NEWS ALERT: Romney Pulls Ahead in Arizona

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: September 21, 2011
CONTACT: Chad Willems

PHOENIX, AZ – The Summit Consulting Group is pleased to release top line results from a live telephone survey of 600 likely Republican Presidential Preference voters statewide. The survey was conducted September 19th and 20th and has a margin of error of ± 4%.

The Key Findings:
Now, if the Feb 28th Presidential preference primary were held today and the Republican candidates were (ROTATE): Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, for whom would you vote?

Mitt Romney 31%
Rick Perry 25%
Michele Bachmann 5%
Herman Cain 5%
Newt Gingrich 4%
Ron Paul 3%
Jon Huntsman 2%
Rick Santorum >1%
UNDECIDED 24%

Summary:
While this is our first Presidential Preference survey for the 2012 election, it appears Arizona Republican voters have narrowed their choices down to two top contenders. Clearly this race is now between Governors Perry and Romney. Governor Romney has visited the state multiple times while Governor Perry has yet to make a visit to the Grand Canyon state. Rep. Bachmann has visited Arizona twice in the last six months, most recently for a private campaign fundraiser as well as a meeting with Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio.

Nearly 8 in 10 respondents (77%) identified their political ideology as “conservative,” nearly 20% as “moderates” while the remainder self-identified themselves as “liberal” Republicans.

This survey was not commissioned by any of the candidates but is only part of an ongoing series of public opinion surveys on topics of political interest Summit will be conducting throughout the election cycle.

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Opposition to Phoenix Food Tax Remains Strong

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: September 14, 2011
CONTACT: Chad M. Willems

58% of Voters Who Vote in City Elections Opposed

(PHOENIX, AZ) Today, Summit Consulting Group released the following results from a recent citywide survey of voters who vote in the city of Phoenix elections.

“Our survey found 58% of voters who have a history of voting in city of Phoenix elections are opposed to the food tax,” said Chad Willems, President of Summit Consulting Group. “With over 41% of city voters strongly opposed to this tax, this issue will remain a hot button issue for the November ballot.”

Summit Consulting Group conducted the survey from September 12 through September 13 with voters who have a history of voting in city of Phoenix elections. The sample size for the survey was 400 voters and has a margin of error of +/-5%. Their registration breakdown is: 45% Democratic, 41% Republican, and 14% Independent.

Survey Question:

Last year, the Phoenix City Council voted to implement a 2 percent sales tax on food that is sold within the city. In terms of support or opposition to this food tax, would you say you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose?

Strongly support: 10.55%
Somewhat support: 22.48%
Somewhat oppose: 16.05%
Strongly oppose: 41.74%
Unsure/DK: 8.26%
Refused: 0.92%

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New Poll: Who Will You Vote For in the Arizona US Senate GOP Primary?

Sonoran Alliance just posted a new online poll which we would like to have your participation.

This week, we’re asking who you will vote for in the GOP Primary race for US Senate.

Candidates include, Congressman Jeff Flake, Businessman Wil Cardon, Businessman Doug McKee or someone completely different.

We will leave this poll open for one week and close it next Friday.

Please be sure to share with your networks!

Jennifer Wright Clobbers Competitors in Sonoran Alliance Phoenix Mayor’s Race Online Poll!

Last Saturday, Sonoran Alliance posted a new online poll asking our readers who they would vote for as the next Mayor of Phoenix. Those results are in and the winner is…

Jennifer Wright!

Here is a screenshot of the poll results after a week of voting. (click on image for actual size.)

As you can see, Wright was able to outpace all her competitors winning 54% of the vote. If these were actual results, the Phoenix Mayor’s race would be over since any candidate winning 50% + 1 of the votes does not head to a run-off election.

So we congratulate Jennifer Wright on her online poll victory and watch and wait as the real votes add up.

And other candidates, please continue to send your press releases to sonoranalliance@gmail.com if you want to get your word out.

Salmon Holds Commanding 30 Point Lead

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: July 26, 2011
CONTACT: Adam Deguire

Opponents in Dead Heat for 2nd Place Among Likely Primary Voters

EAST VALLEY – Former Congressman and candidate for Arizona’s 6th Congressional District Matt Salmon today announced his campaign to return to Congress holds a commanding early lead in the race for the Republican nomination. In a recent survey conducted by top Arizona polling firm, Arizona Opinion, Salmon received a 30 point advantage over his closest competitor:

If the Republican primary election to choose a candidate to represent this area in the U.S. House were held today, for whom would you vote? [Rotate] Matt Salmon, Kirk Adams, OR Chuck Gray?

38.3% Matt Salmon
8.3% Kirk Adams
6.5% Chuck Gray
47.0% Undecided, Refused

The scientific survey (attached) of 400 likely primary voters in the current Congressional District 6 was conducted over July 18-19. Nearly 92% of those surveyed said they were certain to vote in next year’s primary election.

Dr. Margaret Kenski, President of Arizona Opinion, stated, “Certainly this poll indicates that Matt Salmon begins his campaign with a significant advantage over his opponents. Salmon is in a strong position to earn the support among those who remain undecided and increase his lead towards the all-important 50 percent level.”

“As I continue to meet with people throughout the community, I have been humbled by the overwhelmingly strong support my campaign has received,” said Matt Salmon. “The results of this survey reflect what I have been seeing and hearing every day. There is still much more work to be done, but it is clear that we need to change the direction that our country is headed by sending the most experienced and principled leaders back to Congress. I look forward to sharing more about my track record of reducing spending, balancing the budget, and fighting for conservative values.”

About Arizona Opinion
Arizona Opinion is an Arizona-based consulting firm with survey and other data-based research and focus groups and experience dating back to 1978. Located in Tucson, the firm has conducted research for organizations, campaigns, and candidates for all levels of state, local, and municipal government.

Dr. Margaret Kenski has served as a pollster for the Arizona Republican Party, Congressmen Mo Udall, Jim Kolbe, and Jeff Flake, Senator Jon Kyl, Governors Jane Dee Hull and Fife Symington, and numerous other state and local candidates and ballot proposition committees. Kenski has also conducted survey research on ballot measures and proposed legislation for such diverse entities as the Beer and Wine Distributors of Arizona, Intel, Qwest, and the Arizona State University Foundation.

About Matt Salmon
Matt Salmon was first elected to the United States Congress in 1994 and served until 2000, honoring his term limit pledge. A proud fiscal conservative, Salmon was rated in the top five among all 535 members of the House and Senate by Citizen’s Against Government Waste for all six years he was in office. He is a lifetime member of the NRA with an A+ rating and also earned a 100% rating by the National Right to Life. He was also the proud recipient of the American Cancer Society’s “Top National Elected Official” award.

Matt Salmon has received endorsements from Arizona Congressman Trent Franks, former Arizona Congressman John Shadegg, Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio, East Valley mayors Gail Barney (Queen Creek), Hugh Hallman (Tempe) and John Insalaco (Apache Junction).

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Stand for Marriage? You’re Not Alone

Stand for Marriage? You’re Not Alone

Most of the popular culture would have you think that if you believe in the true definition of marriage, you are part of a small minority. A new comprehensive study by the Alliance Defense Fund suggests otherwise. In what is likely the most extensive national research survey of its kind, ADF and Public Opinion Strategists found that 62 percent of Americans believe that “marriage should be defined only as a union between one man and one woman.”

This actually shouldn’t come as a shock. When this issue has been before the voters, 31 states have voted to protect marriage in their state constitution – like Arizona did in 2008. Reality is that we have much to be hopeful about in our battle to preserve the definition of marriage.

Who is the Father?

Father’s Day sparked a slew of stories about dads and their role in the family. Jennifer Lahl wrote this piece about a recent decision by British Columbia’s high court in favor of donor-conceived children having access to their biological information. Rulings like this are critical to advancing the public conversation about In Vitro Fertilization and understanding the rights of all involved – especially the children.

The New York Times told the story of a young boy, conceived through sperm donation, being raised by two women and the sperm donor (who the boy only knows as uncle right now) and the sperm donor’s same-sex partner. The problems with this arrangement are evident, and the long term effects on the child in this story will probably never be told. When the needs of children are second to the wants of adults, there are always consequences, and sadly, it’s typically the children who pay the price.

On the Radio

On Monday, I was on for the full hour of the Andrew Tallman Show on 1360 KPXQ AM to discuss the Abortion Consent Act litigation. I had a great time with Andrew talking about the pro-life movement in Arizona. Click here to listen to the podcast.

City Elections Impact Everyone

On the Foundations blog this week, CAP’s Blackstone legal intern Angelina wrote about the impact one city’s election can have on the entire state. Read more here.

Time is Running Out to Register to Vote

Many city elections are just two months away. If you’re not registered to vote, you’ll want to soon! If you are, please forward this email to your friends and family, and remind them to register and be sure to turn out to vote on August 30. We are in the process of compiling the results for our city election Voter Guide and will be publishing them in the next few weeks to AZVoterGuide.com.

 

Friday Poll: Do you support or oppose the recall of Senator Russell Pearce?

It’s Friday again and that means a new poll! This time we’re asking the question whether or not you support or oppose the recall of Senator Russell Pearce.

The poll will remain open until next Friday and will limit voting based on cookie and IP address.

This will also be your chance to sound off on the committee supporting and committee opposing the recall effort.

Friday Poll: Whose your pick for Tucson Mayor?

This Friday’s poll will focus on the race for Mayor of Tucson.

Tucson is a tough municipality to get elected as a conservative. The current mayor, Bob Walkup – a Republican, was elected in 1999 and won re-election twice. He will not be seeking a second term.

This leaves the field to four candidates: Shaun McClusky, Jonathan Rothschild, Ron Asta and Marshall Home. Two other candidates, Jon McLane, a Green Party candidate, withdrew and threw his support behind Republican Shaun McClusky. Another candidate, Thomas Lombardi, a Democrat also withdrew from the race.

As we go to post this poll, we have some questions regarding the credibility of Marshall Home as a candidate. If anyone knows whether Mr. Home is still in the race or is not qualified to run, please let us know.

(The poll will remain open until next Friday and will limit repeat voting.)

Friday Poll: GOP Presidential Picks

It’s mid May, 2011 and we thought it would be a good time to take the temperature of the GOP Presidential Primary race again. This time, there are officially announced candidates as well as a few who have officially bowed out.

The poll will remain open until next Friday so be sure to share it with your friends online!

To add a little wackiness to the poll, here’s a little graphic we thought we’d include.

Friday Poll: The Race for Phoenix Mayor

 

This Friday’s poll is now up and we’re asking who you would vote for as Mayor of Phoenix. You can vote via our sidebar or by clicking here.

The poll will be up one week and will limit voting based on cookie/IP address.

If you have an idea for a poll, please email us at sonoranalliance@gmail.com.

Poll Results, Prognosis: Overwhelming Doom & Gloom!

We have to admit that the results from last week’s Friday poll did not surprise us. For months, We have been hearing plenty of pessimism from pundits, our readers and the voters. What we did not expect was how bad the collective prognosis really is.

Here is the graphic of the poll results:

Looking at the numbers, almost 34% believe the US is heading in the wrong direction but even more shocking is that 48% polled believe we are heading for catastrophe!

Almost 82% of our readers believe we’re in deep trouble!

We’d love to hear your continued comments about the poll as well as where you think we’re heading.

As we close out this poll, perhaps this YouTube video by Paul Revere 2012, captures the sentiment of Americans:

YouTube Preview Image

 

Last Friday’s Poll Results: Best Arizona Daily Political Talk Radio Show is…

Last Friday’s poll is now closed and the results are in!

According to our readers, Jon Justice of Tucson’s 104.1 The Truth, earned the highest number of votes for “Best daily political talk radio in Arizona.” Congratulations Jon!

Here are the remaining results including vote counts:

  1. Jon Justice: 101 votes / 23.71%
  2. Mike Broomhead: 80 votes / 18.78%
  3. Clair “Van The Radio Man” VanSteenwyk: 73 votes / 17.14%
  4. Barry Young : 66 votes / 15.49%
  5. Jim Sharpe: 33 votes / 7.75%
  6. Other names: 18 votes / 4.23%
  7. Bruce St. James: 14 votes / 3.29%
  8. Chris DeSimone & Joe Higgins: 8 votes / 1.88%
  9. John C. Scott: 6 votes / 1.41%
  10. Steve Goldstein: 6 votes / 1.41%
  11. Mac & Gaydos: 6 votes / 1.41%
  12. Garret Lewis: 5 votes / 1.17%
  13. Jim Parisi: 5 votes / 1.17%
  14. Bill Buckmaster: 3 votes / 0.7%
  15. Russ Clark: 2 votes / 0.47%

The total number of votes cast was 426 votes which was our highest ranking poll since we began Friday polling several weeks ago. Keep in mind that these polls are not scientific and they do prevent repetitive voting based on a cookie and IP address.

It’s also important to note that the final results also attest to which radio program/host has an active social media following. Watching Facebook and Twitter, anyone could see that several of the personalities were asking their followers to vote.

Regarding the names on the list, we did our best to include every Arizona-based, daily, political talk show host from Tucson to Yuma and Phoenix to Flagstaff.

I have also listened to or met almost everyone on the list and will tell you that each one is unique and does a great job with their shows covering the issues, interviewing guests and entertaining listeners. I encourage our readers to make an effort to listen to their shows whenever possible.

For a graph of the final results click here.

Friday Poll: Who has the best daily political/talk radio show in Arizona?

This Friday, we’re asking who you listen to and who you think has the best political/talk radio show in Arizona. We’re trying to cover the entire State of Arizona from Flagstaff to Yuma and Phoenix to Tucson. Arizona has an abundance of politically astute, satirical and entertaining radio personalities. The list (with links) includes:

This is your chance to vote for your favorite daily political radio show and tell us why they have the political news and talk in Arizona. (And if we’ve forgotten someone, please let us know!)

(The poll will remain open for one week and limits voting to one vote/IP address.)

Friday Poll: What’s Your Tax Burden?

Today is Tax Day (although legally you have until Monday at  midnight to file) and Sonoran Alliance is asking “what’s your tax burden?”

We’re asking if you are paying more, less or the same as you did for tax year 2009 for last year? Or, are you still trying to figure out what your tax burden is?

These are certainly tough economic times and for many, owing taxes to the state or federal government adds insult to injury.

We want to hear your thoughts on taxes so here’s your chance to vent!

Friday Poll: Who’s Governing Best?

With plenty of drama in state and federal government, this week we’re asking who is doing the best job governing.

Here’s your chance to vote and comment on who is doing the best job. Sonoran Alliance is widely read by state and federal elected officials and we’re sure they’d love to read what your’re thinking about how they’re doing.

New Poll: Congressman Trent Franks out – Who should run?

Friday Poll: Are Arizona’s elected officials culpable in the Fiesta Bowl Scandal?

This Friday’s poll asks the question whether or not Arizona elected officials are culpable in the Fiesta Bowl scandal. Did they know what they were getting themselves into when they accepted “gifts” from Fiesta Bowl officials/employees or were they completely in the dark? Or is ignorance no excuse in this case?

Are Arizona’s lobbying and gifts statutes too lenient or too strict? What about disclosure? Should it be full and immediate?

It certainly seems that this scandal will continue to broaden and have an impact as well. How will it affect both parties and will it lead to further reforms in the areas of campaign finance, lobbying and non-profit reporting?