LegisTraitors Drunk with Power Demand Increase in Deficit Spending

LegisTraitors(picture from Arizona Capitol Times)

Drunk with power, or simply dazed from visions of hundreds of thousands of campaign dollars dancing in their heads, Jeremy Duda from the Arizona Capitol Times, captures Heather Carter, Ethan Orr, Kate Brophy McGee, Doug Coleman, Rob Robson, and Jeff Dial leaving the House before the gavel to make their case to spend-increase-expand with money we lowly taxpayers have not even made yet.

Geez Louise Republicans! The budget you passed in the Senate only has a $400 million structural deficit. That is just not enough!  The Coalition of Corruption including these six and all the Democrats (again) want bigger government – more agencies – increased spending – and to expand on the expansion of last session.  If we are going to borrow money to pass a democrat budget then let’s go all the way!

No money into the rainy day fund. No money to buy back our buildings. No money to decrease our debt. Actually they are demanding that money is spent that does not exist.  In their power-induced-drunken-state the LegisTraitors are blind to the plight of Arizona taxpayers preferring to prioritize the interests of the crony capitalists who bankroll their campaign committees.

The amendments and increased spending requested by the Coalition of Corruption has been scored by the non-partisan JBLC to give Arizona a $1 Billion deficit by 2017. This is “recurring spending” meaning the spending will occur every single year.  

So another day and no budget for Arizona.  The taxpayers, small businessmen, and Principled Conservatives will have to wait and see who is offering what to whom before we will know what is being shoved down our throats this year.  Will there be a fundraiser with a gift-in-kind equal to the amount it takes to educate one child for half a year in a Charter School?

Will we see a new traitor or will the traitors have a traitor? And how much does a LegisTraitor vote go for?

The vote is tied at 30-30. It will be an interesting day.

Stay tuned.

Christine Bauserman
Chair, Alliance of Principled Conservatives

Boehner in AZ to support McSally and Tobin

U.S. House Speaker, John Boehner, will be in Arizona on Saturday, March 29th for a fundraising lunch to support CD 2 candidate Martha McSally and CD 1 candidate Andy Tobin. The invitation says Marana but for a $500 lunch, they might as well just have disclosed that it will be at The Ritz-Carlton, Dove Mountain (only $1,500 if you want to join the photo line).

Boehner in Arizona for Andy Tobin

Boehner’s support for McSally is not a surprise. She came within less than 2,500 votes of beating the Democratic incumbent currently holding the seat and her fundraising has been very strong this cycle. She is well positioned to beat that same incumbent, even in a standard mid-term election. And this year is shaping up to be more Republican friendly than normal. McSally does have two or three (depending on what day of the week it is) challengers in the primary, but none of them seems to have made a breakout that could reasonably threaten her near lock on the nomination.

None of the candidates running against McSally are really trying to get very far to the right of her, a la Jesse Kelly, so the fact that she is seen with the increasingly squishy Boehner will not significantly hurt her chances of securing the nomination.

The situation is quite different in the adjacent District 1. Andy Tobin faces two viable alternatives that may either have more money or are noticeably to the right of Tobin, Gary Kiehne and Adam Kwasman respectively. And they both actually live in District 1, unlike Tobin who resides outside the boundaries of AZ-01.

Kiehne is already on the air with a respectable introductory radio ad. His willingness to spend money is evidenced by his renewal of the original ad purchase. He is conservative enough to make him a viable GOP candidate and would normally attract the support of Boehner and the NRCC; a successful businessman willing to pony of some of his own cash in order to be first across the finish line. (Actually, an NRCC dream date.)

Adam Kwasman is the kind of principled conservative that gives the NRCC night sweats so it is no surprise that the NRCC and Boehner would openly support his opponent in the primary. The Washington establishment knows they cannot control Kwasman like they can Tobin, so they go all in for the more flexible Tobin.

The problem with Boehner’s gambit is that it could easily backfire. It will only reinforce Kiehne’s contention that the system is rigged and you need an outside like him who will answer to the people in the district, not leadership in Washington. Kwasman can link the amnesty leaning, budget busting record of Boehner to Tobin in an effort to further motivate the conservative base that already seems to be leaning toward Kwasman.

Two words sum of the risk Boehner is taking by openly favoring Tobin in the primary – “Raul Labrador”. In his 2010 primary, Labrador dispatched the NRCC anointed candidate and then went on to win the general election. The NRCC now has a 2/3 chance that  the AZ-01 nominee and possible congressman will not look kindly on their requests to fall in line and support Boehner’s agenda of capitulation and compromise.

Sedona Republican Men’s Club Endorses Adam Kwasman for Congress in CD-1

Adam Kwasman press release

SEDONA VERDE VALLEY REPUBLICAN MEN’S CLUB ENDORSES ADAM KWASMAN FOR CONGRESS IN AZ-01

In a near unanimous vote of its membership, the Sedona Verde Valley Republican Men’s Club has endorsed Adam Kwasman for U.S. Congress from Arizona’s First Congressional District.

Club President, Charles “Charlie” Christensen had this to say about Kwasman:

“Adam’s proven conservative record combined with his excellent knowledge of the issues and his positive demeanor and energy are exactly what we need to defeat Ann Kirkpatrick in the House.”

Christensen continued:

“Sedona Verde Valley Republican Men’s Club urges AZ-01 voters to support Kwasman, and looks forward to working for his campaign and putting AZ-01 back in the Republican column.”

For more information about the Sedona Verde Valley Republican Men’s Club, feel free to contact Dwight Kadar at 281-610-0725 or dwightkadar@yahoo.com.

 

AZGOP: Another Reason Arizona Democrats Can’t Find Candidates

Is GOP Dominance Responsible for the Democrat Party’s Failure to Field Candidates?
 
PHOENIX – After listening to the Democrat’s only candidate for governor of Arizona call in to a Phoenix radio station from the East Coast this week, and hearing him trying to defend his candidacy, Arizona Republican Party Chairman Robert Graham suggested that the state’s Democrat leaders apparently have given up trying to compete with Republicans in the state’s top race.
“With the election less than a year away, the Republican candidates are criss-crossing the state, holding debates and engaging voters,” said Robert Graham, Chairman of the Arizona Republican Party.  “But the Democrats’ only candidate is hopping between New York City and Washington, D.C. to get his marching orders from his liberal allies in the White House.”
 
Steve Goldstein, host of “Here and Now” on KJZZ in Phoenix, asked DuVal on the air this week why even DuVal’s friends think he’ll have a difficult time overcoming his Republican opposition. Goldstein brought up DuVal’s prior failed congressional bid in which he came in fourth place in the Democratic primary. The host also asked DuVal that given the strong Republican majorities in the Arizona legislature, how he would “pivot” as a Democrat on the issues.  DuVal’s response was “Semantics do matter.”
 
“There is no competition within the Democrat Party, their ideas and their candidates aren’t being vetted and tested — their single candidate for governor isn’t even listening to Arizona voters because he’s campaigning out of state — and voters are getting less and less interested and even further disengaged as this trend continues,” Graham added.  Graham previously described DuVal as “uninteresting” to which DuVal responded by sending Graham a case of beer.
 
Republicans hold a five percentage point advantage in voter registration and enjoy an eight point advantage in voter turnout, and every elected statewide officer in Arizona is a member of the Republican Party.

AZGOP: Democrat Ron Barber Confirms His Indecision

But He Later Issues a Correction 

PHOENIX – Robert Graham, Chairman of the Arizona Republican Party, was not surprised that Democrat Ron Barber of Arizona’s Congressional District 2 announced today that he changed his mind this week and will be, in fact, running for reelection.

“Today we’re hearing more proof that Ron Barber has a problem making decisions, and that’s bad for the people of his district,” said Robert Graham, Chairman of the Arizona Republican Party. “He shied away from telling voters who he supported for President, he’s painfully ambiguous about Obamacare, and he’s clearly having trouble planning out even just the next few months of his career.” 

Fortunately for the people of Arizona’s CD 2, there is a solution to this Democrat’s wavering — in the form of the Republican nominee who will be prepared and ready to represent them in Congress. Whether Barber suffers the wrath of voters incensed with the failures of Obamacare, those frustrated with the stagnating economy, or those fed-up with federal government’s inability to control the porous southern border or their district, it’s clear that the Republican nominee will be a clear favorite in 2014.

New Mexico Governor Susana Martinez Helps Raise Over $50,000 for Arizona Republican Party

PHOENIX – Robert Graham, Chairman of the Arizona Republican Party, and a crowd of supporters welcomed Governor Susana Martinez of New Mexico to a gathering at the home of Lynn and Jack Londen in Phoenix last night. The event raised over $50,000 for the Arizona Republican Party’s campaign for victory in 2014, and showcased one of the nation’s most popular Republican governors.

“We were honored that Governor Martinez accepted our invitation to come and meet us all and speak to those of us who have been watching her lead her state and support our Republican principles at the state level,” said Arizona Republican Party Chairman Robert Graham. “Governor Martinez is not only our nation’s first Latina governor, she’s a rising star in the Republican Party because she’s an effective chief executive, a true conservative, and an inspiring and engaging leader.” 

Graham thanked the Chairman’s Circle of the Arizona Republican Party, consisting of a group of business and community leaders who participated in the event, and expressed his gratitude to Lynn and Jack Londen as well as the Host Committee members for supporting the event.

Chairman’s Circle: Jane and Bruce Ash, Lee Benson, Barbara and Jim Chamberlain, Vicki and Jim Click, Beth and Chad Coons, La and John Dawson, Marilyn and Jerry Hayden, Randy and Ken Kendrick, Ed Robson

Host Committee: Maryglenn and Rich Boals, Dorde “George” Cedic, Nan and Webb Crockett, Karen and Michael Preston Green, Donnell and Alan Heywood, Don Isaacson, Ann and John Kaites, Michele Larson, Sharon and Michael Lechter, Jeff Lindsey, Lynn and Jack Londen, Hon. Vernon Parker

susanamartinez1susanamartinez

The Lie that is Michele Reagan

The Lie that is Michele Reagan

Senator Michele Reagan from Legislative District 23 is the most effective traitor to ever serve in the Arizona Legislator.  Michele can currently be found skipping through the state asking you to forgive her, again, for banding with a traitorous group of Republicans and voting, again, with the Democrats, and oh pretty please can you not add her name on that censure. Michele has been a traitor not once not twice but three separate times granting her the distinct status as “the traitor who has survived” and is now so emboldened by her ability to make excuses for rolling the Senate President and bringing Obrewercare to Arizona that she is asking for a promotion! She wants to be the next Secretary of State – yikes!

To prove that good silver-tongued politicians from Chicago are not solely confined to the Democrat party Michele is now running through the legislative district circuit spinning her vote for Obrewercare.  And just in case you want to try and argue her mastery of the “excuse” she delivers by changing her story for different LD’s proving her knack for being consistently inconsistent.

Michele’s LD23 version was reported in the Arizona Freedom Alliance, “I voted yes to be sure it passed and went to the House.  The House is much more conservative than the Senate and I expect them to strip the medicaid expansion out of that bill before sending it back to the Senate” Huh?  AFA calls this a tad convoluted and speculates that she was attempting to help secure a 2/3 majority.  But Michele is already spinning on over to LD18 with the line that it was a calculated parliamentarian move so she could make a motion to reconsider but the Governor messed it all up with the Special Session … O.K?  One itty bitty detail Michele, the motion to reconsider needs to be made before it leaves the body, so why didn’t you make the motion?

The validity of the excuse is tainted because not once, not twice, but THREE times Michele sided with a small drove of Republicans, and 100% of the Democrat caucus, in a hostile act against the Republican principle of limited government.

In May of 2004 Michele voted “YEA” with 14 Republicans for Democrat Janet Napolitano’s budget to raise the state budget more than a billion dollars. The Senate President at the time stated “The liberals defied every principle of the Republican Party. We had commitments, but this was betrayed by dishonest people. They worked behind the scenes with the governor.”

No Republican that voted for the 2004 budget is currently serving in an elected office except for Michele Reagan. 

In 2008 Michele willingly joined three Republicans, 100% of the Democrats and Governor Napolitano to deliver another deficit producing budget HB2209 by a 31 yes to 29 no vote.

No Republican that voted for the 2008 budget is currently serving in an elected office except for Michele Reagan.

So this May Michele, again, joins 5 Republicans and votes ‘YEA’ for Obrewercare, SB1492,  in the middle of the night after Senator McComish made a motion to suspend the rules to stop Senate President Andy Biggs from trying to save Arizona from the train-wreck that is Obamacare.

It is crystal clear – Michele voted for Obrewercare. Michele attended meetings where they plotted how they would force this down our throats.  Michele attended the pizza party the Governor threw on the 9th floor during a break.  And now Michele is again making excuses.

Just in case you want to fall for dear old Michele’s spell that convinces folks that RINO horn is really an elephant trunk then remember in April 2006 she voted, again, with 100% of the Democrat caucus and with 2 Republicans ‘NAY’ against HB 2666 – Notarized Parental Consent for Abortions. Nothing Republican there.  Then in 2009 she sponsors bill HB2544 to teach sex education in the Kindergarten classroom.  Nothing Republican there.

Michele with full purpose and intent has cast herself into the role of traitor.  Whatever character flaw you want to contribute to an elected official who will intentionally vote against the Senate President, the Speaker of the House, their own caucus and the wishes of the Precinct committeemen who walked for them, made phone calls for them, and who gave them money and then passed a resolution taking an unequivocal stand you cannot excuse this knife in all these backs. 

It is time for all Republicans take a stand and hold those we elect accountable for their votes.

Come on Republicans. Censure Michele Reagan and do not give her the opportunity to stab our Republicans in the back again.

======================================================================

The Senate Brewercrats:

BILL STATUS VOTES FOR SB1492 – Third Reading

Member Name Vote Member Name Vote Member Name Vote
Ed Ableser Y Nancy Barto N David Bradley Y
Judy Burges N Olivia Cajero Bedford Y Rich Crandall Y
Chester Crandell N Adam Driggs Y Steve Farley Y
Steve Gallardo Y Gail Griffin N Katie Hobbs Y
Jack Jackson Jr. Y Leah Landrum Taylor Y Linda Lopez Y
John McComish Y Barbara McGuire Y Al Melvin N
Robert Meza Y Rick Murphy N Lynne Pancrazi Y
Steve Pierce Y Michele Reagan Y Don Shooter N
Anna Tovar Y Kelli Ward N Bob Worsley Y
Steve Yarbrough N Kimberly Yee N Andy Biggs N

 

AYES: 19   NAYS: 11   NOT VOTING: 0   EXCUSED: 0   VACANT: 0

 

Councilman DiCiccio Endorses Norgaard for Legislative District 18

Norgaard Campaign logo 2014

Today, Phoenix City Councilman Sal DiCiccio has endorsed Jill Norgaard for State Representative in Legislative District 18.

PHOENIX – Today, Phoenix City Councilman Sal DiCiccio has endorsed Jill Norgaard for State Representative in Legislative District 18.

“It is with great pleasure that I am endorsing Jill Norgaard for State Representative in Legislative District 18,” said DiCiccio “Jill will bring leadership, vision and integrity to this position and will represent the people of the district  well.  Join me in supporting Jill Norgaard for the Arizona House of Representatives.”

“I am honored to receive the support of Councilman DiCiccio,” said Norgaard. “I have been a long-time fan of his and have admired how he fights hard for the taxpayer. He is a steadfast conservative and I’m honored to have his endorsement.”

About Jill Norgaard

Jill is committed to reducing the size of government, advancing free market principles and working to make education in Arizona the best in the nation. She is an Engineer with a MBA, a former Vice President of a major Aerospace/Defense Manufacturing company and currently a small business owner. Jill is very active within her community holding various positions of leadership.

To learn more about Jill Norgaard and her plan for Arizona and Legislative District 18, please visit her website at www.JillNorgaard2014.com

Reflecting on the District 4 Council Race

By: Paul Bentz, reposted from HighGround blog

I’ve often said that the best part about campaigns is that they actually end and you know if you won or if you lost.  Needless to say, it’s also the worst thing about campaigns – particularly when you come up on the losing end.  Such is the case of Justin Johnson for Phoenix City Council.

First, let me say, Justin Johnson was the hardest working candidate that I have ever worked with.  He was the first one up in the morning and the last one out at night.  He was willing to talk to anyone and meet with whoever wanted to meet with him.  His willingness and dedication to knocking on doors, making phone calls, raising money is amazing.  He (and his entire family for that matter) has an uncanny special talent for hard work.  When he started the race, he had 6% support and he ended up earning first place in the August election.

Our internal polling had the Johnson campaign up by high single digits going into August.  The final tally, however, was much closer, and foretold of things to come.  What we found were several hundred West Phoenix voters who fell outside of the traditional participation model had made the run off much closer than anticipated.  

We adjusted our model accordingly and expanded the universe.  Once again, polling showed a lead for Johnson – confirmed not only by our internal polling, but also in the Lake Research Polling for the Independent Expenditure formed to bolster Pastor and attack Johnson.

We knew the run-off was going to be difficult – Congressman Pastor has deep roots in the community, extensive fundraising capabilities, and is probably the most liked official in all of Democrat politics.  The Democratic establishment lined up in uniform support for the Pastor campaign and went to work attacking his Johnson’s Democrat credentials (and you thought it only happened amongst Republicans).  As the Lake Research Polling suggested, the “IE needed to define her opponent quickly and aggressively.”  That they did.  The IE spent hundreds of thousands on mailers attacking Justin’s character and falsely aligning him with tea party interests.  

Despite all of that, Johnson still held a narrow lead.  

In the end, it came down to ballot collection.  As returns came in, a similar trend emerged that was reminiscent of the run off. Another massive increase in early ballots (over and above August turnout) was seen from West Phoenix precincts – 311% participation from Holmes, 167% participation from Culver/Marivue, 146% participation from Acuna/Lynwood/Riverside, 142% from Granda/Madrid and 162% participation in Hayden High/Isaac/Lewis.    
IZKfyZR

To their credit, Johnson’s campaign took on the herculean task of trying to counteract that flood of ballots all the way to the end aggressively generating returns of their own.  They spent every moment turning out their voters and reminding their supporters to vote.  Their efforts are why turnout is up across the board from August.

IEs on both sides made things messy and certainly made it a much closer election.  However, in the end, with 30 days of early voting, the results may not come down to mailers, endorsements, or even party ideology.

As we have seen more and more in close election contests, the daily grind of strategic ballot collection (particularly in low efficacy partisan targeted areas) can spell the difference between a win and a loss. Independent voters still tend not to participate at anywhere near the levels of partisan voters, and most seem turned off by the entire process.

Paul Bentz is Vice President of Accounts & Strategy with HighGround Public Affairs Consultants.

Arizona Democrats, Obama Supporters Trash Office of Congressman David Schweikert

Here’s a great example of the civility of the left in Arizona. These are photos taken of the front of Congressman David Schweikert’s office in which MoveOn members, the Arizona Democrat Party and Obama supporters left graffiti messages all over the congressman’s office.

SHAME ON THE LEFT AND DEMOCRAT PARTY OF ARIZONA. YOUR LACK OF CIVILITY AND TOLERANCE OF DIFFERING POLITICAL OPINIONS IS REVEALING AND DESPICABLE.

CLASSY DEMOCRATS, REAL CLASSY DEMOCRATS.

Schweikert3 Schweikert2 Schweikert1 Schweikert4

 

MBQF Launches Public Opinion Survey Service – Electric Deregulation Top Issue for Maiden Release

MBQF

Public Policy and Public Education Objective of Service

(Scottsdale, AZ) — MBQF Consulting founder and CEO Mike Noble today announced his objective to provide a quarterly service to inform and enlighten Arizonans on the public policy issues being debated in Arizona and around the Nation. Noble, who is not representing or retained by either side of Arizona’s Electric Deregulation debate being considered by the Arizona Corporation Commission, indicated that future topics would concern issues being considered by the Arizona legislature, the Congress of the United States, as well as multiple ballot initiatives.

“Arizona voters are some of the most engaged in the nation,” Noble said. “By helping identify voters public policy attitudes to decision makers and key stakeholders, we are ensuring their concerns are more clearly understood. It helps enhance the quality of discourse in our state and brings more people to the table.”

MBQF surveyed 516 high efficacy Arizona voters between August 5th and 7th, 2013. Voters were given a summary explanation of the deregulation issue, and then asked whether they supported, opposed or were undecided about electric deregulation. Issue explanations were randomized to present the question in a different order to each half of respondents.

Among Arizona high efficacy voters, 32% of respondents say they support deregulation, 41% say they oppose it, and 27% remain undecided. Republicans are split nearly evenly, with 35% supporting deregulation to 38% who oppose it, and 27% still undecided. Just 26% of Democrats support deregulation, while 45% oppose and 28% remain undecided.   Independent voters showed 34% support, 42% oppose and 24% remain undecided.

“A lesson we take from this is that no side in this debate has really gained any huge dominance over the other,” said Noble. “As is so frequently the case, influence rests with the undecided voters, and that puts all the more pressure on the companies and the stakeholders in this debate to develop new and more convincing arguments to reach Arizona citizens.”

For more information about this survey, or a summary of topline data and wording, please contact Mike Noble at the number above. Included in this survey were 516 autodial responses with rotating samples to ensure issue fairness. The Margin of Error for this survey is +/-4.3% at the 95% confidence level.

Will Mark Brnovich Challenge Tom Horne in Republican Primary for Attorney General?

The Arizona Capitol Times is reporting that State Gaming Director Mark Brnovich  submitted his resignation to Governor Brewer on Tuesday, September 3, possibly paving the way for a run as Attorney General in the Republican primary. Brnovich would challenge current embattled incumbent Tom Horne.

Brnovich was appointed to the position in 2009. He has extensive law enforcement experience including stints in the Maricopa County Attorney’s Office, US Attorney’s Office and the Arizona Attorney General’s Office. He also worked as an attorney at the Goldwater Institute.

Brnovich (reportedly pronounced “burn-o-vich”) may  be Tom Horne’s worst nightmare. A well-respected conservative with more than a decade of prosecutorial experience, rumors are already flying that Brnovich is being supported by Maricopa County Attorney Bill Montgomery.

Whether Brnovich runs or not, most pundits agree that Tom Horne cannot win re-election given recent controversies regarding his personal and public life.

Horne is currently being investigated for illegally coordinating with an independent expenditure committee during the 2010 campaign, and is also facing a civl suit from a former employee. Maricopa County Attorney Bill Montgomery flat out stated that Tom Horne had “broken the law.” In late 2012, the FBI revealed details of their multi-month investigation, including allegations thatHorne was engaging in an extramarital affair with a coworker.

The AZ Capitol Times is also reporting that Brnovich reserved the website address www.mark4ag.com on August 23. Which is probably a much better choice than “www.brnovich4ag.com.”

More from the Arizona Republic: 
Brnovich, a Republican, confirmed to The Arizona Republic he is considering a bid to be the state’s top attorney. If he runs, he would take the unusual step of challenging an incumbent in his own party — GOP Attorney General Tom Horne — in a primary election.

“I am seriously considering running for attorney general becuase I believe Arizonans deserve an attorney general with integrity, commitment and experience to do the right thing for the right reasons—not for personal or political reasons,” Brnovich said.

(Reposted from Western Free Press)

Handicapping the Arizona Governor’s Race

Arizona PBS’s Horizon just featured a segment featuring ASU pollster Bruce Merrill discussing the current lineup and prospects seeking the office of Governor in 2014. For the most part I agree with Merrill’s assessment on the candidates but I think I’d like to point out some factors that the respected pollster may have overlooked.

First, here’s the interview with Ted Simon:

YouTube Preview Image

If I were to break out the GOP gubernatorial race into three tiers, this is what it would look like. (For the purpose of full disclosure, I do not have any of these candidates as clients.)

First Tier:
Arizona State Treasurer Doug Ducey
Mesa Mayor Scott Smith

Second Tier:
Secretary of State Ken Bennett
Christine Jones
Former Tempe Mayor Hugh Hallman

Third Tier:
State Senator Al Melvin
Former Maricopa County Attorney Andrew Thomas

Assessing the first tier of candidates, both Ducey and Smith are extremely formidable candidates with perhaps the best consulting firms/teams in Arizona running their campaigns. I like to refer to this race as a battle between the House of Noble and the House of Coughlin.

DC London is run by former Chief of Staff to Congressman John Shadegg, Sean Noble – one of the most disciplined, organized and well-connected consultants in the business. House of Coughlin is run by Governor Brewer’s closest advisor and strategist, Chuck Coughlin who founded and oversees Arizona’s HighGround firm. As noted, Noble and Coughlin are two of the best Republican consultants in the state of Arizona. Both their firms are ready to lock horns in the governor’s race with teams that will make the Republican primary battle very exciting to watch.

Both Doug Ducey and Scott Smith are also strong leaders in their respective arenas. They know how to campaign effectively and are very good with audiences. They also have the capacity to bring a lot of money to the table for their teams. On the GOP spectrum, Ducey draws out support from the grassroots while Smith tends to identify with the establishment.

At the present, Ducey’s assertiveness for this race has been a little below the radar while Smith’s team has been actively taking advantage of opportunities to boost the mayor’s profile. We saw this recently in Smith’s election as President of the US Conference of Mayors. This makes sense from Smith’s perspective since his profile is highest in the east valley and Ducey has already obtained statewide name recognition.

This race will be very tight as money, leadership style, likability and their respective teams are evenly matched.

Looking at the second tier, I would have to place Secretary of State Ken Bennett at the top of this tier, although he has the chance to bounce into the first tier given an effective campaign team. Bennett has run for statewide office before although he really didn’t have any competition. Anyone who knows Ken Bennett knows him as one of the nicest elected officials they’ve ever met. But his chivalrous soft-spoken demeanor is often seen as a lack of assertiveness. To jump into the first tier, he will need ditch some of the nice-guy persona and get a little more assertive.

Christine Jones’ biggest challenge is that no one knows who she is. Whoever she hires as her team will need to do a lot of catching up making the rounds. If she is counting on raising money from the political establishment, this will be tough because most of the cash is flowing to the upper tier. She will have to put a lot of her own money into the race to boost her profile and prove credibility as a candidate. When I first heard her name mentioned for a statewide office, my suggestion was to see her run for Attorney General because a Christine Jones vs. Felecia Rotellini matchup would keep that seat in the hands of Republicans.

Hugh Hallman also remains in the second tier primarily because of the challenges of statewide name identification and the challenge of fundraising in a crowded field. Hallman is one of the smartest policy guys and that may come off as being too wonky, geeky and not strong enough leadership. He is well liked but running for Governor is not like running for the 8th most populous city in Arizona,

Jumping to the third tier, it’s accurate to say that both Senator Al Melvin and former Maricopa County Attorney Andrew Thomas have no path to victory whatsoever.

Senator Melvin is one of the nicest men you will ever meet but his time in the Arizona Legislature has branded him with the image of the grandfatherly citizen legislator. He has never run for statewide office and the money, energy and team it requires to mount such a campaign is out of reach.

Finally (and this is difficult to write), Andrew Thomas has no chance of winning the nomination short of the entire Arizona judiciary system being indicted for corruption. If Thomas had only remained in the office of County Attorney and successfully beat the judiciary system, he might be invincible. Unfortunately he now has one of the highest political radioactivity levels when it comes to former elected officials. This will doom his campaign.

Having managed a statewide campaign, I will tell you that it is a tremendous amount of work that requires millions of dollars. Money does make the difference in races and candidates who assert themselves early through money, endorsements and profile take the advantage. Watch for this race to be far more exciting than it was in 2010!

 

Shane Wikfors is the creator and editor of Sonoran Alliance and President of Red Mountain Consulting & Development. He has been active in Arizona campaigns, grassroots politics and non-profit issue advocacy for over 23 years. You can read more about him at ShaneWikfors.com.

Maricopa GOP Chair Rallies LD Censures

To all Arizona County and LD Republican Committee Chairmen -
Below is the front page article of the July 15 Arizona Capitol Times. I want to express my appreciation to those courageous and principled County and LD Republican Committees who have already conducted votes of “censure” and/or “no confidence.”
Jan Brewer, the legislators and their crony capitalist friends that support ObamaCare and Medicaid expansion have betrayed Americans, Arizona Republicans and the Republican Party Platform.  Their lack of ethics, integrity and egregious acts are motivated by only two things – greed and the lust for power – at the expense of hard working tax paying Americans.
The law was expected to cost $898 billion over the first decade when the bill was first passed, but this year the Congressional Budget Office revised that estimate to $1.85 trillion.  Money that will have to be borrowed from the Chinese or printed in the backroom of the Federal Reserve.  Latest polls indicate a majority of Americans are opposed to ObamaCare and Medicaid expansion with an overwhelming majority of Republicans in opposition.
During the past six months, we did everything we could to make a solid argument against ObamaCare and Medicaid expansion, we tried to reason with these people and even tried to make them see the light.  Unfortunately, our lobbying efforts fell on deaf ears and without success.
During one of Ronald Reagan’s difficult political battles he said,
               ”When you can’t make them see the light, make them feel the heat.”
I’m asking all the County and LD Republican Committees to make these people feel the heat by passing public censures for their actions.  They are elitists who think what they have done should be forgiven. They are mistaken.  We are not going to be able to defeat all of them, but we can defeat a majority of them in the 2014 Primary Election.
You can go to “MCRC Briefs” and get examples of public censures that have already been passed.  http://briefs.maricopagop.org/  Just type “censure” in the search field on the left.
Warmest regards,
 A. J. LaFaro
Chairman, Maricopa County Republican Committee
P.S.  Please encourage all of your PCs to keep up their daily efforts in getting petition signatures for www.urapc.org  Getting ObamaCare and Medicaid expansion on the November 2014 ballot will be historic for Arizona’s grassroots conservatives.

The Alliance of Principled Conservatives Stands for Founding Principles


In 1776 the British monarchy hired the Hessian mercenaries to terrorize the colonists in the New World. Ideas like “freedom” and “representation” were considered extreme and radical.

Today in Arizona we face a Governor willing to bypass the checks and balances put in place by our Founding Fathers. A Governor who purposely uses special privileges as a weapon against elected legislators. A Governor who is willing to subvert the spirit of the constitution, call a special session and suspend the rules just to force the largest socialistic takeover in U.S. history – the Obamacare/Medicaid Expansion – upon the people she was elected to serve.

She trampled on our rights. She took away our right to fair representation.  The end result of her actions will eventually lead to the full implementation of Obamacare which will force Arizonans to buy taxed tea ..oops.. I mean Federal health insurance.

Our Government is trampling on our freedoms at the National and State level.

The United Republican Alliance of Principled Conservatives is also labeled “extreme” and “fringe.” URAPC has risen up with pens and clipboards in hand to stop Obamacare using volunteer grassroots Arizonans. So the Governor’s Team forms an opposing committee that throws around outrageous accusations that if URAPC is   “successful, there are a lot of people who are going to get harmed” and then threatening “we’re going to be as aggressive as possible to get out to the public.” 

  • They cannot win on the issues.
  • They cannot get a bill passed without suspending the rules, and threatening to remove the President and Speaker.
  • Now they are “aggressively” misleading a.k.a. lying to people to stop us from gathering signatures.

In spite of a well funded $150,000 campaign to stop the gathering of signatures the Alliance of volunteer Republican Principled Conservatives grows. 

Swelling the ranks are activists who have been discouraged by the lack of conviction, the lack of pride in the basic Republican tenets of limited government and individual responsibility, and the courage to stand and say “that is wrong get out of the tent.”

URAPC is committed to maintaining the deep individualist spirit of Arizona and restoring freedom from an obtrusive government by leading the way to Veto Governor Brewer’s Medicaid Expansion.

Join us today and fill out a petition today!

www.urapc.org

The “Brewer Ruins Arizona Team” – BRAT’s – to bankrupt Arizona and bring you Obamacare

Here comes the “Brewer Ruins Arizona Team” – the BRAT’s -
to bankrupt Arizona and bring you Obamacare.

Governor Brewer suspended the rules in the House to ram Obamacare and a Democrat unbalanced budget through the legislature. So it is not a surprise that the Governor’s Team intends to bend every rule in the book to prevent the Republican Party from their constitutionally defined right to collect signatures to veto her.

She rolled the Senate.
She suspended the rules and rolled the House.
Watch out PC’s – YOUR TURN.

The Fake Petition
The Governor is PAYING signature gatherers to follow the URAPC alliance to create confusion and lead people to think they have already signed a petition.
The Governor’s team of BRAT’s is weak.

  • • They do not have a real petition.
  • • They do not have a real Proposition.
  • • They are a weak alternative to the passion and commitment found at URAPC.

Details of the BRAT Petition
The BRAT’s are carrying a paper with the title: “Petition in Support of Health Care for Arizonans Who Need it Most.”

The Governor continues her strategy of paying to get her way because she cannot win on principle. Her team has hired w ell known traditionally conservative signature gatherers, folks who have worked for Senator Russell Pearce and Sheriff Joe so they will not work for URAPC.

URAPC has approximately 13,000 petitions throughout the state of Arizona. Small business owners who are proud Democrats are joining the Alliance of Principled conservatives to save their businesses and the jobs they create.

Go to:  www.urapc.org to see the BRAT petition.

 

More Political Backlash from the Arizona Medicaid Expansion Vote

A Maricopa County delegation from Arizona’s first legislative district recently voted to condemn their state senator for his vote on Medicaid expansion.

In a unanimous vote, the LD-1 Republicans precinct committeemen issued the following strong rebuke:

On June 17th, Republican Precinct Committeemen at Legislative District 1 MC voted unanimously to condemn Senator Pierce’s actions regarding the Medicaid Expansion, a vote of “No Confidence” as follows: 

We move that LD1 express a vote of no confidence in our LD1 Senator Steve Pierce who overwhelmingly and completely voted with Democrats regarding the Medicaid expansion and amendments (some are saying up to 50 times) in opposition to his fellow Republican senators, constituents, and party platform.

In total, five state senators and nine state representatives aligned with big government Democrats to vote for the Obamacare provision of Medicaid expansion.

Don’t be surprised if more Republican grassroots officials and organizations issue condemnations of these 14 legislators and the governor.

At the same time Sonoran Alliance encourages these same organizations to issue praise and appreciation to those legislators who voted against the Obamacare provision of Medicaid expansion.