Matt Salmon Exits Arizona Gubernatorial Race

Praises “The Best Staff Members, Volunteers, And Activists In Arizona”

Phoenix – Former Congressman Matt Salmon today issued the following statement to announce that he is ending his gubernatorial campaign:

Matt Salmon

“I am so proud of everything that we have been able to accomplish together over the past year. I’ve been blessed with the best staff members, volunteers, and activists in Arizona, and I will forever be grateful for the tireless work and heart-felt passion that they gave to this campaign. Our ideas changed this race for the better – there is no doubt about that.

“Unfortunately, numbers are numbers, and it has become clear to me that the path to a first-place victory is no longer a realistic possibility. Republican primary voters deserve more than having their votes split on August 2nd, and so I am leaving this race for the same reason that I entered it: Because it is what’s best for the people of Arizona.

“I will announce next steps in the coming days, but, for now, I want to reiterate my eternal gratitude for all of the Arizonans who have supported me this year. You are the backbone of this beautiful state, and I am eager to continue working with you in defense of freedom.”

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Who Is ‘Securing Arizona’ PAC?

Securing Arizona PAC is a political action committee filed with the Arizona Secretary of State dedicated to maligning and attacking a longtime conservative and statesman, Rusty Bowers.

This PAC is registered with the Elections Division of the Arizona Secretary of State and has as its Chairman and Treasurer, Youssef Khalaf.

According to the most recent campaign finance reports, Securing Arizona PAC has spent $48,500 with Phoenix-based The Resolute Group and $17,355 with Delaware-based political consultants, In Field Strategies.

The most recent campaign finance trigger report (6/6/22) also shows that the PAC has not reported any contributions although the PAC has a negative cash balance of $113,210 on hand.

This same PAC is also attacking State Senator Tyler Pace, another proven East-Valley conservative while it attempts to push through other Republicans named Robert Scantlebury and David Farnsworth. Farnsworth served in the State Senate almost two years ago and retired from politics but became radicalized and joined the MAGA mob after the 2020 Election.

Pace is facing a challenge in the new legislative district 9 from Scantlebury while Bowers faces his challenge from Farnsworth in the new legislative district 10.

On paper, each candidate is in issue alignment on over 95% of conservative principles.

Disappointingly, Securing Arizona PAC is putting out blatant propaganda and lies about Bowers and Pace. If I were to speculate, it’s because both Bowers and Pace won’t bow in submission to the Big Lie, conspiracy-theorists, Trump suckups running the Arizona Republican Party. Bowers refused to go along with the hyper-MAGA subterfuge efforts down at the Arizona Legislature and even received a national award for his courage under fire.

When the next campaign finance reports are filed, we will reveal who is giving money to the Securing Arizona PAC in order to show who is orchestrating these attacks on good conservative leaders.

As I like to say, “for every political action, there is an opposite and greater than political reaction.”

Finally it should be noted that Sonoran Alliance does endorse Tyler Pace for State Senate in LD9 and Rusty Bowers for State Senate in LD10. We are certain that these two conservative Republican leaders deserve to serve in the Arizona State Senate.

Biden Hits New Low in Grand Canyon State 

President Biden 15 Points Underwater with Arizona Voters Toplines and Crosstabs can be found here 
PHOENIX (March 30th, 2022)- President Joe Biden is now facing his lowest job approval rating in Arizona since taking office, according to a new tracking survey by OH Predictive Insights (OHPI). After 14 months on the job, only 40% of Arizona voters are giving the Democrat positive marks, while 55% disapprove of his job performance as of the March survey.  This Arizona Public Opinion Pulse (AZPOP) was conducted March 7th, 2022 – March 15th, 2022 and surveyed 753 Arizona registered voters, giving the survey a margin of error of +/- 3.6%. 
Screen Shot 2022-03-29 at 1.00.32 PM
Driving this nosedive are Arizona’s all-important Independent voters: nearly 3 in 5 Independents disapprove of Biden’s job performance as of the March AZPOP.   Republicans are in a comfortable position as they only need one seat to regain control of the U.S. Senate, and Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly is a top target. On the other end, Democrats are on the defense of several congressional seats after the decennial redistricting process (the reconfiguring of political boundaries to account for population shifts reflected in the recent census) in 2021. 
“Biden’s record-low approval ratings are encouraging to Arizona Republicans as they look to notch victories in several key races,” said Mike Noble, OHPI Chief of Research. “Majority disapproval of the President always trickles down ticket as the entire party suffers residual damages.” 
The President is also facing negative numbers on nearly every issue that has dominated news headlines in recent weeks. Some of Biden’s biggest drops in approval from May 2021 to March 2022 come from the President’s handling of COVID-19, the economy, and uniting the country.  
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Voters in the Grand Canyon state are now largely split on Biden’s response to the pandemic. In last May’s AZPOP survey, his pandemic numbers were more than 30 points above water but fell to a net -2% in March 2022. When it comes to the economy, Biden is currently 22 points underwater – a 33-point drop from last May.  
“The survey shows potential warning signs for Arizona Democrats as they gear up for this November’s midterm elections following Biden’s narrow 2020 victory in the state,” said Noble.   
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### Methodology: This poll was conducted as an online opt-in panel survey. The survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights from March 7 to March 15, 2022 from an Arizona Statewide Registered Voter sample. The sample demographics were weighted to accurately reflect the registered voter population by gender, region, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, and education according to a recent voter file derived from the Arizona Secretary of State’s Office and recent Census data. The sample size was 753 registered voters in Arizona, with a MoE of ± 3.6%. Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding.

Karrin Taylor Robson: Governor Ducey must sign SB1165 and SB1138 to preserve girls’ sports and protect children

Statement by Karrin Taylor Robson, Republican candidate for Arizona Governor

March 29, 2022

“Hollywood, the mainstream media and radical Left have gone mad. They would have us believe that there are infinite genders. Or that fair play can include young women competing against much larger and stronger athletes who competed as men only months earlier. During U.S. Senate hearings last week, Joe Biden’s Supreme Court nominee – Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson – even deflected when she was asked if she could define a woman. ‘I’m not a biologist,’ she responded.
 
“Well, I’m not a biologist, either. But I am a mom and – like most Arizonans – I still have my common sense: boys are boys, and girls are girls. The two genders typically compete separately in athletics for an obvious reason. The relative rarity of trans-athletes does not override the fact that every roster spot, scholarship and victory unfairly awarded is one less opportunity for our daughters. 
 
“Likewise, every parent knows that children are still growing physically and emotionally and are particularly susceptible to outside influences and impulsiveness. There are even cases across the country of minors being counseled on gender dysphoria without their parents’ knowledge or consent. SB 1138 appropriately protects Arizona children by limiting gender-reassignment surgeries to adults better able to weigh the consequences of their actions.
 
“Transgender Arizonans deserve respect, and my heart goes out to any young person struggling with these issues. But I also fear our society is seeing a massive increase in children claiming gender dysphoria – up 4000% among girls alone – as young people are influenced by social media, activist counselors and therapists who push life-altering interventions. Arizona families are being torn apart and our children deserve better.
 
“It is time to inject sanity back into this debate. I urge Governor Ducey to preserve girls’ sports and protect Arizona children by signing into law SB 1165 and SB 1138.”

Arizona House Speaker Rusty Bowers On Republicanism

Karrin Taylor Robson unveils plan to build upon Arizona’s history of water stewardship

Today, the Karrin for Arizona campaign released Karrin Taylor Robson’s official policy plan to secure Arizona’s water future.  
 
Taylor Robson’s decades-long experience in managing land and water resources helps inform her plan to build upon Arizona’s exceptional leadership in water stewardship, innovation and planning.
 
“One of the greatest challenges Arizona faces is to ensure we have the water necessary for future generations,” Taylor Robson said. “As Governor, I will bring my decades of experience in land use and my commitment to natural resource stewardship to help position Arizona for the next century. We will protect Arizona consumers, preserve those legacy industries so vital to our economy and defend our Arizona way of life.”
 
The Taylor Robson plan is built upon three key principles:
 

  • Protect Arizona Consumers

Arizonans must have access to a safe, reliable and affordable water supply. Anything less is unacceptable.

  • Preserve Legacy Industries

Legacy industries such as agriculture, ranching, mining and logging are critical drivers of jobs and economic activity, as well as inextricably linked to Arizona’s Western heritage and culture. We must ensure these legacy industries not only survive but thrive in the future.

  • Defend Our Arizona Way of Life

Rugged … independent … self-reliant. The “Arizona way of life” means something different to everyone. What we have in common is our need for water to support our families and community.

READ KARRIN’S WATER PLAN HERE

Chairman Bill Gates Participates In “Defending American Democracy” Panel

Maricopa County Chairman Bill Gates, District 3

Attacks on democratic institutions and election officials are the biggest threat facing our country today, according to Maricopa County Board of Supervisors Chairman Bill Gates. 

“When people attempt to undermine a democratic election, it puts at risk everything we take for granted in a free country,” said Chairman Bill Gates, Supervisor District 3. “Security, speech, and economic progress. That’s why Maricopa County has not been silent, and that’s why we will not be silent in the face of lies.”

Gates was one of several panelists who participated in the McCain Institute’s second “Defending American Democracy” panel.  Gates has made running secure elections and defending democracy a pillar of his Chairmanship.  He provided his perspective today alongside Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson; Pasco County, Florida Elections Supervisor Brian Corley; and Executive Director of the Center for Election Innovation and Research, David Becker.

“We’re proud to have one of the most robust voting systems in country, where you can vote by mail, you can vote early, and you can vote at the polls,” said Gates. “The Arizona GOP wants to change early voting.  Attempts to put that genie back in the bottle undermine our voting system and are bad politics.”

The conversation focused largely on what can be done about the misinformation that has led some Americans to believe elections are rigged and massive fraud is affecting outcomes. This is not the case and no credible evidence supports those conclusions.  False claims about the 2020 election led to unprecedented threats on election officials and workers, including Gates, his fellow board members, and Maricopa County elections staff. 

“I am called a traitor on a daily basis for doing my job,” Gates added. “Many people have said we’re opposed to audits, but that is simply not true. We’re opposed to extra-legal audits that follow no statutes or plan on how they would occur. That is what was done by the Arizona Senate, and it should never happen again.” 

Maricopa County has consistently refuted falsehoods and shared facts about election administration in the nation’s fastest-growing county.  A website, JustTheFacts.vote, compiles much of this information.

You can watch the entire “Defending American Democracy” event here.

Happy Anniversary Sonoran Alliance!

We missed announcing this two days ago but its better late than never!

Sonoran Alliance turned 16 years-old on February 5th, 2022. 16 years ago, the blog was launched by a cadre of conservatives to take on the liberal establishment in Arizona. Over the years there have been dozens of contributors to the blog writing on a variety of issues important to conservatives. Those posts continue to live on this blog.

Before the blog launched many of its contributors worked as activists, political consultants and government insiders. The focus has always been on conservative principles and not the winds of populism.

As we start another year, we will continue to bring you more information on Arizona politics, news, events and conservative opinion.

Here’s to another year of fighting for truth, justice and the conservative way!

Poll: Democrats Support Ousting Sinema in 2024 Primary

Kelly Faces Alarming Favorables One Year Out from Election

Toplines and Crosstabs can be found here

PHOENIX (November 22nd, 2021)- When Sen. Mark Kelly was elected in 2020, his victory marked the first time Arizona was represented by two Democrats in the United States Senate since the early-1950s. Since taking office, Kelly has established himself as more of a party-line Democrat, while his colleague, Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, has ruffled feathers by opposing some of her party’s key priorities. A new Arizona Public Opinion Pulse (AZPOP) conducted by OH Predictive Insights (OHPI) suggests that both Democrats could be in danger of losing their runs at re-election.

This AZPOP survey was conducted November 1st – November 8th, 2021 and surveyed 713 registered voters in Arizona, yielding a margin of error of +/-3.7%.

Sinema Favorables

Since President Joe Biden’s inauguration, many of his ambitious legislative priorities – such as voting rights reform, his budget framework, and climate change legislation – have been stalled in the evenly divided Senate. Many blame the stalled legislation on Sinema, and OHPI’s polling suggests that Arizona Democrats are starting to have the same feeling.

kyrsten sinema favorability

Kyrsten Sinema’s favorability ratings are roughly split among Arizona voters, with 42% viewing her favorably and 45% viewing her unfavorably. What is especially interesting is the Democratic Senator’s ratings across the aisle – Sinema’s numbers with Republicans are above water while her numbers with Democrats are underwater. Forty-eight percent of Republicans view Sinema favorably and 45% view her unfavorably. Meanwhile, just 42% of Sen. Sinema’s own party view her in a favorable light and 47% hold an unfavorable view of her.

Sinema’s Primary Woes
“Sen. Sinema’s growing unpopularity with voters from within her own party could prove fatal in 2024 when she will have to ask for Democrats’ support for re-nomination,” said Mike Noble, OHPI Chief of Research. “While there is still time between now and then, Sinema has ground to make up with her constituents in the next three years.”

When asked who they would prefer as a U.S. Senator given the options of Sinema, a Republican, and a Democrat other than Sinema, only 26% of Arizona Democrats said that they would prefer Sinema, while another 72% chose a Democrat other than Kyrsten Sinema.

preferred US Senator

Senator Sinema also currently trails in hypothetical primary matchups. Against Phoenix Rep. Ruben Gallego, 47% said that they would support Gallego while 24% said that they would support Sinema. Rep. Greg Stanton, Sinema’s successor in Congress, leads his predecessor by an identical margin in a hypothetical primary match-up. Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Kathy Hoffman also bests Sinema by 20 points.

“Sinema’s holding out on the reconciliation bill caused a lot of political pressure from left wing of her party, and her numbers were beginning to sour because of it,” said Mike Noble. “she was walking a delicate tight rope, see in numbers now, rope was looking more like fishing wire.”

Filibuster
Sinema’s opposition to reforming the Senate filibuster has angered many progressives. Arizona’s electorate, however, is having a difficult time gauging the Senator’s exact position on the Senate rule. The survey found that 42% of Arizona voters believe Sinema supports the filibuster, while a statistically equivalent 39% are unsure where she stands.

With less than a year until he must face voters once again, results of this latest AZPOP survey could serve as a warning sign for Sen. Mark Kelly, as the freshman Democratic Senator’s favorable numbers are underwater by seven percentage points – he is viewed favorably by 41% of Arizona voters, and unfavorably by 48%.

Unlike Sinema, Kelly’s numbers with partisans fall in line with your typical swing state Democratic Senator: 75% of Democrats view him favorably, and 76% of Republicans view him unfavorably. His low numbers can also be attributed to Independents, with whom he is underwater by 10 points.

“As President Biden faces his lowest approval ratings since taking office, voters are turning their frustration to Democratic candidates,” said Noble. “That’s something Senator Kelly should keep in mind as he faces re-election in one of the country’s closest swing states.”

Favorability of Democratic Politicians

Biden’s Economic Agenda
Nationwide polling has found decent support for President Biden’s key legislative priorities among voters, even as the President himself faces low approvals. Arizona has been no exception to this trend.

In the Grand Canyon State, support for the Build Back Better Act – the President’s economic framework – is six points above water. Forty-seven percent of Arizona voters support the bill while 41% oppose it. Even Independents, who are currently key players in driving Biden’s unpopularity, narrowly support the bill (46% support the bill, 39% oppose it).

The Takeaway
“Both Sinema and Kelly have work to do if they want to hold onto their seats,” said Mike Noble. “For Sinema, she must rebuild some of the bridges she seems to have burned with voters in her own party. For Kelly, he will likely have to navigate a midterm environment with an unpopular Democratic President.”

Methodology: This poll was conducted as an online opt-in panel survey. The survey was completed by OH Predictive Insights from November 1st to November 8th, 2021 from an Arizona Statewide Registered Voter sample. The sample demographics were weighted to accurately reflect the registered voter population by gender, region, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, and education according to a recent voter file derived from the Arizona Secretary of State’s Office and recent Census data. The sample size was 713 registered voters in Arizona, with a MoE of ± 3.7%. Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding. 

Salmon For Arizona Governor Releases Education Policy Paper

Phoenix – Former Congressman and Republican gubernatorial candidate Matt Salmon today released a new policy paper outlining how he plans to further strengthen Arizona’s schools for children, parents, and teachers through meaningful accountability and educational freedom. The policy paper will provide the foundation for Salmon’s educational agenda as Arizona’s next governor.

Click Here To Read The Education Policy Paper Online

Click Here To Read The Education Policy Paper As A PDF

Now is the time for Arizona to pursue ambitious public policies that will create a system of educational excellence and guarantee that students receive the education we know they deserve. The last two years demonstrated the overwhelming importance of keeping schools open for in-person instruction and ensuring parents are aware of what is being taught inside of their children’s classrooms. I am committed to protecting parents’ rights to engage with their local school boards without fear of intimidation and empowering every family in the state with educational freedom whenever they choose and for whatever reason. As Arizona’s next governor, I promise to do everything in my power to stop Critical Race Theory’s grotesque politicization of our classrooms and refocus school curricula on core competencies, namely math, science and civics, which will prepare students for the future,” said Salmon.

You can watch Salmon’s remarks at the recent Scottsdale Unified School District governing board meeting here and listen to his radio interview about the Chandler Unified School District on News Talk 550 KFYI here.