McCain 24 points behind Undecided in Arizona.

After being in Congress for 25 years McCain only receives firm support from 28% of long time Republican voters according to the numbers from the latest Cronkite-Eight survey. Just over half of the state’s Republicans are undecided. Romney trails McCain with only 10%. According to our calculations Romney would need about 70% of the Undecided to go his way in order to overcome McCain’s numbers. Surprisingly former Arizona front runner Rudy Giuliani is way back in the pack with only 2%. Based on these numbers it looks like Romeny is the only viable alternative to McCain at this time.


Comments

  1. For what it’s worth, I put the Thompson 9% split between McCain, Romney, with a few going to Giuliani.

    Here’s why;

    McCain: solid defense first, ability to beat the Dem (whoever it is), he is a fiscal conservative, and with the exception of McCain-Feingold, has a good pro-life record.

    Romney: Not McCain but conservative.

    Giuliani: Not Romney or Huckabee.

    When Huckabee made his conform the Constitution to the Bible speech…he lost a lot of conservatives who are Bible believers but do not want religion to be a state issue. This year’s Christian is next year’s Islamic extremist.

  2. You people are myopic. Iran may be changing its government and you want to take petty swipes at McCain:

    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080122/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iran_president_s_peril

    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080121/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iran_ahmadinejad_s_woes;_ylt=AteYuMjk_x4Uasgzy16osPkLewgF

    http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/01/07/africa/tehran.php

    Iran supplies training and material support to insurgents in Iraq and Afghanistan. AZ has troops in both theaters. 1,000 Arizona National Guard soldiers were deployed to Afghanistan last January. Arizona National Guard’s 996th Area Support Medical Company is in Iraq. A change of government that I predicted early in the year maybe in the offing.

  3. Sonoran Alliance says

    James,

    Thanks for keeping us updated on international affairs. If by myopic you mean focused on local politics then you are correct. The objective of this blog is to cover events and development in Arizona.

  4. Straight Talker says

    ANN
    with the exception of McCain-Feingold, McCain has a good pro-life record..???? Do you write for the MSM? How about this record of McCain’s:

    .repeated votes to kill human embryos (embryonic stem cell research)
    .repeated votes for research on aborted fetes(fetal tissue research)
    .served on advisory board of pro-abortion PAC, IT’s MY PARTY TOO run by pro-abortion politician Christie Todd Whitman.
    .said his 15 yr old daughter would have final word if she wanted abortion.
    .abortion OK in case of rape or incest

    Want to rethink McCain having a good pro-life record? What he has is a great propaganda machine in the MSM who refuse to call him on his many lies.

  5. You are right, not 100% no question, maybe good not great. Stem cell research is a troubling area. But voters are looking for someone they can accept not necessarily embrace. That is how I think others will see it, as an overall opinion.

    Basically, the more typical, non-blogging, hard-working voter will see it as generally good. I’m still a Thompson refugee and undecided.

    McCain’s record of votes on life:

    *Supports repealing Roe v. Wade. (May 2007)
    *Voted YES on barring HHS grants to organizations that perform abortions. (Oct 2007)
    *Voted YES on expanding research to more embryonic stem cell lines. (Apr 2007)
    *Voted YES on notifying parents of minors who get out-of-state abortions. (Jul 2006)
    *Voted NO on $100M to reduce teen pregnancy by education & contraceptives. (Mar 2005)
    *Voted YES on criminal penalty for harming unborn fetus during other crime. (Mar 2004)
    *Voted YES on banning partial birth abortions except for maternal life. (Mar 2003)
    *Voted YES on maintaining ban on Military Base Abortions. (Jun 2000)
    *Voted YES on banning partial birth abortions. (Oct 1999)
    *Voted YES on banning human cloning. (Feb 1998)
    *Rated 0% by NARAL, indicating a pro-life voting record. (Dec 2003)
    *Expand embryonic stem cell research. (Jun 2004)
    *Rated 75% by the NRLC, indicating a mixed record on abortion. (Dec 2006)

  6. It seems that the objective of this blog is not to “cover events and development in Arizona”, but to bash McCain at every opportunity. It is getting old.

  7. Sonoran Alliance says

    Talker,

    Not only is McCain’s vote for federal funding of embryonic stem cell research troubling to the pro-life community it is a total waste of federal money. McCain is not genuine when he claims to be a budget hawk and then votes to waste money on questionable research.

    Reader,

    There is a pretty big election coming up on February 5th. After that we will have more on to other topics.

  8. Thank you Ann for setting McCain’s record straight. Would Sonoran Alliance have the intellectual honesty to have done so? If they will color McCain’s record, what other issues are they coloring?

    Sonoran Alliance,

    http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/myopic

    1. Ophthalmology. pertaining to or having myopia; nearsighted.
    2. unable or unwilling to act prudently; shortsighted.
    3. lacking tolerance or understanding; narrow-minded.

    “There can be no real peace while one American is dying some place in the world for the rest of us. ” Ronald Reagan – A TIME FOR CHOOSING

    Sonoran Alliance, have you forgotten about our soldiers deployed in Iraq and Afghanistan?

    I agree with Reader this bashing McCain at every opportunity is getting old and it discredits you more every day.

  9. James, why are you here, other than to trash the folks who run the blog? We hear you loud and clear… You don’t like Romney and Mormons, you hate Tom Tancredo, you didn’t vote for Randy Graf, etc.

    Maybe you can find a liberal blog to hang out at?

  10. Schwarzkopf Endorses McCain
    http://www.newsmax.com/insidecover/Schwarzkopf_Endorses_McCa/2008/01/23/66687.html

    John,

    You don’t know me to question my loyalty to this party or this president. Who are you to define conservativism exclusively?

    I loved Reagan and I like John McCain. John McCain is a real American hero. I am inclined to concur with Limbuagh and Tom Delay that McCain has done more to hurt the GOP in the last eight years than any other elected official. I have also never had my daughter slandered for political gain either, how about you?

    I also praised Romney. I think a Romney Presidency will restore our fiscal reputation and set our horizons for unbriddled growth and wealth. I gave small praise to Tancredo for visiting the border when Kolbe would not. I also condemned Kolbe for his association with Mark Foley and his failure to support Graf in the general. Unlike some fairweather types, I have done more to support Graf in his exile.

    Arizonans, Obama, much to my displeasure seems to be caught in Clintonian word play. Bloomberg will enter the race. A Bloomberg late entrance will hurt Republicans. This grating messianiac Lady MacBeth is evil. Consider the words of Camille Pagilia who writes for the Salon and James Lewis from American Thinker:

    http://www.salon.com/opinion/paglia/2008/01/10/hillary/

    http://www.americanthinker.com/2008/01/hillarys_oedipal_problem.html

    Given the uncertainities that we face, it may be wise to put aside emotionalism and provincial differences, for the greater good of the country.

    I have been consistent for my support for this President, my party, conservatism and John McCain. I don’t agree with John McCain on everything, but the man has integrity and character. Piddly smears and penny ante attacks enhance his reputation. Just as I have had to revise my opinion on Romney I urge others to re-consider these ad nauseum and ineffectual phillipics on McCain.

    If you really want to defeat McCain and aid Romney, praise Romney’s plans over McCain’s. That strategy won him Michigan. The current course has given McCain New Hampshire and South Carolina.

  11. Straight Talker says

    The agents of the MSM are at work here… Keep quite about McCain’s liberal record. Be very critical of those who criticise McCain’s record. Don’t let conservatives have their say. They are racist & bigots if they oppose McCain. We need a McCain Campaign reform bill to shut them up. To hell with the Constitution. McCain will give us liberal judges and then we can shut down those nutty conservative talk show hosts. On to Republican party oblivion with a McCain candidacy.

    Latest rating of McCain by American Conservative Union….65%, Hagel….75%

  12. Wow–and I thought my comments were ridiculous in the past. This blog is getting a bit… unwieldy.

  13. Sonoran Alliance says

    Frank,

    Sometimes free speech is not pretty. Maybe that is why McCain sought to limit political speech with his McCain-Feingold bill. Luckily for the Republic there are still outlets for citizens to discuss matters of the day.

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