Ted Cruz, A Favorite with Maricopa County Republican PC’s at Recent Meeting

As part of last Saturday’s Maricopa County Repubilcan Committee Convention, a Presidential Preference Straw Poll was held and this year’s winner was Texas Senator Ted Cruz. Coming in second was Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, and third was Ben Carson, whose supporters also went all out, setting up tables and hustling for votes among the GOP faithful.

Cruz’ victory wasn’t a surprise to conservative consultant Constantin Querard. “Ted Cruz does well with Republicans because he paints in bright colors and offers genuine contrast. He’s not afraid to speak the truth and his message of opportunity and optimism resonates with voters.” said Querard, who admitted to being a Cruz fan and whipping the vote for his preferred candidate in the straw poll.

Walker remains a conservative hero after passing several reforms in his blue state and then surviving a massive and well-funded recall effort.

Carson’s opposition to ObamaCare seemed to be his greatest selling point, although questions remain about his position on 2nd Amendment issues in particular.

Other candidates who performed well included Mitt Romney, Jeb Bush, and Rand Paul.

The candidates and their vote totals were as follows:

Ted Cruz 66
Scott Walker 59
Ben Carson 49
Mitt Romney 43
Jeb Bush 30
Rand Paul 29
Mike Huckabee 16
Rick Perry 13
Allen West 10
John Kasich 7
Newt Gingrich 5
Bobby Jindal 5
Condoleezza Rice 5
Dennis Michael Lynch 4
Rick Santorum 4
John Bolton 3
Marco Rubio 3
Chris Christie 2
Susana Martinez 2
Sarah Palin 2
Mike Pence 2
Herman Cain 1
Mitch Daniels 1
Nikki Haley 1
Paul Ryan 1
John Thune 1

Ted Cruz, Matt Salmon Win Straw Polls at Maricopa County Republican Election

Here are the results of the straw poll conducted during the January 10th Maricopa County Republican Committee Statutory meeting. The poll gauged precinct committeemen support for the 2016 Presidential candidates and support for the Republican nominee to the US Senate (currently held by John McCain).  Twenty-five poll sheets were provided to each of the 20 legislative districts to distribute to the first precinct committeemen to register.  The poll was separate from the balloting for officers and resolutions.

2016 Presidential Candidate – Votes
Ted Cruz – 66
Scott Walker – 59
Ben Carson – 49
Mitt Romney – 43
Jeb Bush – 30
Rand Paul – 29
Mike Huckabee – 16
Rick Perry – 13
Allen West – 10
John Kasich – 7
Newt Gingrich – 5
Bobby Jindal – 5
Condoleezza Rice – 5
Dennis Michael Lynch – 4
Rick Santorum – 4
John Bolton – 3
Marco Rubio – 3
Chris Christie – 2
Susana Martinez – 2
Sarah Palin – 2
Mike Pence – 2
Herman Cain – 1
Mitch Daniels – 1
Nikki Haley – 1
Paul Ryan – 1
John Thune – 1
Kelly Ayotte – 0
Haley Barbour – 0
Carly Fiorina – 0
Peter King – 0
Tim Pawlenty – 0
Rob Portman – 0
Brian Sandoval – 0
Tim Scott – 0

 

2016 Senate Candidate – Votes
Matt Salmon – 106
David Schweikert – 66
Sarah Palin – 49
John McCain – 39
Trent Franks – 38
Write in – 34
Christine Jones – 13
Jan Brewer – 8

Write-Ins – Votes
Paul Gosar – 18
Claire Van Steenwyk – 3
Gabby Saucedo Mercer – 2
Ray Kouns – 1
Joe Arpaio – 1
Wendy Biggs – 1
AJ LaFaro – 2
Kelli Ward – 1
Bill Montgomery – 2
Steve Smith – 1
Susan Bitter-Smith – 1
Mickey Mouse – 1

Mark Brnovich is Small Business’ Choice for Top Cop

Eighty-nine percent polled favor ex-gaming chief over former top banking regulator

PHOENIX, Ariz., Sept. 10, 2014 – Appreciating that the state’s attorney general is our last line of defense against the overreach of an aggressive federal government, Arizona’s leading small-business association today announced its endorsement of Mark Brnovich for Arizona’s next attorney general.

“Arizona’s job creators trust Mark Brnovich to enforce the law and protect our communities,” said Farrell Quinlan, Arizona state director for the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB). “Arizona’s entrepreneurs are confident Mark Brnovich will foster a safe and secure environment and ensure a level playing field so our small businesses can thrive.”

This poll of 379 Arizona small-business owners was conducted by NFIB between August 28 and September 4, 2014.

This poll of 379 Arizona small-business owners was conducted by NFIB/Arizona between August 28 and September 4, 2014.

The Brnovich endorsement is the 7,000-Arizona-member-strong, small-business advocacy group’s first endorsement in the attorney general’s race in more than a decade. The decision to endorse was largely driven by the results of a survey of small-business owners that revealed a decisive favorite. In that survey, former federal prosecutor and ex-Gaming Department chief Mark Brnovich received 89 percent support to former top state banking regulator Felecia Rotellini’s 11 percent in the poll of 379 Arizona small-business owners conducted by NFIB August 28 to September 4, 2014.

“As Arizona’s next attorney general, Mark Brnovich will provide solid legal advice to state regulatory agencies in order to prevent overreach, regulatory bullying of small-business owners and to ensure state agencies aren’t acting on bad or inaccurate legal advice,” Quinlan said.

The formal endorsement of Mark Brnovich was made by the NFIB/Arizona Save America’s Free Enterprise (SAFE) Trust, the political action committee of NFIB members in Arizona.

2014_0910_NFIBAZ_Brnovich_05

Republican Attorney General nominee Mark Brnovich discusses small business issues today at the NFIB/Arizona Small Business Forum in Phoenix. Earlier in the day NFIB/Arizona announced its endorsement of Brnovich and reported that 89% of small business owners polled supported the election of the former federal prosecutor.

For more than 70 years, the National Federation of Independent Business has been the Voice of Small Business, taking the message from Main Street to the halls of Congress and all 50 state legislatures. NFIB annually surveys its members on state and federal issues vital to their survival as America’s economic engine and biggest creator of jobs. NFIB’s educational mission is to remind policymakers that small businesses are not smaller versions of bigger businesses; they have very different challenges and priorities.

Doug Ducey is Small Business’ Choice for Governor

Nine in 10 entrepreneurs surveyed prefer state treasurer over former regents’ chairman

PHOENIX, Ariz., Sept. 9, 2014 — Reflecting small-business owners’ nine-to-one preference of Doug Ducey over Fred DuVal to be our next governor, Arizona’s leading small-business association today announced its endorsement of Doug Ducey for governor.

“In a clear and booming voice, Arizona’s job creators say Doug Ducey is small-business’ choice for governor in 2014,” said Farrell Quinlan, Arizona state director for the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB).

Poll of 379 Arizona small business owners conducted by NFIB August 28 to September 4, 2014.

Poll of 379 Arizona small business owners conducted by NFIB August 28 to September 4, 2014.

State Treasurer Doug Ducey received 90.4 percent support to former Board of Regents Chairman Fred DuVal’s 9.6 percent in a poll of 379 Arizona small-business owners conducted by NFIB August 28 to September 4, 2014.

The formal endorsement of Doug Ducey was made by the Save America’s Free Enterprise (SAFE) Trust, the political action committee of the National Federation of Independent Business.

“Arizona small business owners overwhelmingly recognize and appreciate Doug Ducey’s successful business experience and bold political leadership and view them as the essential qualities needed in our next governor,” said Quinlan.

“Whether it’s because of his wise stewardship of more than $12 billion in state assets as state treasurer or rising to the challenge of leading the underdog ‘NO on 204′ campaign to stop a permanent one-cent sales tax increase, Doug Ducey has earned the trust and confidence of the backbone of Arizona’s economy—our small-business owners. NFIB is proud to endorse Doug Ducey for governor of Arizona and look forward to working with him and his administration to kick start job creation in Arizona.”

UPDATE: Doug Ducey’s statement today regarding NFIB/Arizona’s endorsement of this campaign for governor:

“Small businesses are a cornerstone of a growing economy and my opportunity agenda, and I’m honored to add NFIB’s support to my growing coalition,” Doug Ducey said. “As your governor, my business priorities will include fewer regulations, lower taxes and a reformed tax code to ensure small businesses have every opportunity to thrive.”

Doug Ducey discuss how to kick start our economy at the NFIB/Arizona Small Business Forum in June.

Doug Ducey discuss how to kick start the state’s economy at the NFIB/Arizona Small Business Forum in June.

For more than 70 years, the National Federation of Independent Business has been the Voice of Small Business, taking the message from Main Street to the halls of Congress and all 50 state legislatures. NFIB annually surveys its members on state and federal issues vital to their survival as America’s economic engine and biggest creator of jobs. NFIB’s educational mission is to remind policymakers that small businesses are not smaller versions of bigger businesses; they have very different challenges and priorities.

AZ01 Poll: Andy Tobin Leads Ann Kirkpatrick by 8 Points

In the race for Arizona’s First Congressional District, challenger Andy Tobin holds a substantial 8 point lead over incumbent Ann Kirkpatrick, 51 percent to 43 percent, demonstrating a clear path to victory for Tobin.

The poll, taken September 2-4, was conducted by Dave Sackett of The Tarrance Group, one of the most respected pollsters in the country who has experience accurately polling in Arizona (see attached memo for full analysis).

Tobin holds a strong 7 point advantage among Independents, and is attracting significant cross-over appeal, earning 18 percent of the vote among registered Democrats. President Obama is very unpopular in the district, with a 57 percent disapproval rating, as is the Affordable Care Act (58 percent disapprove).

“The data speaks for itself: Ann Kirkpatrick’s record has caught up to her, and voters in Arizona’s First Congressional District are looking for a new voice to represent them in Congress,” said Tobin campaign manager Bill Cortese. “Arizonans clearly see Kirkpatrick as part of the problem in Washington and are looking to Andy Tobin for a fresh start.”

Some of the key findings:

Congressional Ballot
Tobin: 51%
Kirkpatrick: 43%
Undecided: 6%

Obama Job Approval
Disapprove: 57%
Approve: 38%

Generic Ballot
Republican: 50%
Democrat: 42%

Kirkpatrick Reelect
Ready For Someone New: 53%
Kirkpatrick Deserves Reelection: 35%

Affordable Care Act
Disapprove: 58%
Approve: 39%

Governor’s Race in AZ-01
Ducey: 47%
DuVal: 34%

Poll: Who Will You Vote For As Arizona Attorney General?

Latest Poll Shows Doug Ducey Leading Pack by 11 Points

Reposted from Conservative Leadership for Arizona:

PHOENIX, AZ – This week Conservative Leadership for Arizona and Harper Polling conducted a poll of likely Republican primary voters in Arizona.  Results revealed that Arizona Treasurer and entrepreneur Doug Ducey leads the pack with 26%.  Christine Jones and Scott Smith are tied for second with 15%

Below is a comparison of the ballot test in all five polls Conservative Leadership for Arizona has commissioned:

April 10*   May 15*    June 5*    July 11*    July 30*

Bennett   15%        13%          12%        11%          12%

Ducey      9%          27%         28%         26%          26%

Jones      14%        12%          12%         22%         15%

Smith       6%          12%          16%         14%         15%

Thomas   6%           6%            5%           6%           11%

Riggs       1%           1%            2%           2%            5%

Undecided 45%     28%           23%        19%          16%

CLA Chairman Sean Noble said, “Our latest poll shows that while some candidates experienced bumps in their numbers, they have only been temporary.  As the election gets closer and Arizonans learn more about the candidates, Ducey’s lead over Smith and Jones has grown.  While there has been some rearranging of the orchestra, the first chair has been occupied by Ducey.”

For more information on Conservative Leadership for Arizona and to view the full poll results, visit www.conservativeleadershipaz.com.

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*Polls conducted by Magellan Strategies.

CLA AZ GOP Primary Topline Results — July 30, 2014

New Poll: What is the MOST important issue in the Governor’s Race?

Poll: What Should John Huppenthal Do?

Mark Brnovich Leading in New Poll Among Arizona GOP Primary Voters

Mark Brnovich- skinny horizontal logo

 

Mark Brnovich Leading in New Poll Among Arizona
GOP Primary Voters

A new poll released today by Magellan Strategies of likely Arizona GOP primary voters shows that political challenger and former prosecutor Mark Brnovich is now leading incumbent Attorney General Tom Horne in the August Republican primary. 33% of the respondents are supporting Brnovich compared to 32% for Horne, while 35% are undecided.

The polling results are consistent with previous internal polling that has shown Brnovich within single digits of the turmoiled incumbent.

The poll also shows that Tom Horne’s favorability ratings have dropped as allegations of illegal activity continue to swirl around his conduct and that of his campaign. 49% of GOP primary voters have an “unfavorable” opinion of Tom Horne, compared to 24% who have a “favorable” opinion of him.

“This poll reflects what we’ve known all along,” said Ryan Anderson, Brnovich’s campaign manager. “Republican primary voters are looking for an alternative to the scandal-plagued tenure of Tom Horne. Horne’s support has hit a ceiling and the only remaining question is how low can he fall? In contrast, Mark Brnovich has momentum and his support is growing.”

He continued: “We have focused almost entirely on a grassroots campaign and earned media and the results are paying off. Republican voters have not only found an alternative in Mark Brnovich, but they’ve rallied around a more qualified candidate who can actually win this November.”

The Magellan Strategies poll was conducted May 13-14 among 760 likely Arizona GOP primary voters. The MOE is 3.55%.

To learn more about Mark Brnovich, visit www.Mark4AZ.com. To view a copy of the poll, click here.

 

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