Get Real.

     Many people have commented that the future of the Republican Party is at stake in the debate over S.1348. True but we should point out that the future of this nation is also at stake. Now I think the Republican Party is a fine organization but I care much more about my country than a political party.

     When George Bush took office in 2001 the total government revenue was $1.99 trillion. For 2006 the figure was $2.41 trillion (1.) Total debt at the end of 2001 was $5.73 trillion but by the end of 2006 had grown to $8.82 trillion (2.) That is a 46% increase in debt during which revenue increased by 21%. That kind of spending is simply not sustainable.

     Republicans controlled both the house and senates from 1994 until 2006 (3), at which time they lost control of both chambers. As mentioned above Bush has been in office since 2001.

     Now President Bush and many prominent Republicans are promoting an illegal immigration compromise that the Heritage Foundation (4) estimates will further drive up government spending (and consequently the national debt.) I simply cannot support this and am finding it difficult to be civil.

     The President and Republican congress did little to effectively secure the border up to 2006, even after the events of September 11, 2001. They have engaged in a rapid increase in the national debt and missed an opportunity to reform social security while they had control of the government. Social security goes into a deficit in 2017 (5) and S.1348 is expected to make the long-term cost increase (4.) We have not even begun a discussion of the long-term impact that S.1348 would have on the cost of medicare, medicade, and the earned income tax credits. These are entitlement programs that have no cap. The more people who qualify, the more who will receive benefits.

     There is a point at which civility becomes moot and the security and economic well being of the U.S. become paramount. I personally believe that we are rapidly approaching that point.

1. http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxFacts/TFDB/TFTemplate.cfm?Docid=203
2. http://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP/BPDLogin?application=np
3. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_United_States_Congress
4. http://www.heritage.org/Research/Immigration/sr14.cfm
5. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR05/II_project.html#wp105057

Note: Please correct any of my estimates if needed. I did some quick research on the web and am very open to correction if necessary.


Comments

  1. I’ve got a few more stats for you to help you gauge President Bush’s credibility and trustworthiness on the immigration issue:

    Employer Investigation Efforts of U.S. Immigration Authorities:
    Fiscal Year Worksite Arrests Notices of Intent to Fine
    1993 7,630 1,302
    1994 7,554 1,063
    1995 10,014 1,056
    1996 14,164 1,019
    1997 17,554 865
    1998 13,914 1,023
    1999 2,849 417
    2000 953 178
    2001 735 100
    2002 485 53
    2003 445 162
    2004 159 3

    The average annual worksite arrests under Clinton was 9,329 arrests. The average annual worksite arrests under President Bush is 456. This is a 95 percent reduction in average annual worksite arrests under President Bush.

    The average annual notices of intent to fine employers of illegal aliens under Clinton was 865. The average under President Bush is 79.5. This is a 90 percent reduction in average annual notices of intent to fine employers of illegal aliens.

    And then there is 2004 where, under President Bush, only 3 notices of intent to fine employers of illegal aliens were done. 3!! But that was President Bush’s worst year. Let’s compare best years then.

    Under Clinton his best year for Worksite Arrests was 1997 with 17,554 reported. President Bush’s best year was 2001 with 735 worksite arrests reported. This is a 99.7 percent reduction in worksite arrests under President Bush when comparing best years.

    Clinton Presidency, Total Aliens Expelled:
    1993 1,285,952
    1994 1,074,781
    1995 1,364,688
    1996 1,643,108
    1997 1,555,116
    1998 1,743,273
    1999 1,755,754
    2000 1,861,933
    Total over 8 years: 12,284,605
    Average Annual Total Aliens Expelled: 1,535,575

    Bush Presidency, Total Aliens Expelled:
    2001 1,432,061
    2002 1,084,661
    2003 1,076,483
    2004 1,238,319
    Total over 4 years: 4,831,524
    Average Annual Total Aliens Expelled: 1,207,881

    The average annual total of aliens expelled under President Bush is 327,694 LESS than the average under President Clinton. That is a 21.3 percent reduction in aliens expelled compared between Clinton and President Bush.

    Deportable Aliens located in non-border sectors (interior enforcement):
    Clinton presidency, last four years:
    1997 44,246
    1998 39,096
    1999 42,010
    2000 32,759
    Total: 158,111

    Bush presidency, first four years:
    2001 30,496
    2002 25,501
    2003 26,492
    2004 21,113
    Total: 103,602

    Total deportable aliens located in interior sectors during the first four years of the Bush presidency represents a 34.4 percent drop compared to the previous four years – the last four years of the Clinton presidency.

    Deportable Aliens Located:
    Clinton Presidency first four years:
    1993 1,327,261
    1994 1,094,719
    1995 1,394,554
    1996 1,649,986
    Total: 5,466,520

    Clinton Presidency last four years:
    1997 1,536,520
    1998 1,679,439
    1999 1,714,035
    2000 1,814,729
    Total: 6,744,723

    Bush Presidency first four years:
    2001 1,387,486
    2002 1,062,279
    2003 1,046,422
    2004 1,241,089
    Total: 4,737,276

    Total deportable aliens located dropped by 29.7 percent in the first four years of the Bush Presidency compared to the previous four years – the last four years of the Clinton Presidency.

    This analysis was done 2 years ago and has not been updated since then.

    (Sources: DHS Yearbook of Statistics 2004 and other DHS and INS sources.)

  2. More statistics for you to help prove your point:

    http://tinyurl.com/3do2g8 – Federal Discretionary and Entitlements Budget Growth Chart demonstrating unprecedented spending during Bush Administration

    http://tinyurl.com/37lqw9 – Chart depicting Real Annual Growth Rate of NonDefense and Non-Homeland Security Outlays by President

    http://tinyurl.com/2ljlt6 – Chart depicting Real Annual Growth Rate of Total Government Outlays by President

    http://tinyurl.com/39n9ly – Chart depicting Federal Budget as a Percentage of GDP

  3. While I fully concor that spending is out of control, we must take into consideration that a certain significant increase is understandable in a post-September 11 world. With the creating of the Dept. of Homeland Security, federalization of TSA, rebuilding the military which Clinton had long neglected, and the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan there comes a significant cost.

  4. Kyle,

    Look at the first two charts to which I posted links. They depict non-defense discretionary spending. These are costs unrelated to the WoT or 9/11 and between President Bush and the recently Republican controlled Congress, that category of spending was out of control. Non-defense discretionary spending went up to unprecedented levels, far higher than even under the liberal Clinton administration. Because of this the Republican Party has lost the fiscal high ground that we once firmly held in calling for budget and spending cuts, reduction in government programs, and the elimination of unnecessary agencies. Because of our own out of control spending we can never again beat on the Democrats for their profligate spending. The Democrats will actually have to work hard to exceed our own spending excesses and will find it easy to campaign to our right on this issue. In fact, it was a significant factor in the defeats we experienced in 2006.

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