The latest, and most comprehensive of all published polls in this race, make clear that Senator John McCain has taken a commanding lead over the closest other candidate, JD Hayworth. If the election were held today, John McCain would be the determined winner over JD with a 52% to 29% voter breakdown, 14% for Another Candidate and 5% undecided. The calls for Jim Deakin to drop out are clearly a last ditch strategy but, according to this poll, even that would not give Hayworth a winning margin.
US Senate Primary Ballot Test
McCain 52%, Hayworth 29%, Another Candidate 14%, Undecided 5%
The poll likely does not show the full impact of the revealing JD “huckster” ad, as it was conducted on the day the story became news on cable stations and was then picked up by many media outlets.
Conducted by the Republican data group, Magellan Strategies, it reached out to 1139 likely voters across the state. Very indicative of the outcome of the election are the negative numbers for both candidates.
It is quite revealing that the number of folks who have an unfavorable rating of Senator McCain is 1% less than the number of folks with a postive image of Hayworth.
Senate Candidate Image Ratings: John McCain: Favorable 60%, Unfavorable 37% JD Hayworth: Favorable 38%, Unfavorable 50%
Magellan gives McCain good marks for his statewide voter image as an incumbent in this era of anti-incumbency while labeling Hayworth as “upside down” in his favorability ratings; having a far larger number of folks with a unfavorable image than a positive image of any candidate is not a good thing in the final leg of a primary race.
Senator McCain is most strong among women who give him a 36 point advantage. Hayworth does not lead in any group polled in any category.













