election saw 73% of the electorate vote by early ballot, up from 54% in 2012.  While the number of early voters continues to increase, the issuance of provisional ballots declined by 80,000 since the 2012 general election.

“The reduction of provisional ballots is extremely good news, as it shows us our voter education efforts are working,” said Secretary Reagan.  “In the last three presidential elections, the issuance of provisional ballots had increased every year.  This particular election seems to indicate a new positive trend and I hope it continues.

“Running four statewide elections this year was extremely challenging for election administrators around the state.  Some things went well, and we uncovered a number of things we’d like to improve.  Finally, I’d like to thank our counties for their diligence to process and tabulate ballots as efficiently as they do.  While we will continue to explore options to get to results faster, we will always prioritize accuracy over expediency.”

Read press release online.

You can also view the official election canvass here.

Donald Trump Must Step Aside

Donald Trump

I can no longer hold my tongue.

As a lifelong Republican who believes in a party that is far more principled on economic, international and social issues than the Democrat party, I can no longer diplomatically maneuver through the cesspool that our nominee has created.

Donald Trump must step aside.

Yes, Bill Clinton did some horrible things as President of the United States throughout the 1990’s. Many Americans gave him a second term despite all his liberal social policy positions and personal behavior. (I’m still angry at those who only cared about their wallets and gave Bill a pass when he was leading the charge in the collapse of our moral climate.)

But Bill Clinton is not running for President in 2016.

Don’t get me wrong. I will never vote to return Bill and Hillary Clinton to the White House.

It has now come to the point of full repulsion when trying to defend Donald Trump as the nominee. From all the conversations I’ve had with other lifelong conservative Republicans, I’m not alone.

We’re now 30 days from the General Election and time is running out.

The latest horrifying and disgusting revelations about Donald Trump have doomed the Republican nominee to lose this election, badly.

Trump supporters wanted to “burn the house the down” and now their fire is out of control. Some are even throwing more gasoline on the fire.

Down ballot Republicans are doomed – unless they denounce and distance themselves from the top of the ticket. Even Governor Mike Pence must be in self-preservation mode as he considers his life on Wednesday, November 9th.

I still have a lot of pent-up anger toward Republicans who gave Trump the nomination. Many of my fellow conservatives and I did everything we could to warn voters that nominating Trump would be disastrous to the GOP. We got tired of warning, begging and shouting and shoved that anger deep down inside when he became the nominee.

It’s time for a justified outburst – before it’s too late.

Donald Trump must step aside.

Martha McSally Releases Two New Ads in CD-2

As the General Election approaches, Republican Congresswoman Martha McSally has released two new ads in the race for Arizona’s Second Congressional District.

In her ad, “John Ladd,” longtime southern Arizona rancher, John Ladd, gives his personal testimony why voters should support Col Martha McSally. “[she’s] trying to get the border secured. She brought the first and biggest delegation from Homeland Security down here last year. Nobody ever did that before… She is leading the charge in Washington right now.”

Here’s the video for the ad:

In her second ad, “Helen,” World War II veteran Helen Anderson tells her story of service in the Women Accepted for Volunteer Emergency Service (WAVEs), where she serviced combat planes. Ms. Anderson says she joined the Navy for patriotism. Anderson notes that she is “extremely proud that Martha McSally can represent women veterans and veterans as a whole. It’s not just lip service, it’s actual service. She puts her whole heart and soul into it and that’s the reason I support Martha McSally.”

You can view “Helen” here:

Martha McSally will face off against liberal Democrat Dr. Matt Heinz in the General Election.

Senator Jeff Flake Discusses Donald Trump

This week, Senator Jeff Flake made an appearance on KAET’s Horizon with Ted Simons. The interview was focused on the presidential candidacy and campaign of Donald Trump.

It’s no secret that Senator Flake has serious reservations, like many Republicans, about supporting Donald Trump.

Watch as Senator Flake shares his views on Donald Trump.

Mormon Voters Really Don’t Like Donald Trump. Here’s Why.

An interesting read by BuzzFeed’s McKay Coppins on the relationship between Utah’s LDS population and the Trump campaign. Given Arizona’s active LDS population does that same sentiment translate here?

It’s not just Mitt Romney.

By McKay Coppins

Speaking before one of his smallest crowds this campaign season, Donald Trump declared Friday night at a rally in Salt Lake City that he loves the Mormons.

The feeling does not appear to be mutual.

So far in 2016, members of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints have proven to be one of the most stubbornly anti-Trump constituencies in the Republican Party — a dynamic that will likely manifest itself in Utah’s presidential caucuses next week.

National polling data focused on Mormons voters is hard to come by, but the election results speak for themselves. Even as Trump has steamrolled his way through the GOP primaries, he has repeatedly been trounced in places with large LDS populations.

(Continue reading at BuzzFeed)

Sean Noble: Trump, the greatest hoax played on the American people

Here is a great assessment by my political consultant peer Sean Noble regarding the current state of the Republican Party and what is driving the Trump faction in the GOP.

Sean recently appeared on Carey Peña Reports which is available on iTunes podcasts.

Although the interview was recorded on this last Tuesday with the prediction that Marco Rubio would mount a comeback in Florida, the rest of the assessment is spot on when it comes to what is driving the frenzy around Trump and how it will redefine or even destroy the Republican party.

I agree with Sean on this assessment and its one of the reasons why I cannot sit back and allow the GOP to be hijacked out of emotion and without a good dose of critical thinking.

Another point I agree with Sean on is that it is only about 20-25% of the population that is driving the Trump movement – a very loud and angry vocal minority.

Here’s the interview and be sure to subscribe to Carey Peña Reports via Inspired Media 360 available on iTunes.

 

POLL: Donald Trump Defies Political Gravity In Arizona

Republicans Jazzed About Tomorrow’s Debate

(Phoenix, AZ) — MBQF, a public affairs consulting firm, announced the results of a recent survey concerning top tier GOP candidates for president of the United States of America participating in tomorrows live televised CNN debate.

The results from the survey show high efficacy primary Republican voters across Arizona represented by likely 2016 turnout models.

In the most recent automated telephonic survey of 643 high efficacy primary Republican voters, conducted on September 12, 2015, the survey calculates a 3.86% theoretical margin of error, plus or minus in percentage points, 95% of the time.

The exact question was phrased, “If the election were held today for the Republican primary for President of the United States, which of the following top 11 candidates, listed in alphabetical order by last name, would you be most likely to vote for?”

AZ GOP PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY 2016  –  September 12, 2015
Donald Trump – 29.9%
Ben Carson – 21.3%
Jeb Bush – 10.9%
Carly Fiorina – 9.3%
Ted Cruz – 6.2%
Marco Rubio – 3.9%
John Kasich – 2.8%
Scott Walker – 2.5%
Chris Christie – 2.2%
Mike Huckabee – 1.6%
Rand Paul – 1.1%
Unsure/Undecided – 8.4%

MBQF principle Michael Noble, commented on the electorate and the parties, “It appears the conventional wisdom of the DC insiders has not found a home with any of the top candidates because the electorate ain’t buying the rhetoric.  Nobody has flinched as political scare tactics and beltway bravado, lose ground to plain speak.”

“This seems to be a case where maybe the parties ought to take a page from president Reagan when asked why he left the Democratic Party, — he mused that he ‘didn’t leave the Democratic Party, the Democratic Party left me….’ — there is something Republicans might heed from that comment and this recent polling.” Noble said.

As 82.4% of Republicans surveyed indicate they will be tuning in, it is clear voters will be watching closely.  Questions arise about the relevance of obsolete status quo party politics as emerging non-politicians take center stage.

Noble added, “Donald Trump still leads the field by a comfortable margin and his overall favorability is 49.2% — but he needs to watch his negatives as well, it’s not all champagne, roses and doughnuts.”

For more information about this survey, or a summary of topline data and wording, please contact MBQF Consulting. The margin of error for this survey is +/-3.86%.

Dr. Ben Carson Captivates Thousands During Phoenix Visit

Tuesday evening, Republican presidential candidate Dr. Ben Carson delivered a passionate positive prognosis to Phoenicians and other Arizonans when he appeared at the Phoenix Convention Center. His appearance was originally scheduled to take place at Grace Community Church in Tempe but had to be moved to a larger venue to accommodate overwhelming response. According to estimates, over 12,000 were in attendance.

Dr. Carson proved his astute knowledge of the issues especially immigration, welfare, health care, economics, terrorism and foreign policy.

He encouraged the audience to research the “fiscal gap” which consists of the unfunded liabilities and currently will cost future generations $211 trillion if we don’t get it under control. (Read recent Forbes article.)

Carson reaffirmed his strong conservative populist appeal with the audience by noting his disassociation with the political moneyed establishment.

But Carson also put the liberal political media in its place after they distorted and misreported that he had supported abortion practices earlier in his career – something he vehemently clarified.

At the end of his 58 minute speech, he took questions and answers from the audience including his personal beliefs and faith. The good doctor was not bashful in admitting his love and faith in God. When asked by a young person about his favorite Bible verse, he recited Proverbs 3:5-6 – “Trust in the Lord with all your heart and lean not on your own understanding; in all your ways submit to him, and he will make your paths straight.” 

Carson also cited the importance of heeding the warnings of our American forefathers, citing Jefferson and our founding documents.

According to a recent poll, Dr. Carson has moved into second place with likely Republican voters. The poll was conducted on August 17th and showed a surge of 6.5% since Republicans were last surveyed on July 29th. (see poll)

081715Poll

Our friends at Western Free Press captured Dr. Carson’s visit on video. Please watch the entire speech below. Please subscribe to their YouTube channel for more great video.