Pinal County Massacre, Part II

In a stunning election night surprise, incumbent Pinal County Attorney Lando Voyles was soundly defeated by political newcomer Kent Volkmer (results here).

There is no exit polling but the chatter is that Lando lost because he noticeably increased spending soon after taking office. His actions seemed to cost the county money from day one, including summarily firing a merit protected employee in what was called The Pinal County Massacre and choosing a chief deputy mired in controversy.

Voyles rarely showed up to candidate forums and Volkmer took full advantage of that fact to list the mistakes and shortcomings of Voyles.  Volkmer did not hold back and his charges against Voyles went unanswered by the absent Voyles.

Mark LambAn even greater election night beat-down took place in the race to replace outgoing Sheriff Paul Babeu. His hand-picked successor, Chief Deputy Sheriff Steve Henry, was resoundingly defeated by another political newcomer Mark Lamb.

Voyles and Henry continued using the Law and Order moniker that Babeu and Voyles rolled out in 2012 but the tag line was of little help this year. Henry was not an incumbent in the race but as the current chief deputy, he came pretty close.

Not only was the defeat of an incumbent and an anointed successor a surprise but the margin of victory for the two challengers was a surprise. Few people know how the two new elected officials will run their offices but clearly the voters chose a change in direction for law enforcement in Pinal County.

Andy Tobin Advances In The Race For Arizona Corporation Commission

Andy Tobin

Phoenix, AZ – Corporation Commissioner Andy Tobin has advanced to the General Election in the race for the Arizona Corporation Commission. Tobin, the former Speaker of the Arizona House of Representatives, was appointed by Governor Doug Ducey to fill a vacancy on the Commission. In early results, Tobin received strong support in Arizona’s rural counties and finished near the top in Maricopa and Pima Counties.

“I am beyond grateful to the people of Arizona who voted to nominate me as one of the Republican Party’s nominees for the Arizona Corporation Commission.Serving the voters and taxpayers of Arizona has been one of my life’s biggest and most important professional accomplishments. My purpose for serving on the Commission has always been straightforward: Protect Arizonans and grow an economy. Period. I want to ensure that all Arizonans have access to a reliable and affordable electrical grid, clean water and safe infrastructure. I want to continue the implementation of conservative reforms such as Governor Doug Ducey’s ‘Lean Government Initiative.’ I want to fight for our seniors who often are taken advantage of by unscrupulous financial planners.”

Andy Tobin

Andy Tobin

Commissioner Tobin continued: “After serving on the Commission for over 200 days, it is clear to me that there is still so much more work to be done here on behalf of Arizonans. This election is far from over. Special interest groups connected to Hillary Clinton and the Obama Administration are threatening to turn the Commission a deep shade of liberal blue. It seems like every week, a new burdensome, job-killing environmental regulation scuttles out of Washington.Let’s send a clear message at the polls this November: Arizona, especially our rural communities, cannot afford the federal government’s ‘wisdom,’and we must not stand for it either.  I ask for your vote for the Arizona Corporation Commission because I understand that the job of elected leaders is not to protect themselves or the government — it is to protect the taxpayers.”

Anti-McCain Republicans Still Not Anti-McCain Enough to Defeat McCain

 
A quick review of the Primary Election numbers on the Republican US Senate Race shows that Senator John McCain had no real threat of losing the nomination, again.

John McCain

John McCain

I went back and reviewed the official canvass from 2010 and compared those numbers with yesterday’s unofficial election results.

Here’s the comparison:

August 24, 2010 Republican Primary Election
John McCain – 333,744 / 56.25%
JD Hayworth – 190,299 / 32.07%
Jim Deakin – 69,328 / 11.68%

August 30, 2016 Republican Primary Election
John McCain – 251,068 / 51.65%
Kelli Ward – 190,618 / 39.21%
Alex Melusky – 26,805 / 5.51%
Clair Van Steenwyk – 17,649 / 3.63%
Assuming votes for any of the 2010 and 2016 challengers were “anti-McCain” votes, those votes were still not enough to overcome a re-nomination of McCain. However, those numbers rose in 2016.

2010 Primary
John McCain – 333,744 / 56.25%
Anti-McCain – 259,627 / 43.75%

Kelli Ward

Kelli Ward

2016 Primary
John McCain – 251,068 / 51.65%
Anti-McCain – 235,072 / 48.35%

Of course, this assumes that voter registration and turnout models are the same (which they are not). As you can see, John McCain collected 82, 676 fewer votes than he did in 2010. He also lost 4.6% of his edge among Republican voters.

What does this mean moving forward?

John McCain will likely face his most difficult General Election ever.

Ann Kirkpatrick

Ann Kirkpatrick

In her last campaign finance reporting, Ann Kirkpatrick disclosed she has $2.3 Million in the bank. John McCain’s last report showed just over $5 Million cash on hand. Assuming he’s depleted a portion of that amount fending off Primary challengers, and, the Democrat Senatorial Campaign Committee has allocated funds to Arizona, this will be McCain’s toughest campaign.

If we also consider the “Trump Factor” and the division in the Arizona Republican Party, Arizona Republicans run a higher risk of losing this US Senate seat to Ann Kirkpatrick.

Not surprising, those voting for Donald Trump may not vote for John McCain and those voting for John McCain may not be voting for Donald Trump.

I still see a divided Republican Party in Arizona between those who learned from the 2012 Presidential race and those who didn’t.

Republicans in Arizona are not united, and it’s still to be seen if they will be on November 8th.

Arizona Right to Life PAC Did NOT Endorse Kate Brophy McGee

Last week, a mailer went out from an independent expenditure in support of Kate Brophy McGee. On the mailer, was a list of organizations that endorsed Brophy McGee in her race for Arizona State Senate. One of those endorsements was Arizona Right to Life.

This endorsement was incorrect. Arizona Right to Life did NOT endorse Kate Brophy McGee.

This was brought to my attention because I was once the Executive Director and Director for the Arizona Right to Life.

Given Brophy McGee’s voting record, she has never been endorsed by Arizona Right to Life.

In her Primary race, she is running unopposed as a Republican. She receive the Republican nomination on Tuesday, August 30th. She will run against a rabidly liberal, pro-abortion Democrat, Eric Meyer, in the General Election.

The mailer that was sent out was produced in error. Again, Kate Brophy-McGee was not endorsed by Arizona Right to Life.

The vendor who prepared the mailer, made an error. The vendor also released a letter and apology to Arizona Right to Life stating that mailer was done in error.

Here is that letter:

August 24, 2016

Arizona Right To Life
Attention Greg Hansen Jr.
4633 N 54th St, Phoenix, AZ 85018

Re: LD 28 Mail piece

Dear Greg:

We would like to offer our sincerest apologies for having listed Az. Right To Life on the LD 28 endorsement piece we did for a client recently.

By way of background, I am pro-life and had the privilege of working for your organization several years ago. I hold your organization in high esteem.

It is always an honor for a candidate to receive the endorsement from Az. Right To Life. However, due to an unfortunate error on my part, your organization was listed for someone who was not on your endorsed list. For that, we sincerely apologize to Arizona Right To Life and to you Greg, for this error.

We wish you the very best this election season. If you have any other concerns, please don’t hesitate to call me.

Sincerely,

Judy Connell

(Read full letter)

Senator Jeff Flake Discusses Donald Trump

This week, Senator Jeff Flake made an appearance on KAET’s Horizon with Ted Simons. The interview was focused on the presidential candidacy and campaign of Donald Trump.

It’s no secret that Senator Flake has serious reservations, like many Republicans, about supporting Donald Trump.

Watch as Senator Flake shares his views on Donald Trump.

Frank Schmuck Questions Jeff Dial’s Military Record in Political Ad

Conservative Republican Frank Schmuck released a new digital ad today questioning the military service of Jeff Dial. Dial is seeking reelection to the Arizona State Senate in Legislative District 18.

The ad references Dial’s admission that his military service was characterized as “unsatisfactory participation” due to his weight, but the Schmuck campaign cites military regulations for an accurate definition.

According to regulations, “unsatisfactory participation” is due to “disobeying military orders” or not showing up for duty or “Absence Without Leave” or AWOL.

Earlier this week, the Schmuck campaign asked Jeff Dial to release his DD-214, the official document issued by the Department of Defense certifying release of discharge of active military service.

Dial has refused to release his DD-214 and instead has only provided a DD 256, which only certifies completion of a term as a reservist. The DD Form 256 is not used to determine if someone is a veteran in part because it can be purchased online with no verification of military service required and because active dates of service must be listed to qualify.

Dial and Schmuck will square off in the August 30th Primary Election.

Links:

http://www.military-certificates.com/Cert_Army_Honorable_discharge.htm

http://www.cem.va.gov/hmm/discharge_documents.asp

Frank Schmuck Releases DD-214, Demands Jeff Dial Release His Military Records

Frank Schmuck for Arizona Senate
There has been some discussion regarding the military service of my opponent in this primary race. Articles have been written questioning and challenging his military service record. To put things in perspective and provide contrast, I am releasing my military records to the public. The public has a right to know the character and quality of my military service, just as they have a right to know the character and quality of my opponent’s claimed service record. I am providing links to my DD Form 214 and DD Form 215 along with another link to my Officer Performance Reports (OPR’s). The DD Form 214 is a transcript of your military service.

Unfortunately, my opponent has refused to release his records numerous times to the Arizona Republic and at the request of Veterans who live in his district.

My opponent may tell you he has an “Honorable Discharge” however, the form he cites, a DD Form 256 (kind of like a certificate) is UNACCEPTABLE proof to employers, mortgage lenders, the US Department of Veterans Affairs, the Arizona Department of Veterans Services and any Veteran Service Organization, like the American Legion, VFW etc. for Veteran status, to get a loan, to obtain a Veteran license plate or to achieve membership into their organization.

One may certainly say that one has an “Honorable Discharge” based on a 256 certificate, but that does not allow one to say, “I am a Veteran.”  Someone could go to basic training and advanced individual training and then stop going to one’s reserve unit and eventually receive an “Honorable Discharge” certificate, but that would not make one a Veteran.  The title “Veteran” is reserved for those who have a certain number of days of active duty service, not training.

The true test of a “Veteran” is the DD Form 214/215.  My opponent has admitted his DD Form 214 is marked as “Uncharacterized.” Why does he refuse to release his DD Form 214? What is he hiding? My opponent has also admitted to “Unsatisfactory Participation,” which military regulations define as disobeying a direct military order or Absent Without Leave (AWOL).

Analysis of records  appear to prove that my opponent signed up for Army Basic Training (NOT Service) and afterwards failed to show for duty, shirking nearly 8 years of service, by his choice. Thereafter, for my opponent to say he is “very proud of my country, and stand by my eight years of service in the military” is an insult to every Veteran who has served, and all the families of Veterans who lost their lives and sacrificed for their loved one.

Two military experts, at the request of the Arizona Republic, reviewed my opponent’s record. A US Navy Seal and Stolen Valor Team Member, Captain Larry Bailey, has stated, “the idea that he [Dial] is a veteran is ‘laughable.’

A Brigadier General with a career of expertise in military records has said, “it is odd that Dial could get an honorable discharge given his military record.” He went on to say, “He’s not somebody I would stand next to and say I’d go to combat with this guy.

If my opponent truly “served” from 1996 to 2004 then why did he not campaign as a Veteran in 2004; yet in 2008 began campaigning as a Veteran? If he had already done 7 or 8 years of service by then wouldn’t he know he is Veteran?  See the Citizens Clean Elections Commission Candidate Statements – Jeff Dial
 The public has a right to know that falsely portraying your military service is an offense on this country and when done for gain (as in the case of an election and employment), may be punishable not only in the court of public opinion but in a court of law. Every voter is a juror and all you need is a preponderance of evidence to convict in this case, but doesn’t this seem beyond even a reasonable doubt? Jeff Dial appears to have misled the public about his military service or lack thereof, and the public deserves to know all the facts.
Will you call (602) 926-5550 and ask Jeff Dial to release his records including his DD Form 214?

Respectfully,

Frank Schmuck
Candidate for  Arizona State Senate
Legislative District 18
Representing Ahwatukee, and parts of
Chandler, Mesa and Tempe

Note: The DD Form 214 is a transcript of an individual’s military service and is  “a document of the United States Department of Defense, issued upon a military service member’s retirement, separation, or discharge from active duty in the Armed Forces of the United States. The DD Form 215 is used to correct errors or additions to a DD Form 214 discovered after the original had been delivered and/or distribution had been made. It is distributed in the same manner as the DD Form 214.” The DD Form 256 is NOT an acceptable form of proof for qualifying someone as a “Veteran.” For more visit: http://www.cem.va.gov/hmm/discharge_documents.asp

Was Congressman Matt Salmon’s Staffer Politicking on Taxpayer Time?

Every member of Congress and their staff is constantly reminded – especially during election years – that using official government time and resources for partisan politicking, is strictly forbidden.

It’s a simple rule. Don’t spend your time and don’t use taxpayer-paid computers, phones, etc to engage in election activities. Taxpayers don’t want staff working to elect or defeat while they’re on the taxpayer’s dime.

So why would a member of Congressman Salmon’s staff spend time politicking on official time?

The following screenshots were obtained from Facebook and show Salmon staffer Lee Huff making political posts in support of Salmon’s hand-picked successor, Andy Biggs.

In the first screenshot, we see Lee Huff on Facebook sharing a post to an Andy Biggs political event. The post was made Wednesday, July 27th at 12:28 PM. Lee Huff works for Congressman Matt Salmon, who works for the taxpayers of CD-5.

L Huff 072716The next screenshot shows a post from Thursday, July 28th at 10:14 AM from Gilbert, Arizona. Congressman Salmon’s office is located in the heart of downtown Gilbert. Lee Huff resides in Mesa. The content of the post is an attempt at a negative association of Christine Jones with Barack Obama. It is clearly electioneering at 10:14 in the morning from Gilbert, Arizona.

L Huff 072816

The final screenshot shows Lee Huff on Facebook posting on Tuesday, August 2nd at 2:29 PM from Gilbert. This time, the post is an effort to drive web traffic to a dark money-sponsored organization’s website that is trying to mislead voters about Christine Jones.

L Huff 080516

The question I have is who does Lee Huff work for? Is it Congressman Matt Salmon? Is it Matt Salmon’s heir-apparent, Andy Biggs? Or, is it the taxpayers who pay his congressional staffer salary?

Perhaps Lee Huff was off the clock? Maybe using a little vacation time? Maybe he frequents Gilbert coffee shops? I think he has some explaining to do to us watching this election and to his boss, the US taxpayers.

Winkle for Mesa … In Tempe?

You would think that when you’re running for a local office that you would hold your events in the district, right? Apparently, Ryan Winkle who is running for Mesa City Council in District 3 would disagree!

Winkle is hosting an event that he’s calling a “Community Celebration,” in Tempe. Is that a slap in the face to the voters in Mesa’s 3rd District? We think so… That is the equivalent of someone running for the Phoenix City Council who campaigns in San Tan Valley. It just does not make sense!

Maybe he’s confused about what district and city he is actually going to represent?

Winkle, we know you’re young and naive, but if you’re running to represent people then please run in the district you’re aiming to represent. You are not running for Tempe City Council. The people of Mesa deserve better and deserve to know that you care about them and the issues facing the community. Evidently, you do not.

Wendy Rogers Responds to Gov Brewer Endorsement of Paul Babeu

Wendy Rogers

(Flagstaff, AZ) – The following statement was issued by Col Wendy Rogers regarding former Governor Jan Brewer’s endorsement of Paul Babeu in the race for Arizona’s First Congressional District:

“I guess Jan Brewer hasn’t seen the naked photos Paul posted of himself to a website trafficking in gay pornography, or perhaps she hasn’t read that Paul is under investigation by the FBI, or that he tried to deport his Mexican boyfriend when their relationship soured. I guess Jan doesn’t have access to any news whatsoever, because Paul Babeu is probably the least qualified person to ever run for this congressional seat.”