We’re still in the early stages of the 2014 mid-term election and that means that individuals are starting to prepare to become candidates in campaigns for Congress.
With Ann Kirkpatrick in trouble in Arizona’s 1st Congressional district, we’re asking our readers to weigh in on who they best think would win back the district for Republicans.
Some of these names are confirmed but others are speculation or wishful thinking. Here’s your chance to vote:
Happy New Years!
It’s that time again for political predictions!
This year, I’m self-limiting myself on predictions due to my unique position and the likelihood that whatever I say will probably anger several of my Republican friends.
Instead, I’m opening up predictions to our readers.
If you’d like to submit your safe predictions or an out-on-a-limb prediction and have it appear in the body of this post (with your name), email it to me at email@example.com. Otherwise, feel free to post it in the comments.
For starters, I’ll throw a few questions out to get things going:
- Who will win the US Senate race? Who will win the Republican and Democrat nominations?
- Who will win the Arizona Presidential Preference Election on February 28th?
- Who will win each of the Congressional Districts?
- Will Republicans retain a supermajority in both Houses of the Legislature?
- Will Sheriff Joe Arpaio be re-elected?
- Will Arizona media outlets survive another year?
- What will be the biggest political story for 2012?
- What will be the biggest political shock of 2012?
Have fun gesticulating, speculating, prognosticating and pontificating!
I love posing these questions on Sonoran Alliance because some readers fail to process the point of the post and get themselves in a tizzy.
Here’s the question (and I know our Ron Paul readers are going to love this):
The latest poll out of Iowa shows Ron Paul now leading the pack 23% to Romney at 20% and Gingrich at 14% (link). Are the voters of Iowa trying to send a message to the other nominees? What is that message? And if the premise is true nationally, when will they pull back from this game of political chicken and give Mitt Romney the official nod?
Or, will all this lead to a brokered convention?
Finally, does anyone doubt that the official GOP ticket will be Romney/Rubio?
Watch the following video from this Sunday’s Square Off as political pundit and insider, Chris Herstam makes the prediction that conservative Tea Party candidate, Jennifer Wright could possibly take second place in the upcoming August Phoenix Mayoral race. (Herstam believes that Greg Stanton will win the vote with 30-35% of the vote (not enough to clinch the win) but Wright could finish second place against Peggy Neely if Wright is able to raise enough money to get mailers out.
For those who follow politics a little closer, Chris Herstam also predicted a near win by 2010 Congressional Candidate, Ruth McClung in the General Election against Raul Grijalva. Herstam would not make such a statement unless he could back it up with hard polling data.
Here is the video clip:
Read what Arizona Republic political reporter Robert Leger also wrote about Jennifer Wright:
“Wright could be a key factor. Most pundits, noting she entered the race late and has little money, expect her to finish in the single digits. But an important point: She collected 3,500 signatures in three weeks using only volunteers. Passion is as important as money in a campaign, maybe more so.”
The race for Mayor and Council in Phoenix will come down to a race between the government unions vs the taxpayers. Unions are out working to elect their next “bosses” in order to get the long-term benefits paid for courtesy of Phoenix taxpayers.
Help Jennifer Wright take back America one city at a time by donating to her effort. This is a potential upset in the making and you have the opportunity to make it happen and send a message loud and clear.
In an earlier post I wrote that I thought that Governor Palin was running for President in 2012. I have not ruled that presupposition completely out. Every indication is that she is making ready for a run and a campaign based in Arizona.
But there is a new rumor-theory making the political rounds that gives me reason to believe that Palin may not run after all and may be instead thinking much more long-term in terms of her political future.
In my earlier post, I mentioned that I believe that the Palin’s fell in love with Arizona in their visits here over the last 2-3 years. Who wouldn’t? But I also believe that that love affair is mutual on behalf of many Arizonans who are thrilled to adopt the former Alaskan Governor as their very own. Remember, many Arizonans were not thrilled with the 2008 nominee until Sarah Palin was chosen to be on the final ticket. I was one of them.
This brings me back to the premise of my post and the settling of ruminations that occurred this week when Governor Palin dismissed any intention to seek Arizona’s Senate seat, at least not in 2012. (Watch interview.)
It is extremely unlikely that John McCain will seek re-election in 2016 and some politicos even speculate that he may retire early. Between now and 2016, Arizona will have another statewide election (2014). But we must also remember that anything under the Arizona sun can and oftentimes does happen.
Perhaps we should think longer term about Sarah Palin’s political future because, while it may have begun in Alaska and may ultimately peak in The White House, her newly adopted home state of Arizona may very well be the next chapter in her service to this Republic.
This is dedicated to Nancy Huzar and to all those readers who, while waking up to the Tea Party Experience, now find themselves in an unfamiliar landscape with career politicians all claiming to be “Common Sense Conservatives”.
As we begin the second decade of the 21st Century in the United States, perhaps we should reflect on the crossroads that loom before us. Should we proceed along the path to a Old World European Socialist Democratic form of governance? Or perhaps we should continue the moderate centrist Constitutional Republic form of governance bequeathed to us by the Founders of our country?
Today, the Progressive Left would have you believe that they are America’s center, that they represent a centrist value position of the majority of Americans… all 300+ million of us. But do they?
Perhaps the United States is fundamentally a centrist country holding moderate values that allow for tolerance of the extremes. Perhaps this recent election is a statement by that once silent majority that they reject the progressive socialist agenda that the current administration is pursuing seemingly at all costs.
Consider this: It was rugged individualists who believed that redemption was an individual matter between themselves and Nature’s God founded America. Contrast that with the individual who now resides in the White House. It is his core belief, and that of those around him, that redemption collective. It is in the group, not the individual where one finds redemption. How alien is that to what our Founders believed? What’s worse, there is an entire cadre of adherents in academia working 24/7 to re-write history to suit their worldview.
People’s view of the proper role of government is a continuum stretching from the extreme Left (Totalitarian Communism) to the extreme Right (Totalitarian Fascism). Most Americans hold Moderate Values and fall as “Centrists” on this scale.
The current administration in Washington, and those of its allies on college and university campuses, tend to fall much further to the left of center than do most Americans. This is one reason that voting districts in large urban areas and around major universities tend to be “Blue” on the election maps while large tracts of suburban and rural America vote “Red”. The election of 2010 drove this contrast to the forefront of the county’s awareness. It would be a strategic mistake for the statist members of the Republican Party if they didn’t pay close attention to the message of 2010.
America is becoming polarized, pulled to the left of the Constitutional Divide by an increasingly aggressive Socialist minority with their vision of a Collective utopia. It is any wonder that today; the majority of Americans have such poor esteem for their members of Congress? Is it any wonder that today, a majority of American’s sense something is terribly wrong? It is exactly this awakening that drives talk radio and edutainment shows like Glenn Beck. Americans know that the “Hope & Change” they were promised isn’t consistent with America’s core centrist moderate values.
Take this simple test. Remember, each is a sliding scale from Left to Right. Ask yourself; “What do I believe? Do I believe in individualism or collectivism? Which describes my thoughts best?”
Well, there it is, the Great Constitutional Divide. Given that most Americans describe themselves as being “in the center” you may correctly conclude that the column on the right most accurately describes most Americans and, the column on the right is pretty much the center for the United States. The stress many are feeling is that of a minority within the government, the major media and in our colleges and universities who are tugging us unwillingly into their Brave New World.
While this has been evolving since the early 20th Century, we may thank Barak Hussain Obama for forcing the issue and for waking up the great silent majority. Just remember, you are the center and they are the extreme.
 With many thanks to Alan Korwin for providing most of the contrasting text within the two boxes. Be sure to visit him at www.gunlaws.com