WASHINGTON, D.C., September 1, 2011 — Chief economist for the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) William C. Dunkelberg, issued the following statement on August job numbers, based on NFIB’s monthly economic survey that will be released on Tuesday, September 13, 2011. The survey was conducted in August and reflects 926 randomly-sampled NFIB members:
“We wish there was good news to report, but sadly, we will give you more of the same: The prospects for a good jobs report are dim. In August, small-business owners reported job losses averaging .08 workers per firm over the last three months. This follows a loss of .23 workers per firm reported in June and .15 workers per firm in July. The good news is that the trend is moving in the right direction—losses appear to be decreasing—although it doesn’t seem to be moving fast enough to close the employment void we’ve been experiencing for the last several years.
“Seasonally adjusted, 14 percent of owners reported reducing employment an average of 2.7 workers per firm; that compared to 12 percent of the owners that added an average of 3.1 workers per firm. The remaining 74 percent of owners made no net change in employment (48 percent hired or tried to hire while 33 percent reported few or no qualified applicants for positions). Fifteen percent (seasonally adjusted) reported hard to fill job openings (up 3 points).
“While the readings remain historically weak, we can find a grain of encouragement as we look at hiring prospects. Over the next three months, 11 percent plan to increase employment (up 1 point), and 12 percent plan to reduce their workforce (also up 1 point), yielding a seasonally adjusted net 5 percent of owners planning to create new jobs, which is a 3 point improvement over July. But, let’s not get ahead of ourselves.
“By region, job creation plans were weakest in the Mid-Atlantic, South Atlantic and Pacific states—something that could change dramatically in areas impacted by Hurricane Irene that will require additional workers for cleanup and repairs. By sector, manufacturers made some good news, showing the strongest level of growth among the sectors surveyed, compared to retail and professional service firms which also were positive but slightly weaker. All other industries reported virtually no change with the exception of construction.
“Overall, the employment picture is largely unchanged. We anticipate a weak payroll number and little change in the unemployment rate.”
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NFIB is the nation’s leading small business association, with offices in Washington, D.C., and all 50 state capitals. Founded in 1943 as a nonprofit, nonpartisan organization, NFIB gives small and independent business owners a voice in shaping the public policy issues that affect their business. NFIB’s powerful network of grassroots activists send their views directly to state and federal lawmakers through our unique member-only ballot, thus playing a critical role in supporting America’s free enterprise system. NFIB’s mission is to promote and protect the right of our members to own, operate and grow their businesses. More information is available online at www.NFIB.com/newsroom.





