Poll: Trump Impact On Republican Chances In 2016


Trump nomination cuts GOP motivation, and turns many GOP voters against other Republican candidates

(Phoenix, AZ) — MBQF, a public affairs consulting firm, announced the results of a recent survey commissioned by Insight Consulting, an Arizona firm, concerning GOP presidential candidate Donald Trump and the effect his nomination by the Republican Party would have on voters in Arizona.

The results from the survey shows the results a Trump nomination would have on high efficacy Republican and Independent/PND primary voters across Arizona represented by likely 2016 turnout models.

In the most recent automated telephonic survey of 818 high efficacy voters, conducted on November 25, 2015, the survey calculates a 3.43% theoretical margin of error, plus or minus in percentage points, 95% of the time.

Michael Noble, who conducted the poll explained that “this poll isn’t about whether Trump wins if he is the nominee; it’s about what effect a Trump nomination by the Republican party would have on other Republican candidates.  We wanted to look into the ‘down ballot’ effect Trump as the Republican nominee would have on the 2016 elections.”

Paul Walker, who commissioned the poll issued the following statement: “The 2016 election, like all elections, is about turning out voters – making them motivated to go to the polls or cast early ballots.  Today, Republicans are 91.4 percent “very motivated” to vote next year; Democrats are 83.8 percent “very motivated”; but a Trump nomination changes the numbers.  30.5 percent of high efficacy Republicans become less motivated to vote next year with a Trump nomination, and 20.5 percent become unlikely to support other Republican candidates.  We lose if our voters stay home, and we lose badly if 20.5 percent of high efficacy Republican voters vote against other Republican candidates for other offices.”

Michael Noble explained that Trump’s effect on Independent and PND voters would make Republican campaign strategy much more complex: “A Trump nomination costs Republicans their own support – but it increases the chances of picking up Independent voters.  A Trump nomination makes 50.9 percent of Independent/PND voters more likely to vote next year; while 28.45 percent become less motivated – so you have a net 20.5 percent increase in Independent motivation to vote.  But again, 30.5 percent of Republican voters become less motivated.  So it’s a net loss for Republicans.  Furthermore, Independents are not a homogenous block, obviously.  Many issues effect their votes – so Republican candidates will have less of the GOP base, and would have to chase Independent votes harder: That means campaign messaging and tone have to appeal to more Independents to make up for the loss of GOP support.”

Noble explained that Independents become slightly more likely to support Republicans if Trump is the Republican nominee: “When we asked whether they become more or less likely to support other Republican candidates for other races, 39 percent of Independent/PND voters said more likely and 29 percent said less likely. So there’s an opportunity there, but Republican campaigns will have to have a very different approach to the 2016 election with Trump carrying the Republican banner.  And with 30.5 percent of Republicans becoming less motivated, and 20.5 percent voting against their own party’s candidates in other races, well… The outlook isn’t good.”

Walker added: “While the Trump effect on Independent voters is complicated, the effect on high efficacy Republicans is not; it’s hard to win when nearly a third of your base is less motivated, and it’s nearly impossible to win when 20.5 percent of your base says they are less likely to support other Republicans for other offices.”

For more information about this survey, or a summary of topline data and wording, please contact MBQF Consulting. The margin of error for this survey is +/-3.43%.

Senator Carlyle Begay Joins Republican Party

Monday, Senator Carlyle announced his evolution to the Republican Party.

The former Democrat senator from Ganado, Arizona made the switch “with a clear mind and heart” because families in rural Arizona are in a crisis with unemployment as high as 80% and infrastructure is “wasting away.” Many native Americans are without electricity and clean running water. Native American teens have the highest high school drop out rate and sadly, one of the highest suicide rates.

Democrats have done nothing to alleviate or fix these problems.

In his video statement, Begay asserts, “change must happen now.”

Senator Begay joined the Republican Party because he sees it as the party of progress and opportunity. Republicans have done more to offer solutions and build a positive future for those Begay represents.

This short video describes Begay’s evolution to the GOP and reinforces the idea that Republicans are about addition and multiplication and not subtraction and division.

Congratulations Senator Carlyle Begay! Welcome to the Republican Party!

Democratic State Senator Carlyle Begay Joins Republican Party

Begay Leaves Democratic Party Citing Better Opportunities for District’s Education, Infrastructure, Employment Issues as Member of GOPPHOENIX – This morning Chairman Robert Graham of the Arizona Republican Party enthusiastically welcomed Senator Carlyle Begay, who was elected as a Democrat to represent Arizona’s Legislative District 7 but today switched his party registration to Republican. He also joined the GOP caucus in the Arizona Senate, at an event held today at the Arizona State Capitol in Phoenix. District 7 is the nation’s largest state legislative district by area and includes most of Northeastern Arizona including eight different tribal lands.

“My relationship with Senator Begay has grown over the years and I am so proud to see him join with our party so he can better serve the people of his district,” said Arizona Republican Party Chairman Robert Graham. “Republicans have proven to have a much more successful approach on the issues important to not just his district but all of Arizona, like education and economic prosperity, and I’m looking forward to working with him to improve opportunities for his community.”

Begay was appointed to the Arizona Senate in 2013 and was reelected in 2014. He released a brief video documenting his upbringing as a Navajo (or Diné) and his lifelong political journey and strong desire to better serve the constituents of his district.

The Resolution That No Other Maricopa County Republican Website Will Post

Here is the resolution offered at the last Maricopa County Republican Executive Guidance Committee meeting that was offered by 2nd Vice Chairman Aaron Borders.

This is the resolution has been at the center of controversy. Read it and you’ll see why.

When asked if any other Republican or conservative blogs have published the resolution, Mr Borders responded that the resolution was offered to several Republican blogs and email lists but the information was declined for publication.

During the vote for this resolution, Sonoran Alliance has learned that it would have likely passed if one of the legislative district chairman had remained at the meeting. That chairman’s ballot was collected prior to his departure but his vote was scrapped during a disagreement over the procedure. During the official vote, it was not counted.

Three other LD chairmen did not vote for the resolution because of a rule in their districts requiring a vote by all precinct committeemen in their district before the chairman can vote for the LD’s proxy at the EGC meeting.

The final vote led to a tie 14-14 which was broke by the Chairmen himself.

Here is the resolution that was offered at that meeting:

Resolution for Vote of No Confidence with Call for Independent Audit

The Maricopa County Republican Committee (MCRC) is permitted by Statutory  provision, ARS 16-821, and exists due to the political authority of the Arizona Republican Party. As organizational documents,  the MCRC has established bylaws, voted and passed by the statutorily defined membership. The ARS, State, and County bylaws govern the actions and purpose of the MCRC. As Republicans, we uphold the written law and believe the concept of a representative Republic to be necessary, we reject governance by Executive Order, individual interpretation, or deliberate rejection for individual gain.

Whereas, the MCRC bylaws hold the purpose of, and guidelines for, the MCRC and elected officials therein and;

Whereas the existence of the MCRC bylaws with specific duties thereby defines that no elected official  may, of their own accord, knowingly and purposely violate said bylaws for personal gain, interest, or for the determined detriment of the Republican Part and;

Whereas the trust and confidence of the MCRC membership is necessary for the full objectives to be complete and the Party to further advance the Republican Party platform and elect Republicans to office and;

Whereas the best interest of the Republican Party and the objectives of the MCRC should be reflected in all actions and;

Whereas the MCRC bylaws identify the duties of the MCRC Chairman, among others, to be:

  • Represent the MCRC in an official capacity,
  • Be the recognized leader of the Republican Party in Maricopa County and coordinate the countywide activities of the Republican Party,
  • Prepare a budget for the calendar year and submit such budget to the EGC for adoption,
  • Furnish a monthly Itemized statement to the EGC for reimbursement of reasonable out of pocket expenses in the performance of duties as Chairman (set forth in the annual budget). Any Expense in excess of the amount budgeted shall be subject to the approval of the EGC, and;

Whereas in regard to the bylaws and the delineated duties, the objectives of the MCRC should be reflected in all actions of  the Chairman in his representation of such in the “official capacity” and within the countywide activities, a budget is a necessary tool for both transparency and ethical actions, and any funds expended must be within the budgeted amount and for the sole purpose of approve budgetary items and;

Whereas the MCRC funds are not a personal account to be used without discretion or discipline and only within the strict guidelines of the approved budget and;

Whereas Chairman Bowyer has:

  • Shown remarkable disregard to the bylaws through repeated press releases, public statements, and personal actions detrimental to the Republican Party for self-aggrandizement and promotion without knowledge or consent of the EGC,
  • Displayed ongoing unethical financial behavior, violating the bylaws with misuse of funds through repeated use of the MCRC debit card without receipts provided and in excess of budgeted amounts, without permission of the EGC as evidenced by an amended budget or vote of the EGC,
  • Caused MCRC checks to be returned by the bank, leaving the vendor unpaid, as consequence of his failure to act in a timely manner on required bank paperwork that had been initiated at his personal direction,
  • Abused MCRC funds and violated Federal Election Law by using the Tempe office as a coordination point, collateral storage site, and day to day office for his paid position with a non-GOP 501(c) 3 political entity, putting the MCRC in serious exposure and using the work of GOP volunteers for that entity;
  • Failed to meet his self-imposed fundraising goals and budgeted, approved, and expected outcomes;
  • Failed to act in the best interest of the MCRC in relation to the lawsuit pending, leaving the entity without insurance and at high risk,
  • Deliberately misrepresented the MCRC involvement and exposure in said lawsuit,
  • Exhibited blatant dishonesty in both internal and external communications as to amount of funds in budget, fundraising activity, votes casts, and status of lawsuit,
  • Violated FEC rules on multiple occasions by promoting specific candidates on the MCRC Facebook page and his Chairman’s Facebook page, through paid boosted post, and modified official campaign material to present the false appearance Chairman Bowyer holds positions of influence with those campaigns.
  • Committed the MCRC to events, with financial and political consequences, without EGC approval or basic knowledge of such events,
  • Engaged in fundraising ventures, without prior approval of the EGC, requiring individual payments by elected membership to gain information.
  • Demonstrated chronic and worsening disrespect to the elected membership, as evidenced by his failure to respond to requests for information in a timely manner, his abrupt changes to meeting times and location with less than 48 hours’ notice, and his failure to observe such basic courtesies as providing an agenda prior to regularly scheduled meetings of the EGC,
  • Failed to coordinate and cooperate with AZGOP leadership as recently evidenced by his lack of response regarding severe technical issue, with national repercussions, created by his incorrect application of AZGOP-supplied voter data tools;
  • Misrepresented the recent elections on School Board Overrides and bonds, and the nature of the EGC’s decision regarding those elections, both in writing and on multiple television appearances, without consent or prior knowledge of the elected membership,
  • Demonstrated chronic duplicity and deceptiveness in word and deed as evidenced by the recent actions surrounding the school district elections in his published statement of providing “factoids” only to say a week later, when questioned about the lack thereof, that each LD was able to speak to their own PCs – fully aware that there were no meetings to be held in any district that would allow for such communication,
  • Established committees of appointed individuals, not elected, to circumvent the LD Chairmen and elected officers of the EGC;
  • Has on multiple occasions been untruthful and duplicitous in his communications,
  • Violated FEC filings and Arizona election laws on multiple occasions, placing the MCRC at serious risk of FEC and AZ legal action. Continued to be unresponsive to requests for transparency in finances and function, failed to meet the standards of behavior and duties of the Chair, and;

Whereas the MCRC is currently in total disarray with no permanent meeting location, finances left unaudited per the bylaws, and with a Chairman who has spoken in opposition to the will of the EGC and bylaws, acting as a rogue chairman insistent on his own personal agenda, and:

Whereas based on these specific charges, and others, Chairman Tyler Bowyer has failed in the capacity of Chairman to meet the objectives and duties of the elected position he holds,

We hereby submit this resolution, to be voted by ballot at this current meeting of the EGC, and passed as a vote of ” No Confidence” in Chairman Tyler Bowyer with an immediate independent audit of the EGC, of both financial records and physical offices; and

We hereby direct that the independent audit committee be established per MCRC bylaws; however, due to “No Confidence” in Chairman Bowyer, That the committee consist of EGC members appointed by AZGOP Compliance Director Timothy Lee or his designee; and

We hereby direct, due to “No Confidence” in his fiscal responsibility, that Chairman Tyler Bowyer immediately cease and desist using the MCRC debit card and relinquish any and all MCRC credit/debit cards or physical checks in his possession as well as all outstanding receipts for expenditures made during his term of office; and,

We hereby direct Chairman Tyler Bowyer and his appointees to cease and desist from all further public communications on behalf of the MCRC, the EGC, the Executive Board, the Republican Part, unless such communications, word for word, have been duly raised and voted on by this body in a properly noticed meeting of the EGC or MCRC.

I hereby move, with privilege, for immediate approval of this resolution by ballot with votes to be tallied by the Secretary and observed by three LD chairs.

Sunday Square Off Appearance Brought Maricopa County GOP Fight To Head

What brought last week’s Maricopa County Republican Executive Guidance Committee intra-party fight to a head was the negative public relations generated when Chairman Tyler Bowyer made an appearance on Sunday Square Off three weeks ago. During that interview with Brahm Resnik, things got heated – more heated than normal between Resnik and his typical guests.

This led to the largest response by viewers of any Sunday Square Off show this year. During the following week’s show, a response by Aaron Borders, 2nd Vice Chairman for the Maricopa County GOP, took direct aim at Chairman Bowyer.

That public joust most likely led to last week’s fight during the monthly EGC meeting when Borders offered a resolution for a “no confidence vote” by the committee. (Sonoran Alliance will publish that resolution in another post.)

Here are the video clips from each Sunday Square Off show:





Gov. Ducey’s Republican Education Plan Earns Support of AZ Democratic Party Leader

Ducey Plan Solves One of Arizona’s Oldest and Most Politically Controversial Issues: Education Funding
PHOENIX – This morning Chairman Robert Graham of the Arizona Republican Party congratulated his counterpart, Arizona Democratic Party Chairwoman Alexis Tameron, on her announcement yesterday of her support of Gov. Doug Ducey’s Education Funding Plan. The measure, Proposition 123, will be on the ballot in May of 2016. If approved by voters it will increase K-12 funding by $3.5 billion over the next ten years.
“Governor Ducey is a true leader, and he’s put together a plan to address one of Arizona’s most difficult and controversial issues without putting more pressure on hardworking taxpayers,” said Arizona Republican Party Chairman Robert Graham. “Even the Democrat leadership knows a great leader with a great idea when they see one, and we’re happy to see more and more Democrat Party leaders acknowledge the hard work of our Republican legislature and Governor Ducey, and saying publicly they’re voting for it.”
“I want to thank the Chairwoman for publicly announcing her support,” Graham added.
Governor Ducey’s plan highlights are here:
Governor Ducey’s remarks upon signing the legislation to refer the plan to the ballot are here:
Arizona Democratic Party Chairwoman Alexis Cameron’s remarks, broadcast on 12 News’ “Sunday Square Off” on November 8th, will be available here:

Maricopa County Republicans Continue Intra-Party Fighting

Time to air some dirty laundry! These latest reports from several Republicans in Maricopa County. After reading these accounts, we wonder why anyone in their right mind would want to participate as an elected Republican party official?

We will post additional perspectives as we receive them.


I don’t normally get involved in the AZ Republican Party food fights but what happened at the EGC meeting last week is over the top. I feel everyone should know what is happening behind the scenes whether you are a PC or not.

Many of us who volunteer in politics are not in it seek attention to boost ourselves. Instead we realize the country under Barack Obama is deteriorating quickly. Our battle is all about America and electing candidates who will fight for conservative principles and get America back on track. We must continue to fight the good fight for our country and keep our eye on the big picture and the ultimate goal. However, we also should be aware of what others are doing to put obstacles in our way. This is the reason I need to share the recent chain of events.
Sandi B.


And from Frosty Taylor’s MCRC Briefs:

Chins Are Still Wagging about Wednesday night’s Maricopa County Republican Committee’s Executive Guidance Committee (MCRC EGC) Donnybrook. The agenda didn’t list screaming, hollering, shouting matches, nor a failed attempt to pass a vote of no confidence resolution against chairman Tyler Bowyer– but that’s what EGC members endured. “It was just awful… just awful,” confided one attendee. Emotions ran high during nearly an hour of chaos that ended in a ‘vote of confidence resolution’ tally that favored Chairman Tyler Bowyer by 15-14…one vote. See 11-4-15-briefs Witnesses say EGC Board Second Vice Chairman Aaron Borders lead the charge against Bowyer, backed by First Vice Chairman Jeni White. Rumors have sprouted that Borders and White might be asked to resign at the December EGC meeting. Borders presented a two page, single-spaced resolution listing some 19 complaint allegations regarding Bowyer’s leadership/ management techniques ranging from lack of communication with the EGC members to misrepresentation of the EGC. Some says Bowyers opponents arrived with prepared ballots before the lengthy resolution was brought to the floor. Reports had circulated Wednesday morning that Bowyers opponents wanted a ballot vote because some thought a voice or hand vote would fail. Others say Bowyers opponents lost votes because of unprofessional behavior. Regardless of whose version you chose to believe, the whole episode is an embarrassment to the party. It’s apparent that Bowyer needs to knock off with some of his shenanigans, start communicating better with his members, improve his management skills and that a parliamentarian, a Sgt at Arms and a security officer need to be in attendance in December. Those prone to screaming and yelling need to try a calm, professional manner. Bully tactics turn off your fellow Republicans. Dems must be laughing their heads off.


And from former AZGOP Chairman Tom Morrissey:

MCRC Chairman Tyler Bowyer beat back another underhanded attempt by the establishment to take control of the party and stop the conservative momentum which is gaining ground thanks to the efforts of grassroots groups like the Tea Party and AzRA and as a result, now within our party. This was very reminiscent of the moves made against me when I was State Chair by the same contingent. The only difference this time was that they are more open as to who is doing what. But it is the same old, same old. The establishment believes that they and they alone have all the answers and the right to control the GOP. Fact is, that is not an absolute and the ground is moving under their feet and it’s not moving in their direction. They should take a close look at what just happened in Kentucky and Virginia (again). Their champions are going down because conservatism is no longer contained within the boundaries of a party it is now awake and has become the movement it must be, to turn this country around. We ALL make mistakes and Tyler is no exception, but his heart and principles are solid as he does the very difficult job of chairman. I made mistakes as well but in the end WE were extremely successful in the elections of 2012 despite the attacks on us by the establishment. Go Tyler! And Trump, Carson and Cruz!


And from the Arizona Freedom Alliance:

[Editor:  To understand what is going on, you first need to know that the Chairman of the Maricopa County Republican Committee has a less than cooperative Board.  The Chairman is a conservative but three of the Board members are McCainiacs.  It makes for very unhappy political bedfellows and a lack of political maturity.  The inevitable food fight broke out at their last meeting. The following report is one attendee’s take on the events.  From other reports, it appears this report is an accurate accounting of the evenings failed attempt at sabotage.  The conservative Republicans have a lot of work to do and this nonsense is just a time-waster!  No doubt the goal of the saboteurs.] 

Guest Columnist:

So, at the November 4, 2015 meeting of the Maricopa County Republican Committee (“MCRC”) Executive Guidance Committee (“EGC”) meeting, some members of the EGC brought a silly, out of order, motion to pass a silly resolution, which shall be deemed the “Great Silly Nothingburger Resolution of the Malcontents.”  (Hint:  To figure out the identities of these malcontents, follow the money – find out who are beholden to government, are allied with the “reach across the aisle” elected Republicans, or profit from government contracts.)  These malcontents said in their proposed resolution, “Whereas in regard to the bylaws and the delineated duties, the objectives of the MCRC should be reflected in all actions of the Chairman in his representation of such in the ‘official capacity’ and within the countywide activities . . . .”

Agreed.  The same applies to the rest of the EGC members.  

Let’s look at their duties.

MCRC First Vice-Chairman:  (Jeni White)

The duties of the MCRC First Vice-Chairman shall be to:

  1. Perform duties assigned by the MCRC Chairman or by the Bylaws of the MCRC,
  2. Perform the duties of the MCRC Chairman during an absence of the MCRC Chairman or in the event of a vacancy until the vacancy is filled.

See anything there about a duty to bring a motion for a resolution for a “Vote of No Confidence with Call for Independent Audit”?  

Neither did I.  

And while we are discussing “duties,” keep in mind that NONE of these “duties,” both those of the MCRC Chairman or the “lowly” precinct committeeman, are in any way forced by statute.  Our Arizona Republican Party is entirely made up of unpaid volunteers.  The AZ GOP Chairman can try all he might to “order” a “lowly” precinct committeeman to do this or that.  Good luck with that.  Because an elected or appointed PC is a voluntary participant in our AZ GOP and can do as much, or as little, as he likes with respect to the Party.  He is only beholden to the Republicans in his precinct.  Who can decide to not re-elect him (or, in the case of appointed PCs, elect him in the next primary).

This is not rocket science.  

Moving on to the duties of MCRC Second Vice-Chairman:  (Aaron Borders)

The duties of the MCRC Second Vice-Chairman shall be to:

  1. Perform duties as may be assigned by the MCRC Chairman or the Bylaws of the MCRC,
  2. Perform the duties of the MCRC Chairman during as [sic] absence of the MCRC Chairman and the First Vice- Chairman, and 
  3. Be the liaison officer for the MCRC to the various Republican Clubs in Maricopa County.

See anything there about a duty to bring a motion for a resolution for a “Vote of No Confidence with Call for Independent Audit”?  

Neither did I.

Nor do the duties of the Secretary include a duty to bring a motion for a resolution for a “Vote of No Confidence with Call for Independent Audit.”

The LD Chairs and Members At Large?  They have no duties that would allow for the bringing of the Great Silly Nothingburger Resolution of the Malcontents.  But the LD Chairs are to “Cooperate with the MCRC Chairman.”  And all EGC members are to support the objectives of the Committee.

The Bylaws say the Duties of the EGC members include “Act[ing] collectively as an advisory and guidance group to the MCRC Chairman” and “Assist[ing] the MCRC Chairman with the specific responsibilities designated for each member of the MCRC Chairman.”  And as to all of the above, besides the MCRC Chairman and the Treasurer, all of the rest of the members of the EGC “have, essentially, NO power to tell either the MCRC Chairman or the Treasurer what to do.  Oh, they can ask, cajole, hint, “demand,” “direct,” or throw a temper tantrum and stamp their feet or hold their breath, but the real power lies in the hands of the Chairman and the Treasurer.  Yet there they were, wasting everyone’s time, when they could have just emailed their “demands” to the Chairman.  Silly.  

Political party committees are not public bodies.  They are not corporations.  They are private voluntary associations of like-minded (in theory, based on the concept of having party platforms define a party’s values and objectives) persons.  The elected and appointed members, precinct committeeman, are volunteers.  Governed by bylaws.  

Earth to the members of the EGC who supported this silly motion:  The bylaws of political party committees, including those of the Arizona Republican Party, must give the Chairman and the Treasurer essentially dictatorial powers because, otherwise, without such powers, nothing will get accomplished.  

As was reflected by the 60 or so man hours of time wasted by the EGC members on the silly motion.

Please, former tea partiers, please, newcomers, please, people with common sense:  Think about this long and hard.  And then think some more.  

This is taught in 7th Grade Civics.  I had such a course in public school.  Perhaps some of the people supporting the Great Silly Nothingburger Resolution of the Malcontents did not have this advantage.  Or, if they did, forgot what they learned.  Regardless, it’s all just common sense.  

If the Chairman and Treasurer of any given political party committee did not have such dictatorial power, virtually every action of the committees would be “committee-ed to death.”  As was on display at the November 4, 2015 meeting of the MCRC EGC meeting.  Let’s assume it took 2 hours to deal with the silly motion for the silly resolution.  That means that 60 man hours (there are 30 voting members of the EGC) were spent on a silly motion and silly resolution rather than being expended on achieving these objectives:   

The objective of the MCRC is to uphold the principles and policies as set forth in the Declaration of Independence, the U.S. Constitution, and the Republican Party Platform. We will promote the political education of all Republican Party workers and loyalty to the Republican Party platform. We will also support the election of our party candidates who uphold the principles and policies as set forth in the Declaration of Independence, the U.S. Constitution, and the Republican Party Platform. 

(MCRC Bylaws, Article I – Object, Section 1 – Objective.)

From those pesky Continuing Bylaws of the Maricopa County Republican Committee that some members of the MCRC EGC apparently cannot quite seem to bring themselves to read and study.  

And let us assume that, in addition to the 30 voting members in attendance in person or by proxy, an additional 20 Republicans attended the November 4, 2015 meeting.  That’s 100 man hours lost to silliness.  Who, exactly, is the leader of the proponents of the Great Silly Nothingburger Resolution of the Malcontents?  Please come forward to receive the accolades you deserve as the prime mover behind the Great Silly Nothingburger Resolution of the Malcontents!

Yes, complaining about the Chairman who has violated no Bylaws provision, through a time-wasting motion for a baseless and substance-less resolution containing no facts but only allegations, and which has no binding effect on anyone, is such a great, great use of the time of the MCRC EGC members.  (Um, that’s sarcasm, just in case you have not caught my drift.)

The MCRC PCs who brought the silly motion and voted for it apparently can’t quite grasp the duties of the members of the MCRC, as set forth in the Bylaws. (But then, how many of them have actually read the Bylaws, or had a copy with them at the meeting?  Based on the silly motion they brought forward, I think I know the answer.): 

The duties of PCs shall include, but not be limited to:

  1. Voting, in person or by proxy, at each and every district and county party election when qualified to do so,
  2. Assisting the Republican Party in voter registration,
  3. Assisting and encouraging Republican voters to vote on election days,
  4. Attending all District meetings,
  5. Working within the precinct from which elected,
  6. Creating enthusiasm and support for the Republican Party,
  7. Helping elect worthy Republican candidates,
  8. Recruiting and training leaders of the Republican Party, and
  9. Fostering loyalty to the Republican Party and promote its ideals.
  10. The PC shall provide the district, county, and state party offices with an email address, if they have one. District, county and state party offices may not allow email addresses to be used for any purpose other than internal party communications and shall not distribute an email address to anyone, including other PCs without the express consent of the affected precinct committeeman. 

(I am going to make it hard – look this up.)

How did the bringing of the Great Silly Nothingburger Resolution of the Malcontents (the “Nothingburger”) “encourage[e] Republican voters to vote on election days . . . ?”

How did the bringing off the Nothingburger encourage MCRC EGC members to “Attend[] all District meetings . . . .?”  Several MCRC EGC members left the meeting early in disgust over the bickering of the proponents of the Nothingburger.

Smart people.

How did the bringing of the Nothingburger “creat[e] enthusiasm and support for the Republican Party . . . ?”

How did the bringing of the Nothingburger further the MCRC EGC PCs’ goal of “Helping elect worthy Republican candidates . . . ?”

How did the bringing of the Nothingburger further the MCRC EGC PCs’ goal of “Recruiting and training leaders of the Republican Party . . . ?”

How did the bringing of the Nothingburger further the MCRC EGC PCs’ goal of “Fostering loyalty to the Republican Party and promote its ideals . . . ?”

How did the bringing of the Nothingburger further the EGC’s duty to “Act collectively as an advisory and guidance group to the MCRC Chairman?”

How did the bringing of the Nothingburger further the EGC’s duty to “Assist the MCRC Chairman with the specific responsibilities designated for each member by the MCRC Chairman?”  

To ask these questions is to answer them.  This silly, out of order, proposed resolution was brought by people who apparently can’t quite grasp that our Arizona Republican Party is comprised of volunteer precinct committeemen who are to work together, voluntarily.  It is not “public.”  It is not government.  It is a voluntary association of, ostensibly, like-minded citizens who have registered to vote as a Republican and who want to work together to further the goals of the AZ GOP and, in the case of those in Maricopa County, the MCRC.  

A motion that does not further the goals of the organization is out of order.  Even if it had passed, the Great Silly Nothingburger Resolution of the Malcontents would be null and void.  

Thank you.


SOS Michele Reagan: Grand Canyon State home to nearly 3.3 million voters

Phoenix – The latest voter registration figures have been released and according to Secretary of State Michele Reagan, the number of registered voters has grown to 3,299,906, an increase of 47,219 since the last report in July.

Of the state’s 3.29 million voters, 34% are Republicans, 28% are Democrats and 36% have either registered with independent parties or not designated a party preference.

Libertarians and members of the Green party make up a little less than one percent of the state’s total registration while the Americans Elect Party has enrolled 500 voters since joining the state’s other recognized political parties in 2011.

“I’m pleased to see the number of registered voters increase by more than forty thousand,” said Secretary Reagan.  “As the state gears up for an exciting 2016 election cycle, including a presidential election, I’m confident our registration totals will continue to grow.

“It’s important to remember, Arizona’s “open primary” provisions do not apply to the presidential preference election. In order to cast a ballot in the March 22nd election, “independents” must be registered with a political party by February 22, 2016.  Our Voting Rights Ambassadors continue to travel the state connecting with schools, clubs and civic groups to educate voters on the process and encourage citizens to participate!”

The latest voter registration figures compiled by county, congressional district and legislative district are available on Arizona.Vote, this link http://bit.ly/1ku1CAg or by calling 1-877-THE-VOTE.

MBQF Poll: Trump De-Throned In Arizona

Dr. Ben Carson Takes the Lead in Arizona

(Phoenix, AZ) — MBQF, a public affairs consulting firm, announced the results of a recent survey concerning top tier GOP candidates for president of the United States of America.

The results from the survey show high efficacy primary Republican voters across Arizona represented by likely 2016 turnout models.

In the most recent automated telephonic survey of 1,057 high efficacy primary republican voters, conducted on October 29, 2015, the survey calculates a 3.01% theoretical margin of error, plus or minus in percentage points, 95% of the time.

The exact question was phrased, “If the election were held today for the Republican primary for President of the United States, which of the following top 10 candidates, listed in alphabetical order by last name, would you be most likely to vote for?”

AZ GOP Presidential Primary 2016
October 29, 2015 Results
Ben Carson
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorina
John Kasich
Chris Christie
Mike Huckabee
Rand Paul

Michael Noble, consultant and pollster, issued the following statement, “Roughly 80% of the electorate is starting to settle on four candidates.  Carson is now slightly ahead of Trump in the overall horse race.  Senator Cruz saw the biggest jump in support, which is likely based on his recent debate performance.  The anti-establishment streak in this years Republican electorate is still running strong.”

For more information about this survey, or a summary of topline data and wording, please contact MBQF Consulting. The margin of error for this survey is +/-3.01%.

MBQF Poll: Joe Arpaio Has 50/50 Chance Of Re-Election

Also, Tested was School Bonds, Pot Convention and Education Tax

(Phoenix, AZ) — MBQF, a public affairs and consulting firm, announced results of a recent survey dealing with the nationally known, Sheriff Joe Arpaio, who could be facing his toughest re-election battle yet.  We also looked at several other current issues in Arizona, primarily within Maricopa County.

In the most recent automated telephonic survey of 559 high efficacy voters in Maricopa County, conducted on October 19, 2015, the survey calculates a 4.14% theoretical margin of error, plus or minus in percentage points, 95% of the time.

The survey asked several questions of voters.  The first was a basic re-elect question regarding Sheriff Joe Arpaio, “Looking ahead to next year’s election for Maricopa County Sheriff, do you think that Joe Arpaio should be re-elected, or do you think that it is time to give someone else a chance?”

Arpaio Re-Elect Question
Should be re-elected
Give someone else a chance

Party Breakdown

Should be re-elected
Give someone else a chance

The second question was phrased, “Recently, the Republican Party of Maricopa County has decided to oppose ALL 28 school district overrides and bond ballot initiatives come this November.  Arizona is one of the lowest ranked states in the United States when it comes to education.  Would you consider the Republican Party of Maricopa Counties stance on these bonds as obstructionist or as fiscal prudence?”

County GOP-No on all Education
Fiscal prudence
No opinion

The third question was phrased, “Given what you know about Arizona’s education system, would you be willing to pay slightly more generally in taxes to invest in Arizona’s Education System?”

Invest in Education System

The fourth question was phrased, “The Phoenix Convention center will be hosting the “Southwest Cannabis Conference & Expo” at the end of this month.  Do you think that is a good idea or bad idea to host this event?”

Pot Expo – Good/Bad?
Good idea to host event
Bad idea to host event
No opinion

Michael Noble, consultant and pollster, issued the following statement:

“With Maricopa County voters split on whether America’s Toughest Sheriff deserves another four years, the data shows Sheriff Joe will have his toughest campaign ever.  Republicans, Democrats, and Independents are near evenly split.  In addition, a small plurality of county voters say they are open to paying more for education.  With most eyes focused on the Presidential election next November, Arizona voters have some big choices.”

For more information about this survey, or a summary of topline data and wording, please contact MBQF Consulting. The margin of error for this survey is +/-4.14%.