NEW POLL: Support for Glendale Casino Collapses

The following outlines the key findings from an automated survey commissioned by Coleman Dahm and Associates. Coleman Dahm does not have any financial interest on this issue. Interviews were conducted April 27, 2015 with likely statewide voters. The margin of error for the entire sample (n=845) is +/- 3.42% at the 95% confidence level. Initial support for the proposed casino collapses once voters become aware of the fraudulent activities of the Tohono O’odham Nation:

Initial Ballot Informed Ballot Differential

Initial Ballot                Informed Ballot                 Differential

SUPPORT                                            54%                           39%                                        -15%
OPPOSE                                               37%                           55%                                       +18%
UNDECIDED                                        9%                             6%                                          -3%

There is overwhelming support for Senator McCain and Senator Flake’s legislation to prohibit any new casinos from being built in the Phoenix area:

McCain/Flake Legislation

SUPPORT                                                61%
OPPOSE                                                   33%
UNDECIDED                                            6%

There is also broad support for the actions of the Governor, Attorney General, and the Arizona Department of Gaming to not certify gaming activity at the proposed Glendale casino.

Governor/AG/ADOG Activity

SUPPORT                                                56%
OPPOSE                                                   37%
UNDECIDED                                            7%

FINAL CONCLUSION

Based on the survey results there is overwhelming support from voters to oppose new gaming in the Phoenix metropolitan area. Once voters become aware of the various issues surrounding the conduct of those involved with this proposed casino, opposition grows by 18% to a clear majority in opposition. This survey shows that most of Arizona’s elected officials are acting with large support for their activities in trying to stop this casino.

MEDIA BLACKOUT – 35% of AZDems, 47% of AZ Latinos Support Deportation

illegals

A recent poll conducted by ASU’s Morrison Institute for Public Policy focused on several issues including the most important issue facing Arizona and our economy, illegal immigration.  The stunning results were intentionally muted by the local media in order to hide the fact that a large swath of Arizona Democrats agree with conservatives on the issue of deporting those in the country illegally.

Possibly more stunning than the fact that 35% of Democrats agree with conservatives on enforcing current immigration law is that Arizona Latinos agree with conservatives at a greater rate than Arizona Democrats — 47%.

What portion of the poll did the news editors choose to cover? Pot legalization.

Here are the main points from the poll:

  • 30% of AZ Dems & 51% of AZ Latinos disagree with the following statement – “Undocumented immigrants bolster Arizona’s workforce and we should do whatever’s necessary to make it easier for them to come to Arizona.”
  • 35% of AZ Dems, 47% of Latinos, & 53% of Independents agree with the following statement –  “Arizona should aggressively pursue the deportation of undocumented immigrants”

We at ArizonaInformer are waiting with baited breath for Phoenix New Slimes “Fat Bastard” Stephen Lemons, Laurie Roberts, and Brahm Resnik to label Arizona Democrats and Latinos as racist, nativists, who seek to ‘ethnically cleanse’ Arizona.

Costs and Tax Increase are a Train Wreck for Phoenix Transportation Plan

MBQF

Sticker Shock Drives Phoenicians Opinions Over Proposed Light Rail Expansion – Voters Favor Other Public Priorities

(Phoenix, AZ) — MBQF, a public opinion survey consulting firm, announced today the results of a recent public opinion survey conducted on March 5, 2015.  Although the results from the automated telephonic survey show likely Phoenix City voters give initial grudging support toward a light rail and transportation expansion plan – Phoenix voters quickly reverse course once educated about the potential costs and a tax increase.  Voters appear to remain skeptical over light rail for other priorities.

In the most recent automated telephonic survey of 580 likely Phoenix City voters, the survey calculates a 4.04% theoretical margin of error, plus or minus in percentage points, 95% of the time.  54.4% of respondents were women while 45.6% were men.

Almost two-thirds of respondents believe their tax-money should be prioritized elsewhere when asked,  “NOW, do you feel the city of Phoenix should prioritize transportation and spend $33 Billion dollars over the next 35 years that includes a proposed light rail expansion or do you believe the $33 billion dollars could be best spent in other areas such as education, public safety, police and fire, and health and disability services.”

Press 1 if you believe that the light rail and transportation is the best investment    34.83%

Press 2 if you believe that the money would be best used for other public needs      65.17%

Michael Noble concluded, “When 2/3 of voters agree on a spending issue, policy makers ought to take heed.  They are the type of numbers that are usually followed by a voter initiative.”
For more information about this survey, or a summary of topline data and wording, please contact MBQF Consulting. The margin of error for this survey is +/-4.04%.

Script

Hello, we are doing a brief survey on current issues within the City of Phoenix.  Some elected officials are considering spending tax dollars on transportation and we would like to ask your thoughts on these important issues.  Your name was selected at random and your responses are completely confidential.

1. Are you aware that the City of Phoenix has proposed spending $33 billion dollars over the next 35 years to triple the ridership of the current light rail and expand the transportation system?

Press 1 if you are aware     71.9%
Press 2 if you have never heard of it      22.24%
Press 3 if you are unsure    5.86%

2. Supporters of this potential light rail expansion argue that the plan would also expand bus services and improve or fix the city’s aging street system. Do you agree or disagree with these priorities?

Press 1 if you agree        53.79%
Press 2 if you disagree    46.21%

3. Are you aware that if the proposed light rail transportation expansion is approved it would increase Phoenix sales taxes by 15% and cost $161 Million per mile to build and operate? Would this information make you more likely or less likely to support the transportation expansion?

Press 1 for More Likely                  26.72%
Press 2 for Less Likely                   63.45%
Press 3 if it makes no difference     9.83%

4. NOW, do you feel the city of Phoenix should prioritize transportation and spend $33 Billion dollars over the next 35 years that includes a proposed light rail expansion or do you believe the $33 billion dollars could be best spent in other areas such as education, public safety, police and fire, and health and disability services.

Press 1 if you believe that the light rail and transportation is the best investment    34.83%
Press 2 if you believe that the money would be best used for other public needs    65.17%

5. If you were running the City of Phoenix, please tell me what you personally believe is the most important public priority as a taxpayer.   Would you invest tax dollars in Public Safety, Education, Disability services, expansion of the light rail or improvement of freeways/roads?

Press 1 for Public Safety   18.97%
Press 2 for Education        33.97%
Press 3 for Disability services   4.14%
Press 4 for expansion of the light rail    13.28%
Press 5 for repairing and improving current freeways and roads    19.48%
Press 6 if you are unsure   10.17%

6.  Leading the charge for the light rail transportation expansion is current Phoenix Mayor Greg Stanton, while the primary opponent of the light rail transportation expansion is Phoenix City Councilman Sal DiCiccio. Based on this, whose leadership do you most trust with your tax money?

Press 1 for Greg Stanton      35.17%
Press 2 for Sal DiCiccio        37.59%
Press 3 if you have no opinion at this time      27.24%

7.  Press 1 if you are Male          45.6%
Press 2 if you are Female      54.4%

Thank you for your time.

Kelli? Alex? Liberal Senator John McCain? Vote Now In Our AZSen Primary Poll

With the official launch of radio host Alex Meluskey’s campaign and last week’s launch of KelliPAC, we’ve decided to gauge the current level of support of each of the probable AZSen candidates.

Click HERE to vote!

Voting will close Sunday at 8pm.

POLL DANCING! Vote Now in Arizona Informer’s Poll on John McCain

As rumors of possible primary opponents grow, ArizonaInformer has decided to gauge the job approval rating of liberal, pro-Muslim Brotherhood Arizona Senator John McCain among grassroots conservatives.

CLICK HERE TO VOTE!

The poll will be closed tomorrow at 5pm AZ time.

 

MCCAIN COMES IN LAST IN FOUR-WAY RACE! Results of ArizonaInformer.com’s First AZ Senate Primary Poll

MCCAIN EHLast Friday we launched our first unscientific AZ Senate Primary poll and the results were interesting to say the least.   The poll was open for 24 hours and was open to all online voters.  While many are dismissive of online polls as unscientific, the importance of the poll is to gauge a general interest among Arizona activists who make phone calls, knock on doors, and are the most engaged in Arizona politics.  The primary purpose of these poll is to measure the probability of prospective campaigns and distinguish what we would believe to end up as an ‘also-ran’ versus true viability.

First, there were 730 ‘respondents’ to our poll but upon review of IP addresses and locations we knew there was rampant Paulbotesque ballot stuffing.  While we cannot say with certainty that there are not over 200 American citizens who can vote in Liberia, Moldova, The Netherlands, Sweden, Luxembourg, and a host of other nations — all which voted for McCain, we are going on the assumption that there was some nefarious double-voting/IP masking going on. Therefore to get a clearer picture we scrubbed all foreign IPs and multiple votes out of the tally as we know that many supporters use websites and programs such as Tor Browser that mask IPs to allow a person to vote multiple times from foreign IP addresses.  Once we removed the double votes and international IPs, we were left with 198 American respondents.

 

 

US voters McCain Poll

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The breakdown was:

Rep. Salmon – 62 votes
Liberal Senator John McCain – 54 votes
Rep. Gosar – 51 votes
Rep Schweikert – 31 votes

 

 

We further narrowed down the results to include only Arizona voters (scrubbed down to 168 respondents) which paint a very bad picture for Team McCain if he is challenged with a viable primary candidate.  AZInformer poll AZ voters

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

While it shows that McCain and Rep Schweikert is ‘tied’ for last at 17% the hard numbers were as follows:

Rep. Salmon – 54 votes
Rep. Gosar – 53 votes
Rep Schweikert – 29 votes
Liberal Senator John McCain – 28 votes

Yes, the liberal pro-gun control, pro-Amnesty Senator has come in dead last in our 4-way online poll of the most politically active activists in Arizona.

Since last week’s poll, reports have come out that Arizona State Senator Kelli Ward is considering challenging McCain.  In our next poll, we will include Sen. Ward to gauge the grassroots support for the Conservative stalwart and keep an eye out for online ballot stuffing and scrub the results as we did here.

If the grassroots have a viable candidate to get behind, the 2016 Arizona Senate Primary may be more interesting and exciting than those of either the GOP’s or the Democratic Party’s nomination for president.

————-

ArizonaInformer.com‘s primary mission to inform Arizonans with the Truth and amplify the voice of Citizen Journalists — all with a heavy dose of snark.

#War

WHO’S YOUR PICK? Our First AZSen Primary Poll

As we enter the presidential primary season, we cannot overlook that we have a Senate Primary in just over 16 months.  This is the first of ArizonaInformer‘s monthly online polls to gauge the interest of Arizona’s grassroots activists as we get closer to election day.

Click HERE to vote

 

Ted Cruz, A Favorite with Maricopa County Republican PC’s at Recent Meeting

As part of last Saturday’s Maricopa County Repubilcan Committee Convention, a Presidential Preference Straw Poll was held and this year’s winner was Texas Senator Ted Cruz. Coming in second was Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, and third was Ben Carson, whose supporters also went all out, setting up tables and hustling for votes among the GOP faithful.

Cruz’ victory wasn’t a surprise to conservative consultant Constantin Querard. “Ted Cruz does well with Republicans because he paints in bright colors and offers genuine contrast. He’s not afraid to speak the truth and his message of opportunity and optimism resonates with voters.” said Querard, who admitted to being a Cruz fan and whipping the vote for his preferred candidate in the straw poll.

Walker remains a conservative hero after passing several reforms in his blue state and then surviving a massive and well-funded recall effort.

Carson’s opposition to ObamaCare seemed to be his greatest selling point, although questions remain about his position on 2nd Amendment issues in particular.

Other candidates who performed well included Mitt Romney, Jeb Bush, and Rand Paul.

The candidates and their vote totals were as follows:

Ted Cruz 66
Scott Walker 59
Ben Carson 49
Mitt Romney 43
Jeb Bush 30
Rand Paul 29
Mike Huckabee 16
Rick Perry 13
Allen West 10
John Kasich 7
Newt Gingrich 5
Bobby Jindal 5
Condoleezza Rice 5
Dennis Michael Lynch 4
Rick Santorum 4
John Bolton 3
Marco Rubio 3
Chris Christie 2
Susana Martinez 2
Sarah Palin 2
Mike Pence 2
Herman Cain 1
Mitch Daniels 1
Nikki Haley 1
Paul Ryan 1
John Thune 1

Ted Cruz, Matt Salmon Win Straw Polls at Maricopa County Republican Election

Here are the results of the straw poll conducted during the January 10th Maricopa County Republican Committee Statutory meeting. The poll gauged precinct committeemen support for the 2016 Presidential candidates and support for the Republican nominee to the US Senate (currently held by John McCain).  Twenty-five poll sheets were provided to each of the 20 legislative districts to distribute to the first precinct committeemen to register.  The poll was separate from the balloting for officers and resolutions.

2016 Presidential Candidate – Votes
Ted Cruz – 66
Scott Walker – 59
Ben Carson – 49
Mitt Romney – 43
Jeb Bush – 30
Rand Paul – 29
Mike Huckabee – 16
Rick Perry – 13
Allen West – 10
John Kasich – 7
Newt Gingrich – 5
Bobby Jindal – 5
Condoleezza Rice – 5
Dennis Michael Lynch – 4
Rick Santorum – 4
John Bolton – 3
Marco Rubio – 3
Chris Christie – 2
Susana Martinez – 2
Sarah Palin – 2
Mike Pence – 2
Herman Cain – 1
Mitch Daniels – 1
Nikki Haley – 1
Paul Ryan – 1
John Thune – 1
Kelly Ayotte – 0
Haley Barbour – 0
Carly Fiorina – 0
Peter King – 0
Tim Pawlenty – 0
Rob Portman – 0
Brian Sandoval – 0
Tim Scott – 0

 

2016 Senate Candidate – Votes
Matt Salmon – 106
David Schweikert – 66
Sarah Palin – 49
John McCain – 39
Trent Franks – 38
Write in – 34
Christine Jones – 13
Jan Brewer – 8

Write-Ins – Votes
Paul Gosar – 18
Claire Van Steenwyk – 3
Gabby Saucedo Mercer – 2
Ray Kouns – 1
Joe Arpaio – 1
Wendy Biggs – 1
AJ LaFaro – 2
Kelli Ward – 1
Bill Montgomery – 2
Steve Smith – 1
Susan Bitter-Smith – 1
Mickey Mouse – 1

Mark Brnovich is Small Business’ Choice for Top Cop

Eighty-nine percent polled favor ex-gaming chief over former top banking regulator

PHOENIX, Ariz., Sept. 10, 2014 – Appreciating that the state’s attorney general is our last line of defense against the overreach of an aggressive federal government, Arizona’s leading small-business association today announced its endorsement of Mark Brnovich for Arizona’s next attorney general.

“Arizona’s job creators trust Mark Brnovich to enforce the law and protect our communities,” said Farrell Quinlan, Arizona state director for the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB). “Arizona’s entrepreneurs are confident Mark Brnovich will foster a safe and secure environment and ensure a level playing field so our small businesses can thrive.”

This poll of 379 Arizona small-business owners was conducted by NFIB between August 28 and September 4, 2014.

This poll of 379 Arizona small-business owners was conducted by NFIB/Arizona between August 28 and September 4, 2014.

The Brnovich endorsement is the 7,000-Arizona-member-strong, small-business advocacy group’s first endorsement in the attorney general’s race in more than a decade. The decision to endorse was largely driven by the results of a survey of small-business owners that revealed a decisive favorite. In that survey, former federal prosecutor and ex-Gaming Department chief Mark Brnovich received 89 percent support to former top state banking regulator Felecia Rotellini’s 11 percent in the poll of 379 Arizona small-business owners conducted by NFIB August 28 to September 4, 2014.

“As Arizona’s next attorney general, Mark Brnovich will provide solid legal advice to state regulatory agencies in order to prevent overreach, regulatory bullying of small-business owners and to ensure state agencies aren’t acting on bad or inaccurate legal advice,” Quinlan said.

The formal endorsement of Mark Brnovich was made by the NFIB/Arizona Save America’s Free Enterprise (SAFE) Trust, the political action committee of NFIB members in Arizona.

2014_0910_NFIBAZ_Brnovich_05

Republican Attorney General nominee Mark Brnovich discusses small business issues today at the NFIB/Arizona Small Business Forum in Phoenix. Earlier in the day NFIB/Arizona announced its endorsement of Brnovich and reported that 89% of small business owners polled supported the election of the former federal prosecutor.

For more than 70 years, the National Federation of Independent Business has been the Voice of Small Business, taking the message from Main Street to the halls of Congress and all 50 state legislatures. NFIB annually surveys its members on state and federal issues vital to their survival as America’s economic engine and biggest creator of jobs. NFIB’s educational mission is to remind policymakers that small businesses are not smaller versions of bigger businesses; they have very different challenges and priorities.