You are here: Home / Archives for Predictions

2012 Predictions Anyone?

January 1, 2012 By 45 Comments

Happy New Years!

It’s that time again for political predictions!

This year, I’m self-limiting myself on predictions due to my unique position and the likelihood that whatever I say will probably anger several of my Republican friends.

Instead, I’m opening up predictions to our readers.

If you’d like to submit your safe predictions or an out-on-a-limb prediction and have it appear in the body of this post (with your name), email it to me at sonoranalliance@gmail.com. Otherwise, feel free to post it in the comments.

For starters, I’ll throw a few questions out to get things going:

  1. Who will win the US Senate race? Who will win the Republican and Democrat nominations?
  2. Who will win the Arizona Presidential Preference Election on February 28th?
  3. Who will win each of the Congressional Districts?
  4. Will Republicans retain a supermajority in both Houses of the Legislature?
  5. Will Sheriff Joe Arpaio be re-elected?
  6. Will Arizona media outlets survive another year?
  7. What will be the biggest political story for 2012?
  8. What will be the biggest political shock of 2012?

Have fun gesticulating, speculating, prognosticating and pontificating!

Filed Under: Campaigns & Elections, Predictions Tagged With:

GOP Iowa Voters Sending a Message Using Ron Paul?

December 19, 2011 By 12 Comments

I love posing these questions on Sonoran Alliance because some readers fail to process the point of the post and get themselves in a tizzy.

Here’s the question (and I know our Ron Paul readers are going to love this):

The latest poll out of Iowa shows Ron Paul now leading the pack 23% to Romney at 20% and Gingrich at 14% (link). Are the voters of Iowa trying to send a message to the other nominees? What is that message? And if the premise is true nationally, when will they pull back from this game of political chicken and give Mitt Romney the official nod?

Or, will all this lead to a brokered convention?

Finally, does anyone doubt that the official GOP ticket will be Romney/Rubio?

Filed Under: Campaigns & Elections, Polls, Predictions

Phoenix Mayoral candidate Jennifer Wright – An upset in the making!

June 26, 2011 By 9 Comments

Watch the following video from this Sunday’s Square Off as political pundit and insider, Chris Herstam makes the prediction that conservative Tea Party candidate, Jennifer Wright could possibly take second place in the upcoming August Phoenix Mayoral race. (Herstam believes that Greg Stanton will win the vote with 30-35% of the vote (not enough to clinch the win) but Wright could finish second place against Peggy Neely if Wright is able to raise enough money to get mailers out.

For those who follow politics a little closer, Chris Herstam also predicted a near win by 2010 Congressional Candidate, Ruth McClung in the General Election against Raul Grijalva.  Herstam would not make such a statement unless he could back it up with hard polling data.

Here is the video clip:

YouTube Preview Image

Read what Arizona Republic political reporter Robert Leger also wrote about Jennifer Wright:

“Wright could be a key factor. Most pundits, noting she entered the race late and has little money, expect her to finish in the single digits. But an important point: She collected 3,500 signatures in three weeks using only volunteers. Passion is as important as money in a campaign, maybe more so.”

The race for Mayor and Council in Phoenix will come down to a race between the government unions vs the taxpayers. Unions are out working to elect their next “bosses” in order to get the long-term benefits paid for courtesy of Phoenix taxpayers.

Help Jennifer Wright take back America one city at a time by donating to her effort. This is a potential upset in the making and you have the opportunity to make it happen and send a message loud and clear.

Donate Now.

 

Filed Under: Campaign Finance, Campaigns & Elections, City Government, Predictions Tagged With:

Sarah Palin’s place in Arizona History

June 5, 2011 By 7 Comments

I have to wonder if historians will one day write that, “The first woman President of the United States was both the Governor of the 49th State and a US Senator from the 48th State.”

In an earlier post I wrote that I thought that Governor Palin was running for President in 2012. I have not ruled that presupposition completely out. Every indication is that she is making ready for a run and a campaign based in Arizona.

But there is a new rumor-theory making the political rounds that gives me reason to believe that Palin may not run after all and may be instead thinking much more long-term in terms of her political future.

In my earlier post, I mentioned that I believe that the Palin’s fell in love with Arizona in their visits here over the last 2-3 years. Who wouldn’t? But I also believe that that love affair is mutual on behalf of many Arizonans who are thrilled to adopt the former Alaskan Governor as their very own. Remember, many Arizonans were not thrilled with the 2008 nominee until Sarah Palin was chosen to be on the final ticket. I was one of them.

This brings me back to the premise of my post and the settling of ruminations that occurred this week when Governor Palin dismissed any intention to seek Arizona’s Senate seat, at least not in 2012. (Watch interview.)

It is extremely unlikely that John McCain will seek re-election in 2016 and some politicos even speculate that he may retire early. Between now and 2016, Arizona will have another statewide election (2014). But we must also remember that anything under the Arizona sun can and oftentimes does happen.

Perhaps we should think longer term about Sarah Palin’s political future because, while it may have begun in Alaska and may ultimately peak in The White House, her newly adopted home state of Arizona may very well be the next chapter in her service to this Republic.

 

Filed Under: Campaigns & Elections, Elected Officials, Political Science, Predictions Tagged With:

The Great Constitutional Divide – or what is Glenn Beck upset about?

January 4, 2011 By 24 Comments

This is dedicated to Nancy Huzar and to all those readers who, while waking up to the Tea Party Experience, now find themselves in an unfamiliar landscape with career politicians all claiming to be “Common Sense Conservatives”.

As we begin the second decade of the 21st Century in the United States, perhaps we should reflect on the crossroads that loom before us.  Should we proceed along the path to a Old World European Socialist Democratic form of governance?  Or perhaps we should continue the moderate centrist Constitutional Republic form of governance bequeathed to us by the Founders of our country?

Today, the Progressive Left would have you believe that they are America’s center, that they represent a centrist value position of the majority of Americans… all 300+ million of us.  But do they?

Perhaps the United States is fundamentally a centrist country holding moderate values that allow for tolerance of the extremes.  Perhaps this recent election is a statement by that once silent majority that they reject the progressive socialist agenda that the current administration is pursuing seemingly at all costs.

Consider this:  It was rugged individualists who believed that redemption was an individual matter between themselves and Nature’s God founded America.  Contrast that with the individual who now resides in the White House.  It is his core belief, and that of those around him, that redemption collective.  It is in the  group, not the individual where one finds redemption.  How alien is that to what our Founders believed?  What’s worse, there is an entire cadre of adherents in academia working 24/7 to re-write history to suit their worldview.

People’s view of the proper role of government is a continuum stretching from the extreme Left (Totalitarian Communism) to the extreme Right (Totalitarian Fascism).  Most Americans hold Moderate Values and fall as “Centrists” on this scale.

The current administration in Washington, and those of its allies on college and university campuses, tend to fall much further to the left of center than do most Americans.  This is one reason that voting districts in large urban areas and around major universities tend to be “Blue” on the election maps while large tracts of suburban and rural America vote “Red”.  The election of 2010 drove this contrast to the forefront of the county’s awareness.  It would be a strategic mistake for the statist members of the Republican Party if they didn’t pay close attention to the message of 2010.

America is becoming polarized, pulled to the left of the Constitutional Divide by an increasingly aggressive Socialist minority with their vision of a Collective utopia.  It is any wonder that today; the majority of Americans have such poor esteem for their members of Congress?  Is it any wonder that today, a majority of American’s sense something is terribly wrong?  It is exactly this awakening that drives talk radio and edutainment shows like Glenn Beck.  Americans know that the “Hope & Change” they were promised isn’t consistent with America’s core centrist moderate values.

Take this simple test.  Remember, each is a sliding scale from Left to Right.  Ask yourself; “What do I believe?  Do I believe in individualism or collectivism?  Which describes my thoughts best?”

Well, there it is, the Great Constitutional Divide[1].  Given that most Americans describe themselves as being “in the center” you may correctly conclude that the column on the right most accurately describes most Americans and, the column on the right is pretty much the center for the United States.  The stress many are feeling is that of a minority within the government, the major media and in our colleges and universities who are tugging us unwillingly into their Brave New World.

While this has been evolving since the early 20th Century, we may thank Barak Hussain Obama for forcing the issue and for waking up the great silent majority.  Just remember, you are the center and they are the extreme.


[1] With many thanks to Alan Korwin for providing most of the contrasting text within the two boxes. Be sure to visit him at www.gunlaws.com

Filed Under: Constitutional Law, Culture, Government, Government Reform, Liberals, Political Correctness, Political Parties, Political Science, Predictions, States Rights, Town Hall

2011 Predictions

January 1, 2011 By 18 Comments

Happy New Years to all our readers!

We now get to make those annual predictions of what we expect to take place on the political scene here in Arizona over the next year. I’ll lead off the post with a handful of my own.

Please feel free to comment on mine and throw a few of your own out for discussion in the comments.

The State Budget will remain in turmoil. Despite supermajorities in both houses by the GOP, Republicans will be divided on where to make appropriate budget cuts. The Arizona Education Association will threaten, bully and manipulate Republicans in swing districts to avoid touching that portion of the budget that funds education (a lot). The Governor will attempt to assuage both sides of the party and the teachers union and other state-funded lobbies leading to more chaos. This will be a classic triangulation maneuver. A schism will likely form between House and Senate leadership over this issue. Senate leadership will have to deal with a handful of education-backed senators who will force a compromise. The legislative session will run long while the agenda will be tumultuous. Watch for the typical fear, loathing and hyperbole from the left and unions.

Immigration will remain a prominent issue but will be forced to take a lower priority on the legislative agenda. Supporters of Birthright Citizenship will be frustrated by the pace of action and will threaten to run a statewide initiative in 2012.

Kyrsten Sinema will rise as the most prominent, vocal, outspoken and appealing leader in the Democratic party. Because she serves in a “safe” district, she will have the luxury to say what’s on her mind and not care what anyone thinks. This will be real drama for the media and political pundits as they run to Kyrsten any time they need a quote. She will be one very busy Democrat.

Mitt Romney will be the first to form a presidential team in the State of Arizona. Based with east valley leadership, Romney will make several trips to Arizona setting up the most formidable and well organized campaigns in the State of Arizona. Other presidential campaign teams will struggle to gain a foothold in the State. Palin will decide against a run.

The new 9th Congressional District will be formed in the east side of the state. It will take in the east valley as it’s primary population base and will cut all the way across to the eastern border with New Mexico. CD-1 will have it’s lower eastern section lopped off and Pinal County will form a major part of the district. CD-7 will lose a section of the west valley. CD-6 will consolidate further north and may edge into CD-5. CD-4 will become more concentrated to the Central Phoenix area.

The race for CD-9 will see several east valley names jump in. Among those: Jeff Smith, Chuck Gray, Paul Babeu, and Bryan Martyn. Kirk Adams will entertain the possibility but will be a hold out based on where the lines are drawn and the outcome of the State Budget crisis.

The GOP Congressional delegation will hold strong to the principles they were elected. However, frustration will mount over the slow-pace and resistance found in the Senate. The challenge to the House-controlled GOP will be to stay focused on passing legislation and not attacking President Obama.

Rob Haney will win another term as Maricopa County Chairman. Bruce Ash will be the next Arizona Republican Party Chairman. Democrats will continue to flounder over who is really running their party.

The Arizona TEA Party movement will finally realize it needs to fully inject itself into the GOP party process if it wants to impact election outcomes.

One more. The Arizona Legislature will explore avenues to tax medicinal marijuana thus creating an inherent interest in keeping it around forever.

=======

Now it’s your turn…

Filed Under: Predictions

Predictions Anyone?

November 1, 2010 By 33 Comments

In just 24 hours the polls will close and millions of Americans will hopefully assuage the anger that has dominated our political culture since November of 2008.

It has been a long two years. Let me say that again. It has been a long two years.

Many great people have run for public office over the last year and a half. Some did not make it past the primary but I know they will continue to do great things. I look for some of them to return.

As we head toward the finish line tomorrow at 7 PM, I hope and pray all the hard work that we have done will pay off. Given the current political temperature, I sense it will be a “hot” evening for Republicans.

So without throwing my predictions out on the table, I’d like to hear from our readers on what to expect.

Filed Under: Predictions

Predictions Anyone?

August 24, 2010 By 21 Comments

Here are my predictions on several races:

CD-1: Rusty Bowers
CD-2: Trent Franks
CD-3: Too close to call!
CD-4: Janet Contreras
CD-5: David Schweikert
CD-6: Jeff Flake*
CD-7: Ruth McClung
CD-8: Jesse Kelly

Attorney General: Andrew Thomas
Superintendent of Public Instructions: Too close to call
State Treasurer: Thayer Verschoor
County Attorney: Bill Montgomery

*This race will hinge on whether the TEA Party movement can get their people to the polls!

Filed Under: Predictions

JD Hayworth–A Legend In His Own Mind

August 19, 2010 By 19 Comments

On CNBC this morning, House Majority Leader and FreedomWorks Chair Dick Armey ripped former Congressman Hayworth. 

CNBC’S JOHN HARWOOD: Mr. Leader, let me ask you for your evaluation, having served a long time with J.D. Hayworth, that a) he’s one of the dumbest members of Congress, b) John McCain’s criticism of him is somebody who took too much money from Jack Abramoff and is somehow tied into the influence scandal. And thirdly, his criticism for free trade and of business on immigration.

 
DICK ARMEY: First off, remember, I’m a free market economist that begins with Adam Smith. So obviously free trade is a position I’m going to draw a sharp distinction between myself and the position taken by J.D. It was my job for eight years to manage the Republican majority. I’ve made this point in Arizona. J.D. had a fairly undistinguished career. I don’t remember a single legislative initiative that he took nor do I recall him actively working on a legislative manner. J.D. was quite an orator. He would take the well and give fairly good orations. But –

 
HARWOOD: He noted that yesterday he was the first Republican to serve from Arizona to serve on Ways and Means. And he’s saying in his ads and in the town meetings that he helped write the Bush tax cuts.


ARMEY: Well, is that right?


HARWOOD: Yep.


ARMEY: See, I was there at the time, but I must have been busy with something else because I missed that

The House Majority Leader says he “missed” JD having anything to do with the Bush tax cuts.  He also can’t remember JD being of much use in the House but does remember that he could sure  talk a lot and well.  Hmmm…maybe that is where he gets the “consistent” label!

YouTube Preview Image

 

 

So, what do people who deal in reality think? 

Armey commented on that, too.  Armey predicted a decisive McCain victory on Tuesday, saying

The fact of the matter is that we consistently hear from our ears on the ground, our real activists who are involved is that John McCain cannot be beaten in the Republican primary in Arizona. I think the polling data that the experts from afar garner from it validates the observations of our activists. So I would predict John McCain to win this thing and win it decisively based on the polling data which is the second better source from our people on the ground.”

 

UPDATE…You may see the entire interview here.  The excerpted dialogue calling the election for McCain can be seen at about   2:52 into the over 5 minute long video.  The section of the interview where Mr. Harwood asks Mr. Armey questions begins at 3:45 and continues as Mr. Armey says he must have “missed” JD having anything to do with writing the Bush tax cuts.

Filed Under: Campaigns & Elections, Ethics, Predictions

Why and how John McCain could lose the General Election

August 16, 2010 By 37 Comments

Earlier this year, I asserted that Democrats would have a tough time winning in any General Election in 2010. I’m not so sure that will be the case if John McCain wins the Primary Election on August 24th.

Throughout the Republican Primary in Arizona, John McCain has had willing accomplices in the local media. Every step of the way, local and national reporters have given him a free pass having virtually ignored his sudden changes in positions nor questioning his motives for such newly adopted positions. At times, it even appears as if both Dan Nowicki of the Arizona Republic and James King of the Phoenix New Times have been in competition over who might succeed as McCain’s next press secretary. Each “reporter” has had a direct pipeline to McCain’s Director of Communications, Brian Rogers who once served as the Director of Research for Al Gore’s Climate Initiative Project.

Even more disturbing has been the media’s profound and overt bias against JD Hayworth. Every assertion and attack by Team McCain against JD Hayworth has remained unquestioned and assumed true.

Despite the media’s apparent “love affair” with John McCain, their may be a more sinister motive at play after the Primary Election. Could media coverage of the Republican Primary actually be part of an underhanded effort to nominate McCain because he will be a weakened and more vulnerable candidate against the Democratic nominee in the General Election?

Before you rule out this hypothesis, consider the factors at play.

Over John McCain’s entire 28 years of service, Democrats have far more damning evidence available and at their disposal to be used in a General Election. One only needs to review the many websites and blogs Democrats created in 2007-2008 archiving and detailing John McCain’s long history of gaffes, unflattering video and now flip-flops. The Democratic National Committee may even see another effort to defeat John McCain as another top trophy on the wall.

Conservative Republicans and TEA Party members are furious with John McCain over his sudden untrustworthy “conservative conversion.” He is viewed as the Republican version of John Kerry with his endless list of election year flip-flops. There is also anger by fellow conservatives and Independent voters over his endless relentless attacks on fellow Republican JD Hayworth. It is very rare that an incumbent US Senator spends $20 Million against a challenger in a Primary Election. But what really infuriates conservatives is the fabrication of lies and the blatant name-calling by Senator John McCain. It was a shock to the conservative faithful when John McCain on television called JD Hayworth a “pig.” This will not be forgotten anytime before November 2nd.

If John McCain is renominated as the Republican candidate on August 24th, conservatives and TEA Party members will likely not vote for him. He has already lost his base of support with conservatives and Independent voters are turned off by his unstatesmanlike behavior.

And Democrats are hopeful just as they were in 2008, that John McCain will once again snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. He’s old, tired, uninspiring and they believe they may even be able to pull off another upset as Republicans will remain disgusted and divided over their nominee.

Conservative Republicans simply won’t care if John McCain wins or loses. They know what they’ll get in the end and there will be little differentiation between the Democrat and John McCain. And unfortunately, this time, John McCain won’t have Sarah Palin to bail him out.

Filed Under: Campaign Finance, Predictions

Is it time for him to ‘Buz’ off?

May 2, 2010 By 11 Comments

The mounting controversies surrounding Buz Mills are making it increasingly likely that he will not be able to continue his campaign for Governor much longer.  The Arizona Capitol Times and other news outlets are reporting that he is rapidly losing momentum in the contest:

Revelations that Mills had defrauded business partner in Florida and conflicting messages from his campaign that muddied his position on Arizona’s employer sanctions law have set the stage for attacks against him in the Republican gubernatorial primary.

Republican consultant Constantin Querard said Mills’ campaign has been damaged, and the negative image will get worse if he doesn’t address the issue more thoroughly.

“It does have the potential to cost him the race,” Querard said.  Most damaging, perhaps, was the news on April 26 that a Florida judge ruled in 2001 that Mills had defrauded a business partner during the sale of his telecommunications company.

According to court documents, Mills bilked business partner John Mortellite out of several million dollars by arranging the sale of OPM-USA, Inc. without telling Mortellite and then buying out Mortellite’s 10-percent share of the company for much less than it was worth. Mills and his wife, Sonja, owned 90 percent of the communications company.
The overwhelming evidence that he defrauded a former business partner out of millions of dollars in Florida is being viewed by many observers as something that could very will be an insurmountable obstacle for Buz Mills:

Pollster Bruce Merrill, an Arizona State University professor who runs the Cronkite/Eight Poll, said the fraud ruling has the potential to damage Mills’ campaign.

“In a primary race, it certainly could hurt,” Merrill said. “I think the key thing would be whether one of his opponents would use it as the basis for a commercial or something like that.”

Mortellite was a neighbor of the Millses in 1995 when the three of them formed OPM, which was created to build cellular towers and sell them to communications companies. Mortellite bought a 10 percent share of the company for $100,000.

Mills’ dispute with Mortellite began in 1997 after Mills began talks with American Tower L.P. to sell OPM-USA, which he ultimately sold for $105 million. But he bought out Mortellite for just $1.5 million without telling him about American Tower’s offer or disclosing OPM’s full value, according to court documents. Mills even told Mortellite to extend a vacation for several weeks to keep him from finding out about the negotiations with American Tower.

When Mortellite returned from vacation, Mills fired him. Later, at an August 1997 board meeting, Mortellite agreed to leave the company and take the buyout based on an incorrect assumption about the company’s value, according to court documents. Mills didn’t tell Mortellite about American Tower’s offer, even when Mortellite’s attorney asked at the board meeting whether OPM was involved in any pending transactions.
How can Buz possibly continue his race for Governor now that this has come to light?  More importantly, what else don’t we know about this man and his background?  Can conservatives really vote for him in good conscience and expect him to uphold their values?  Is it time for him to ‘Buz’ off?
Filed Under: Campaigns & Elections, Conspiracy Theories, Crime and Punishment, Government, Predictions, State Government, Uncategorized, Voters Guide

Jim Deakin, helping McCain get re-elected?

April 26, 2010 By 26 Comments

The countdown for candidates filing with the Election Services starts April 26th and the last day to file is at 5 p.m. on May 26. With this deadline in mind…one starts to think about the candidates running and who should “fold” up shop and decide where to shift their support to, etc.

John McCain has been losing his political foothold in Arizona since January of this year. He picked up 53% of the potential GOP Primary vote at that point, whereas Hayworth had about 31% support. Now THESE TWO are so close in percentages that it could go either way. On April 16th Rasmussen telephone polls reported McCain at 47% and Hayworth at 42%; realistically thats within the margin of error. Two percent (2%) of that same poll preferred some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) were undecided. I’m assuming that the 2%  who preferred another candidate were supporting Jim Deakin, aka the “other JD” and the self designated “Tea Party Candidate”.

Results of a GOP Straw Poll performed on January 16 had shown that Jim Deakin was leading all registered candidates and a subsequent press release claimed that he “was in a great position to perform probably the biggest upset in Arizona politics”. It is now April 26th and most non-politically active voters that I have talked to have still never heard of Deakin or the groups that have officially endorsed him. They have however heard of JD Hayworth and John McCain. [Read more...]

Filed Under: Campaigns & Elections, Predictions

I am Ben Quayle

April 16, 2010 By 18 Comments
YouTube Preview Image

This video pretty much sums up the Quayle for Congress campaign. Bless his heart.

Filed Under: Advertising, Campaigns & Elections, Charity, Family, Predictions

Does Kyl, McCain coming out against sales tax hike doom Prop. 100, Brewer’s primary hopes?

March 8, 2010 By 14 Comments

mccain-65-logo

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: Monday, March 8, 2010

JOINT STATEMENT BY SENATORS JOHN McCAIN AND JON KYL REGARDING PROP. 100

Washington, D.C. – U.S. Senators John McCain (R-Ariz.) and Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.) released the following joint statement regarding Proposition 100:

“We appreciate the hard work that the Governor and the Legislature have done to try to solve the state’s fiscal problems, and though we hadn’t planned to comment on what is rightly a state issue – the proposed increase in the state’s sales tax – we’ve been asked by various news media for our views.

“We support the right of Arizonans to decide the issue of a short-term sales tax increase on the local level.  However, as Arizonans and Americans across our nation continue to face perilous economic times, we fundamentally oppose increasing taxes on small businesses and working families.

“We recognize the difficult fiscal situation Arizona finds itself in and we appreciate the tireless dedication by our state’s elected officials to solve the budget problems.”

###

Please post the McCain vs. Hayworth comments on the prior post… here, let’s discuss what the Sonoran Alliance‘s readership thinks of the prospects for passage of Proposition 100… and, for that matter, the prospects for Jan Brewer’s campaign to capture the GOP nomination for governor if the sales tax increase fails on May 18th?   — MBW    

Filed Under: Predictions, Press Release, State Government, Taxation Tagged With: , , , ,

Al Gore goes Girly-Man to save his frauduant climate scheme

March 4, 2010 By 4 Comments

This was too much fun to pass up!  Thank you Kyle-Anne Shiver!! Who wrote this delightful piece…

http://bigjournalism.com/kashiver/2010/02/28/former-veep-goes-girly-man-has-hissy-fit-in-pages-of-new-york-times/

This piece of pure, dribbling, drooling emoting is going to either make you collapse in a torrent of tears or retch into the nearest barf bag.  The only human beings on the planet to whom this editorial would appeal are a bunch of 13-year-old girls without a single clue between them.

With hundreds of millions of dollars on the line, Al is going all out to save his massive investment in the Global Warming hysteria.  Here, he comes up with histrionics befitting the amount of personal loss he stands to suffer.

Ok, so this isn’t totally about Arizona … or is it?

How about the AzCC’s Residential Energy Standards?  Or the AzCC’s stepping out from their legal role as rate-payer watchdog and into making energy policy for Arizona that is; A) out of its pay-grade by the Arizona Constitution, and B) totally based on a outright fraud.

The RES and subsequent foray into “Green Energy” at all costs, without a thought to the real cost per Kwh for fantasy sources of reliable energy is a dangerous road for Arizona’s economic future.

Cost per on demand 24/7 available Kwh of “green electric generation” cannot compare with *clean coal* and *clean nuclear* power period.  Windmills and acres of solar panels dotting the landscape with miles of transmission towers and lines crisscrossing the environment altering the patterns of migratory birds and thunderstorms might be a Quixotic vision of an environmentalists utopia, but unfortunately reality bites.  The sun doesn’t shine 24 hours a day, so you need environmentally unfriendly Lithium batteries to store the energy for later use.  The wind doesn’t blow 24 hours a day in exactly the right velocity and direction to provide on demand electricity for job producing industrial small businesses in a cost effective way.

Time to debunk the Green Dream.   We’ve even heard that schools in Arizona are spending unrestricted amounts of money to “green” up their classrooms.  Shouldn’t that be money better spent with the teachers and kids on real learning?

Anyway, until someone politically stands up and says “Look Mommy!  The Emperor is wearing NO clothes!!”  we will continue down the path to an “Olive Drab Green” future rather than the pretty green that Al Gore would have us believe in.

Filed Under: Conspiracy Theories, Energy, Environment, Liberals, Political Correctness, Predictions

Predictions 2010

December 31, 2009 By 16 Comments

I love watching the predictions heading into the new year. For you Horizon watchers, here is the video clip of predictions by local political reporters that aired on December 18th.

Here are my quick picks for 2010:

  1. JD Hayworth enters the race against John McCain and stuns the establishment with his ability to raise money.
  2. Janet Napolitano “resigns” before January 20th.
  3. The two traditionally financed gubernatorial candidates drop out of the race when Dean Martin finally enters the race and begins to “suck the oxygen out of the room.”

Now, it’s your turn to agree, disagree or make your own!

Filed Under: Predictions

Aborting and Importing – Is Immigration the Replacement for Native Born Population?

December 19, 2009 By 36 Comments
Where has the color blind society gone?

Where has the color blind society gone?

WASHINGTON — The estimated time when whites will no longer make up the majority of Americans has been pushed back eight years — to 2050 — because the recession and stricter immigration policies have slowed the flow of foreigners into the U.S.

http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5jO8jbAnwaP-wLfs93UGI-l_-llMgD9CKM8VG0

It was once said, by the losing side of the last major debate over immigration,  ‘… they who control a nation’s immigration policy control the future of that nation.’

That was said in 1924 just prior to the passage of the Immigration Act of 1924.   Many are unaware that in the nearly two decades leading up to this legislation , the issue of immigration had been building to a crescendo of national passion and debate.  So what’s changed?

Consider carefully the policies, cultural practices, religious orientation, and achievements of the United States prior to the last huge wave of population migration onto our shores.  This flood of humanity, many responding to the words on the Statue of Liberty, lasted for just a bit more than one generation, about 30 years.

During that time our population grew dramatically and peoples mostly from Eastern Europe and the Mediterranean region fled oppression and  sought new political expression within our borders.  Certainly they did not assimilate immediately.  However, its been now about three generations and look at the changes in our policies, cultural practices, religious orientation and society today.  The wave of immigration shown in this chart certainly changed America.

Notice the absence of illegal immigration since President Reagans limited amnesty program in the 1980s

Notice the absence of illegal immigration since President Reagan's limited amnesty program in the 1980's

Now consider the abortion chart below (provided courtesy of the Alan Guttmacher Institute, special research affiliate of Planned Parenthood Federation of America.

Abortions in the US since RvW

This graph is a link to source.

There have been more than 32.5 million abortions in the twenty one years since the U.S. Supreme Court legalized unrestricted abortion on January 22, 1973.

Conservative immigration statistics; the impact on population however is culmutive

This graph is a link to original

Next consider the chart of illegal immigration into the United States – presently supported by some U.S. Senators from border states and entirely supported by the previous U.S. Administration.

Next consider the chart of illegal immigration into the United States – presently supported by some U.S. Senators from border states and entirely supported by the previous U.S. Administration.

Unlike any culture in history, we are aborting our children.  Have we bought into the Self-Hate so much that we are committing a protracted national and cultural suicide?

America can you handle the CHANGE?  You’ll have to.  Consider once again that we are aborting our native born population and importing their replacements.  The numbers speak for themselves.

Presently the Department of Homeland Security estimates the population of individuals residing within the United States now to be somewhere in the neighborhood of 12 million souls.  This does not include children of undocumented residents.  They are counted as legal citizens under a Supreme Court interpretation of the Constitution.

A glimpse of the past is necessary once again here.  In 1964 the Republicans passed the Civil Rights Act, and under Republican President Richard Nixon the first Affirmative Action programs were instituted in 1971.  There are 2 cases ruled by the SCOTUS that directly shaped the outcome of these actions;   Griggs v. Duke Power Company in 1971 and  the University of California v. Bakke in 1978 in which a minority student was admitted to the university’s medical school with a C+ undergraduate grade average over a non-minority student who held an A- undergraduate GPA.

The entire point of this trip down memory lane is to understand where we are as a people today.  To understand why the Associate Press in conjunction with other mainstream media chose to highlight the story that is linked to in the opening paragraph of this blog.  Why does it matter when the whites become a minority?  If we are moving towards a color blind society, it should not.  Yet there it was in big headlines on Yahoo.

Please understand, Veritas is not really concerned about daily life in the North American Union much after 2040.   For me the point is moot.   My hope is to bequeath to posterity an  independent, sovereign and color blind United States in which the innocent unborn native population will realize the American Dream.   Unchecked immigration is no substitute for a healthy birthrate.

Really think about it.  Has immigration become a substitute for a natural birth rate?  And consider the impacts of a generation of immigration, remembering the first huge wave of immigration from Eastern Europe and the changes it has wrought in all sectors of our society and has influenced our view of government and society.

So what might the United States look like in 3 generations following the mid-1980s, or a decade before there is no more ethnic majority?  And what cultural, political and religious changes will their posterity on our shores bring?    Here are the sources for the look of the future.

Country of Origin (January 2006)
Mexico 6,840,000 57%
Latin & Central Amer. 3,000,000 24%
Asia 1,080,000 9%
Europe + Canada 720,000 6%
Rest of World 480,000 4%
Filed Under: Border, Culture, Demographics, Family, History, Illegal Immigration, Migrants, Predictions, Sanctity of Life
« Older Posts