Sarah Palin ramping up for a Presidential campaign out of Arizona

I gave an interview to Arizona Family TV-3 this evening regarding Sarah Palin’s move to Arizona and the liklihood she will launch a campaign based out of Arizona. Here is the video clip from that interview:

Now my thoughts on an Arizona-based Palin Presidential campaign:

Geographically and climatically, Arizona is far different and more conducive for a nationwide campaign than Alaska would ever be. Arizona is a state that has very little to worry about climatically other than the heat and a rare shutdown of Sky Harbor’s runways over the blast-furnace temperature we experience during the summer. Where else can a national campaign set up home base and not have to worry about earthquakes, tornadoes, hurricanes or crippling weather? An Alaska-based national campaign that would have to run until next November would have serious challenges during the upcoming 2011 winter months.

It also makes sense geographically for Palin to base a federal campaign out of Arizona. We are one of the fastest growing states and Arizona has major transportation hubs, modern infrastructure and a technologically savvy community. We’re in a region of the country that is highly accessible to and from other parts of the country making travel more of a convenience rather than a challenge to a national campaign.

I also happen to believe that the Palin’s fell in love with Arizona during their multiple visits here over the last three years. Arizona is a great place to raise a family and be a part of a broader community. Ultimately, Americans move to places where they feel comfortable and I’m willing to bet the Palin’s feel very comfortable right here in Arizona.

Now the politics.

Arizona will have 11 electoral votes up for grabs in 2012. That makes Arizona a high priority campaign state. Arizona is also guaranteed NOT to have a home state favorite running for President in 2012. John McCain will certainly not run again and Jon Kyl has already decided to retire from politics (although I think he could be coaxed into taking a seat on the US Supreme Court). Unlike Texas or Florida where Rick Perry, Marco Rubio or Jeb Bush have been rumored as potential candidates, Sarah Palin would not have to worry about competing for the nomination against someone who has been prominent in Arizona politics for years.

I like to say that Arizona is also a crimson red Republican state with a independent maverick attitude. Arizonans are conservative but they have a discernible mistrust of government and especially the federal government. In 2010, Republicans swept all statewide seats and took super majorities in both the State House and Senate. That makes Arizona a comfortable spot for any conservative political leader and Sarah Palin fits that mold.

Palin also has a huge following here in Arizona among women, conservatives in general and a thriving Tea Party movement. Having spoken with many conservative grassroots activists over the last year, it’s obvious to me that she would have no problem building a hardcore base of support among the grassroots and party faithful. Many would be proud to adopt Palin as their own.

The other thing that Arizona has to offer a Palin campaign is organization and structure. There are several proven campaign networks and organizations already in place and no shortage of talented political strategists and operatives here in Arizona. I would not doubt that Palin would also call in some political endorsements including several from our congressional delegation whom she supported during the 2010 election cycle.

Finally, a bit of insider politics that could make an Arizona-based Palin campaign a real game changer. At a national level, everyone knows that Palin poses a competitive threat to Michele Bachmann. Here in Arizona, a Palin campaign poses a serious threat to Mitt Romney. During the 2008 Presidential Primary, Romney did very well in the East Valley especially with the LDS community. Having Palin stake out home territory here in Arizona would clearly lay down a challenge to Romney’s campaign not to take Arizona for granted.

Will Sarah Palin run? As I said in my interview, my source indicates that she is ramping up very quickly. She’s just launched a bus tour of several states including a stop in New Hampshire and she’s due to release a personal documentary that is sure to draw crowds, interest and likely donors. There’s so many things right with an Arizona-based campaign that it only makes complete sense that another Arizonan will venture into the fast and furious waters of presidential politics.

 

 


Comments

  1. Awesome.

  2. Radiant Katana says

    Grats on the TV coverage, Shane!

  3. That is exciting. I was hoping she would run against Flake though:)

  4. I, too, would prefer she ran against Flake.

  5. To me this is her keeping her name in the news but she won’t run in the end. This is just a way to grab more attention and eventually make some more money…

    She is better off running against flake (which won’t happen sadfully).

  6. Too bad, it’s not like anyone would vote for her only a certain group of people and feminist women. On top of that I don’t think America is ready for a woman president..that’s the sad part

  7. Palin’s the most fascinating politician in decades. She doesn’t think the same way the political class does, Alaska is physically tough, and she operates with action in mind, not empty rhetoric, so they NEVER get it right about her.

    She shows outstanding leadership daily, a trailblazer, but the lazybodies don’t get it and the wannabes discover a week late that they are behind a curve they didn’t know was there until she showed them.

    We would like to profusely thank John McCain for plucking her out of frontier obscurity and putting Palin onto the national stage.

    We like that muy mucho because McCain and Co. project they rue that every waking day.

  8. Re the analysis.
    BTW. Thank you Shane for detailing a common sense summary of the Palin family Alaska to AZ move.

    Quite a contrast with the so-called “news” boobs on the video who look like they are college interns and serve up vapid drivel like, “As for why she’s moved, who knows?” and then chase after the Democrat parrots for a few predicatable squawks. Lazy gossip is NOT “news.”

  9. She got tired of keeping her eye on Russia, now she will be able to see Mexico from her house.

    • John Adams says

      Dunn got it wrong, again dontcha Dunn? When you quote a comedienne (funky Fey) you prove yourself to be a joke. Aahh! But else to expect of kool-aid drinking Liberal moonbats?

      • “But else to expect of kool-aid drinking Liberal moonbats.”

        Man, if this was a drinking game, I’d be hammered by now. What’s you do, pick up “How to Talk Teabagger for Dummies”?

  10. You should hope not. Alaska was the only US state in WWII that was physically invaded with the enemy plan to establish forward airbases to be able to bomb California – San Franscico and Los Angeles, and had actual combat in brutal conditions between hostile troops and American soldiers and airmen on Alaska territory. Since the war, it has been the forward listening post and early warning against USSR Cold War missle and Soviet bombers headed for the USA.

    It looks pretty stupid to keep quoting Tina Fey, actress, instead of the governor who knows better, and never claimed anything of the sort, it’s historically correct to inform uneducated Americans (thank our worthless progressive schools) that Sarah Palin’s front porch sits on former Mother Russia land. Russian is still spoken in areas of Alaska.

    But if one would rather listen to New York ignoramouses who’s world circuit consists of Manhattan, East End Long Island and Martha’s Vineyard, well, go ahead.

  11. Wanumba,

    A state in 1958 wanumba…

    Also the woman didn’t grow up in alaska and was their governor for 2 years… You are giving the woman a bit too much credit…

    • Incorrect. Palin’s family moved to Alaska from Idaho when she was an infant, and she stayed there until she went to college in Hawai’i.

  12. Sarah Palin did NOT say that she could see Alaska from her front porch. Tina Fey did.

    What Palin did was WORSE – she cited Alaska’s proximity to Russia as THE basis for her foreign policy credentials. HA!

    • Jenny, she did so such thing. Charlie Gibson asked her what perspective being Governor of Alaska gave her on Russian-American relations. Her response: http://www.brutallyhonest.org/brutally_honest/2008/09/the-un-edited-g.html

      The money quote is here: PALIN: I do believe unprovoked and we have got to keep our eyes on Russia, under the leadership there. I think it was unfortunate. That manifestation that we saw with that invasion of Georgia shows us some steps backwards that Russia has recently taken away from the race toward a more democratic nation with democratic ideals. That’s why we have to keep an eye on Russia.

      And, Charlie, you’re in Alaska. We have that very narrow maritime border between the United States, and the 49th state, Alaska, and Russia. They are our next door neighbors.We need to have a good relationship with them. They’re very, very important to us and they are our next door neighbor.

      GIBSON: What insight into Russian actions, particularly in the last couple of weeks, does the proximity of the state give you?

      PALIN: They’re our next door neighbors and you can actually see Russia from land here in Alaska, from an island in Alaska.

      GIBSON: What insight does that give you into what they’re doing in Georgia?

      PALIN: Well, I’m giving you that perspective of how small our world is and how important it is that we work with our allies to keep good relation with all of these countries, especially Russia. We will not repeat a Cold War. We must have good relationship with our allies, pressuring, also, helping us to remind Russia that it’s in their benefit, also, a mutually beneficial relationship for us all to be getting along.

      ***

      At no point did Palin assert that her foreign policy credentials rested on the State’s proximity to Russia. She said it’s important to maintain a good relationship with Russia because it is next door to Alaska.

    • Did you forget OBama answered that him running to become president makes him qualified to be president. An idiot answer

  13. Nicole Coulter says

    Jenny,

    And what exactly was Obama’s basis for foreign policy credentials? I seem to recall he cited living in Indonesia when he was six years old as a basis for his foreign policy credentials.

    Oh, but you give Obama a pass on that, right? Because he’s so smart.

    Frankly, Obama’s best foreign policy credential was that he represented a part of Chicago that resembles a third-world country. And he did nothing to improve conditions. Thanks for promoting him, people. We can’t wait until the rest of America resembles Obama’s Chicago.

  14. Why shouldn’t Palin cite Alalska’s proximity to Russia as ONE of her foreign policy credentials? It’s as valid as any Texas governor noting how much they responsibility they have to deal internationally with OPEC.
    Is it because people don”t understand and have no education in these matters?

    DO ya’ll know what a GOVERNOR does of a day, especially one who must keep up foreign relations with vital trade missions? The East Coast is fixated on Europe, Alaska is fundamentally focused to ASIA-PACIFIC, militarily-strategically-economically-culturally. Russian is still spoken in Alaska, some families still have active ties across the international line. Alaska has more than fifteen tribal languages spoken there, with tribal councils and tribal governance which requires an understanding of how to deal correctly with these governing bodies. The ONLY other place to get that kind of political experience is with the United Nations, as MOST American states and Americans don’t have ANY exposure to that. Arizona actually is ONE of the few.

    So, it’s a bit DIFFERENT than say, Arkansas, Illinois and MOST of the US states. But, hey, go with the TV actress if makes you feel superior while being left behind as irrelevent.

    • Yeah, too bad it was so tough a job, she couldn’t hack it, so she quite two years early, and is apparently moving out of the state she loves so darn much.

      Nevertheless, I am very excited about a Palin run. I’m just hoping she does enough damage to Romney and Huntsman to make it out of the primaries.

      • Nah – she didn’t quit; she resigned and only after accomplishing more in 2.5 years what many never did in one+ years. You’re confusing the situation w/ Obama who actually did quit barely two years into his six year term – and for much of that 2 years he was playing around in other countries and organizing beyond his community sock drawer.

        I think my head will explode if I hear one more person say Palin couldn’t ‘hack’ her job. Again, she performed more than previous governors in her state (probably more than in the country), took on the oil business, brought economic order to her state and cracked the corruption in the establishment. Who else does that?

        It’s an honor and pleasure to have her in Arizona. She definitely has my vote and whatever I can do to help.

        • Oops – meant to say ‘…many never did in one+ terms’

        • “she didn’t quit; she resigned”

          Someone needs to pick up a theasaurus. Or maybe put it down. I can’t tell which.

          “You’re confusing the situation w/ Obama who actually did quit barely two years into his six year term…”

          Actually, he was promoted by the boss to a harder job. Palin quit, resigned, gave up on, whatever you’d like to call it to become a celebrity. I remember when you conservatives thought being a celebrity was a bad thing – I mean, I know your principles are written on the surface of a lake, but that was pretty callow, even for you guys.

          “I think my head will explode if I hear one more person say Palin couldn’t ‘hack’ her job.”

          Tough luck for you, eh? Keep a plastic tarp nearby like they do at Gallagher shows.

          “took on the oil business,”

          How, exactly. I see this talking point parroted about by the drones all the time, but what exactly did she do to bring them to bear? Rather than just self-serving rhetoric on her part.

          “the corruption in the establishment”

          Funny, I didn’t see her fingerprints on Ted Stevens indictment.

          “It’s an honor and pleasure to have her in Arizona.”

          Indeed. I’ll get to finish the trilogy. Palin #1: Love Letter to Former Governor Sarah Palin, Palin #2: A Warning to Levi Johnston from the Colonists of LV-426 or Paliens… Coming up: Palin #3: Palinocaplyse.

          They’re crowd pleasers when I perform. And it’s just a drop in the bucket of keeping her a national punchline. Long may she wave.

          • KluteDestroyer says

            @Klute: You seem to be an expert in ‘Teabagging’, Are you a proud participant in that type activity? IF you are using the term as a perjorative (That’s ‘insult’ for 85 IQ Goths,) then you are a showing the propensity of hatred, like the Klu Klux Klan. Do you also call people ‘Faggots’? When you don’t have an intelligent argument, it’s typical of losers to resort to name-calling and lying. You are a master!

  15. Nicole Coulter says

    IIRC, Sarah Palin had higher security clearances as governor of Alaska than any other governor in the Union. Because of the missile defense base there. Because of the proximity to Russia and North Korea.

    Sarah could have mentioned that but then she would have been pulling a Joe Biden, who couldn’t help revealing the location of Dick Cheney’s secret bunker.

    Sarah does not use our military installations to boost her credibility. But she knows a HELLUVA lot more about the military and our national defense than Barack Obama. People who knew Obama from his days in the Ill. state legislature have stated that he had open DISTAIN for the military. Not surprising considering he has always been an avowed Marxist since college.

  16. Nordine Crub says

    I think it was actually closer to three years she served before she had the money dangled in from of her and quit. Ultimately I think she will not run but will milk it got all it’s worth. Kinda like Donald Trump….all talk!

    • CrubCrusher says

      Hey Nordine Gov. Palin had 17 months left in a 48 month term (that’s 4 years for publicly educated ‘liberal’s who feel really good about 5th grade education, having graduated high school!!) which leaves 31 months or 2.5+ years.

      Now for some news way beyond your comprehension. Her resignation had nothing to do with money, you lying witch! The despcably dishonest liberal a$$holes (most of whom are lice-infested druggies, living off some student aide and dealing pot on the side) filed a huge number of utterly frivolous ethics complaints against Governor Palin, UNDER a law she championed and promoted! The law was flawed, by forcing any public official to defend themselves at their own expense.

      This is an excellent example of the typical actions of a$$holes who are trying to destroy a great country and great people, with the most dishonest, destructive conduct; simply because they want a Socialist totalitarian state. They stupidly believe they will be part of the new ‘apparatchict’ (ruling class) that tells everyone else what to do.

      I guess only Algore-type liberals can make money… of course he does it by telling idiotic lies! Has he had his chakras properly aligned lately?

  17. How kinda like Trump? He’s never campaigned, or held elective office, he inherited Daddy’s fortune, divorced twice, married thrice, filed for bankruptcy, and contributes early and often and a lot to Democrats.

    There are a few politicians who actually resemble that, but obviously not Palin. The media had their little story to jack up and had no intention of asking anyone else what they thought. Too much fiction writing and not enough reporting.

  18. This will be one heck of a race, but Palin should easily beat Obama. There is just way too many things going wrong in the USA. He over. End the disaster, defeat Obama.

  19. I’m from Ohio and I’m praying that Sarah Palin runs! I wish I had 1/10 of what is coursing in her veins. She is our only hope of getting out of this mess. Please, stop of the negative comments — this woman is terrific, organized, sensible, loyal, energetic, and has a moral compass to guide her. She will make a great President!

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