Archives for October 2015

MBQF Poll: Trump De-Throned In Arizona

Dr. Ben Carson Takes the Lead in Arizona

(Phoenix, AZ) — MBQF, a public affairs consulting firm, announced the results of a recent survey concerning top tier GOP candidates for president of the United States of America.

The results from the survey show high efficacy primary Republican voters across Arizona represented by likely 2016 turnout models.

In the most recent automated telephonic survey of 1,057 high efficacy primary republican voters, conducted on October 29, 2015, the survey calculates a 3.01% theoretical margin of error, plus or minus in percentage points, 95% of the time.

The exact question was phrased, “If the election were held today for the Republican primary for President of the United States, which of the following top 10 candidates, listed in alphabetical order by last name, would you be most likely to vote for?”

AZ GOP Presidential Primary 2016
October 29, 2015 Results
Ben Carson
25.5%
Donald Trump
24.8%
Ted Cruz
15.2%
Marco Rubio
14.8%
Jeb Bush
6.8%
Carly Fiorina
3.5%
John Kasich
3.1%
Chris Christie
2.6%
Mike Huckabee
1.4%
Rand Paul
0.8%
Unsure/Undecided
1.4%

Michael Noble, consultant and pollster, issued the following statement, “Roughly 80% of the electorate is starting to settle on four candidates.  Carson is now slightly ahead of Trump in the overall horse race.  Senator Cruz saw the biggest jump in support, which is likely based on his recent debate performance.  The anti-establishment streak in this years Republican electorate is still running strong.”

For more information about this survey, or a summary of topline data and wording, please contact MBQF Consulting. The margin of error for this survey is +/-3.01%.

For DeWit, the Media Spotlight Trumps Arizona’s K-12 Education

Last night Governor Doug Ducey called a special session in order to approve a K-12 education plan that will put an end to litigation and put $3.5 billion back into K-12 education without raising taxes.

State Treasurer Jeff DeWit has been whining for months about the plan, but he wasn’t in Phoenix yesterday to answer questions or offer any sustentative alternatives. He was in Boulder, Colorado, following around Presidential candidate Donald Trump like an eager puppy. Hopefully, Treasurer DeWit wasn’t seeking financial advice from The Donald.

image1

It’s actually no surprise to see DeWit and Trump together. Both have the same thirst for attention from the media. The mainstream media, all too happy to play-up the egotists and swindlers on the right, are happy to give them the airtime.

Meanwhile, the business of helping Arizona’s children get the funding they need continues. From The Arizona Capitol Times:

 

The House and Senate Appropriations committees began considering the bills at 8:30 a.m. The bills will then head to both chambers’ Rules committees and Republican and Democratic caucuses. Both chambers are scheduled to debate and take a final vote on the package at 1:30 p.m. today.

 

Will DeWit be back in Arizona today or will his need to seek the spotlight trump his phony rhetoric?

INSTANT POLL: Who Won the GOP Debate?

Who won the GOP debate?

MBQF Poll: Joe Arpaio Has 50/50 Chance Of Re-Election

Also, Tested was School Bonds, Pot Convention and Education Tax

(Phoenix, AZ) — MBQF, a public affairs and consulting firm, announced results of a recent survey dealing with the nationally known, Sheriff Joe Arpaio, who could be facing his toughest re-election battle yet.  We also looked at several other current issues in Arizona, primarily within Maricopa County.

In the most recent automated telephonic survey of 559 high efficacy voters in Maricopa County, conducted on October 19, 2015, the survey calculates a 4.14% theoretical margin of error, plus or minus in percentage points, 95% of the time.

The survey asked several questions of voters.  The first was a basic re-elect question regarding Sheriff Joe Arpaio, “Looking ahead to next year’s election for Maricopa County Sheriff, do you think that Joe Arpaio should be re-elected, or do you think that it is time to give someone else a chance?”

Arpaio Re-Elect Question
Results
Should be re-elected
50.45%
Give someone else a chance
49.55%

Party Breakdown

Republicans
Democrats
Independents/PND
Should be re-elected
53%
48%
49%
Give someone else a chance
47%
52%
51%

The second question was phrased, “Recently, the Republican Party of Maricopa County has decided to oppose ALL 28 school district overrides and bond ballot initiatives come this November.  Arizona is one of the lowest ranked states in the United States when it comes to education.  Would you consider the Republican Party of Maricopa Counties stance on these bonds as obstructionist or as fiscal prudence?”

County GOP-No on all Education
Results
Obstructionist
41.50%
Fiscal prudence
39.36%
No opinion
19.14%

The third question was phrased, “Given what you know about Arizona’s education system, would you be willing to pay slightly more generally in taxes to invest in Arizona’s Education System?”

Invest in Education System
Results
Yes
46.33%
No
39.18%
Unsure
14.49%

The fourth question was phrased, “The Phoenix Convention center will be hosting the “Southwest Cannabis Conference & Expo” at the end of this month.  Do you think that is a good idea or bad idea to host this event?”

Pot Expo – Good/Bad?
Results
Good idea to host event
36.31%
Bad idea to host event
29.52%
No opinion
34.17%

Michael Noble, consultant and pollster, issued the following statement:

“With Maricopa County voters split on whether America’s Toughest Sheriff deserves another four years, the data shows Sheriff Joe will have his toughest campaign ever.  Republicans, Democrats, and Independents are near evenly split.  In addition, a small plurality of county voters say they are open to paying more for education.  With most eyes focused on the Presidential election next November, Arizona voters have some big choices.”

For more information about this survey, or a summary of topline data and wording, please contact MBQF Consulting. The margin of error for this survey is +/-4.14%.

POLL: Arizona’s 9th Congressional District

Arizona’s 9th Congressional District is currently held by Democrat Kyrsten Sinema. The congresswoman won re-election in 2014.

The district consists of parts of Phoenix, Ahwatukee, Tempe, Chandler and Scottsdale.

Can Republicans win this seat back or is it a lost cause?

Or, does it take a unique Republican to win in this district?

Let us know what you think.

And vote in our Monday poll!

AP: Ducey won’t restore welfare cuts made during budget crunch

Conservatives across the state should rejoice — we finally have a conservative governor who will do what’s always right, and not what’s always popular.

Gov. Doug Ducey speaks to a town hall meeting at the Department of Economic Security on Oct. 22, 2015. (Photo by Luige del Puerto)

Gov. Doug Ducey speaks to a town hall meeting at the Department of Economic Security on Oct. 22, 2015. (Photo by Luige del Puerto)

 

(Reposted from the Arizona Capitol Times)

By: Bob Christie, Associated Press | October 22, 2015

Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey said Thursday that he won’t seek to reverse cuts to the state’s welfare program made when the state appeared to be facing a major budget crunch, despite a dramatic turnaround in finances.

The Republican governor said that he instead wants government to provide opportunities for the poor and prevent them from being ‘trapped in these government programs.”

Ducey was asked about his plans by The Associated Press after he told hundreds of Department of Economic Security employees: “Our No. 1 obligation not only as public servants but as human beings is to care for those who cannot care for themselves.”

DES is the state’s social welfare agency and oversees welfare, unemployment, child support services and many other programs.

Ducey’s first-year budget limited Arizona families to no more than one year of cash welfare benefits in their lifetime, the shortest period in the nation. The state was facing a possible $1 billion deficit when the law passed in the spring but now expects a $650 million surplus next year.

The general relief welfare program provides up to $278 a month for a family of three and was limited to two years of eligibility.

The cuts approved by the GOP-led Legislature and signed into law by Ducey will lead to 1,600 families being thrown off the state’s welfare rolls starting July 1, 2016. There are exemptions in the new law for some people, including those with disabilities are who are homeless.

The plan is expected to save $4 million in spending in the 2017 budget year and will use the money instead to help fund the state’s child safety agency.

The money is actually federal funds provided to Arizona in a block grant for social welfare programs. Limiting general relief eligibility allows Arizona to use the money in other ways.

Democrats complained bitterly about the cuts when the budget that included the cuts was enacted in March.

“We’re talking about a cash benefit that ultimately goes to take care of food or diapers or whatever necessities the poorest of the poor need,” House Minority Whip Rebecca Rios, D-Phoenix, said at the time. “In fact, it absolutely puts more of the most vulnerable in jeopardy.”

Ducey has defended the cuts, saying they are designed to encourage welfare recipients to find a job. On Thursday, he repeated that intent.

“I think the first role of DES is to help set a social safety net that allows people to enter the workforce, get the help they need and provide the services they need,” the governor said. “It’s part of the reason we’re so focused on growing our economy and having help wanted signs available and having educational opportunities or work training. I want to see people not stuck in a government agency or services. I wanted to see them be able to go out and work and have a productive life.”

The cuts bringing Arizona’s lifetime welfare benefits to one year are the third- time limit cut in five years. They were cut from five years to three in 2010 and to two years in 2011.

UPDATE: New Video of Breitbart Phoenix Meetup Disputes K O’Donnell’s Claim

Kevin O’Donnell the professional poker player and father of K O’Donnell’s owner Jennifer O’Donnell, responded on several social media sites that one of the reasons the mic was cut off at the Breitbart Phoenix Meetup event was that the speakers were swearing over the PA system.  He then moderated his stance stating that the crowd was swearing up a storm which caused KO’s to cut the event short.  It is important to note that Kevin O’Donnell was not at the Breitbart Meetup Wednesday night as he was in Reno likely attending a poker tournament.

A YouTube video posted by ‘streetmanproductions’ from the rear of the room shows there was no swearing at the time the mics were cut, nor immediately prior to the mics being cut. 

Watch the 12 minute clip and decide for yourself:

 

 

RAW STORY: K O’Donnell’s Shuts Down ‘Breitbart Phoenix’ Meetup, Calls Cops on Conservatives

RAW STORY:

  • Event began at 6pm at K O’Donnell’s in Scottsdale (patio area reserved for Breitbart Meetup)
  • At roughly 6:45/7pm meetup began with AWR Hawkins speaking about the purpose of the group & 2nd amendment issues for about 10 minutes
  • Mic was handed over to Brandon Darby of Breitbart TX who began speaking about immigration issues and connections between Mexican & US gangs smuggling meth across border for about 5-7 minutes
  • While Darby was speaking and about to start Q & A, his mic was cut & tv volumes were simultaneously kicked on with the METS/CUBS game sound playing.
  • ALLEGEDLY less than a handful of people complained about topics discussed at our Meetup to Management, & management allegedly told a Breitbart Rep that “You want to exercise your 2nd Amendment Right? Well I’m authorizing our 1st Amendment right and shutting this down.”
  • Roughly 15 minutes later (730-7:45-ish) I noticed SDP on the scene, went outside and saw 4 SPD vehicles then a SPD helicopter was flying overhead with spotlight on our location and instructing attendees to ‘please disperse. head to your vehicles’.
  • Word is that co-owner Jennifer O’Donnell came out to let us know we are not welcome & then kicked shut it down/kicked us out. Others say it was ‘management’, could not confirm who ultimately made the call

Although we cannot confirm at this point whether it was the owner or management who shut us down, it was crystal clear that the ownership affirmed the decision and doesn’t want to serve conservatives. We’re more than happy to oblige.

Breitbart reps confirmed that there will be another meeting announced and will update people via the Meetup page.

Sign up below for more info on the Breitbart MeetUp:

We are Breitbart – Phoenix

Phoenix, AZ
231 Happy Warriors

“Walk toward the fire. Don’t worry about what they call you. All those things are said against you because they want to stop you in your tracks. But if you keep going, you’re …

Check out this Meetup Group →

PICS OF THE EVENT/INCIDENT BELOW:

 

20151021_173855

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20151021_18335320151021_191116

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20151021_191052 20151021_191046

 

Poll: The Republican Race for US Senate

Time to Fire John McCain!

By Retire McCain

It is time for Arizona Senator John McCain to retire! After strings of broken promises and faux conservatism, it is time for fresh new bold conservative leadership for Arizona!