Archives for March 2010

Federal health care reform means paying more for less

by Byron Schlomach, Ph.D.
Goldwater Institute
 
One of my relatives received a letter Tuesday from his primary-care physician announcing that he would no longer accept private insurance or government payment. This doctor is moving immediately to accepting only direct payment from patients for his services. This is just the beginning of a cascade of consequences from passage of the federal health care bill.

Here’s some insight into things to come:

· Health insurance will get more expensive for most of us. A few unhealthy people will spend less because of federal subsidies. But two mandates make higher premiums inevitable: Everyone is guaranteed insurance coverage and everyone in your community will pay the same premium. Combine these requirements with the relatively modest IRS fine for not buying insurance as required by law, and it increases the likelihood that only the already-sick will buy coverage. Therefore, insurance premiums will increase.

· It will become harder to get health care. Many doctors, like my relative’s physician, will stop taking insurance (private or government-run), or they will move to another country where we can visit them. Or they will just leave the profession, not wanting to deal with the intrusion that will accompany the new federal mandates.

· States will raise taxes. The federal law expands Medicaid and states are required to match federal funding for the program. States are not as free to borrow and they cannot print money like the federal government. Short of miraculous levels of revenue growth then, states will have to raise taxes to cover the new mandatory expense.

This will only be the beginning. We may not be able to see the ultimate end today, but one thing is certain: save for the few, health care in America just got a lot more expensive.

Dr. Byron Schlomach is an economist and the director of the Center for Economic Prosperity at the Goldwater Institute.

Rally at State Capitol Friday with Joe the Plumber against Brewer’s sales tax

A m e r i c a n P o s t – G a z e t t e

Distributed by C O M M O N S E N S E , in Arizona

Wednesday, March 24, 2010

Meet Joe the Plumber at AZ State Capitol
Rally against Brewer’s proposed 18% sales tax

Dear Arizona Taxpayer–

This Friday, March 26, from 11:00 am to 1:00 pm, several pro-taxpayer
organizations will join with citizen activists at the Arizona Capitol
to rally against Proposition 100–the 18-percent increase in the state
sales tax that will be on the May 18 ballot.  Special guest speaker Joe
the Plumber will be there, and we will hear statements from several
officials and candidates who oppose raising taxes in the middle of a
tough recession.  AFP Arizona will deploy its gigantic inflatable ATM
bank machine to tell tax-hiking politicians that Arizona families,
workers, and businesses are Already Taxed to the Max!  Details below.

AX THE TAX — Rally Against the Sales Tax Hike

Vote NO on the Prop 100 Sales Tax Hike on May 18!

Special Speaker:    Joe the Plumber

Date:  Friday, March 26

Time: 11:00 am to 1:00 pm

City:  PHOENIX

Host(s):  AFP Arizona, Ax the Tax Committee, National Federation of
Independent Business, PAChyderm Coalition, Arizona Free Enterprise
Club, The 2010 Project, North Phoenix Tea Party, Mesa Tea Party, East
Valley Tea Party Patriots, et al

Location:  Arizona State Capitol, Senate Lawn, 1700 W. Washington,
Phoenix, 85007

Map:
http://capwiz.com/americansforprosperity/utr/1/EEYHMGGXMM/BHMWMGHCBY/4903700601

RSVP:  Tom Jenney,
tjenney@afphq.org, Thayer Verschoor, axthetax@cox.net

Public Officials & Candidates:  Write to
axthetax@cox.net for
information on joining the Ax the Tax Committee and opportunities to
speak at this event.

More info/flyer:
http://capwiz.com/americansforprosperity/utr/1/EEYHMGGXMM/FDFWMGHCBZ/4903700601

More taxpayer events at
www.aztaxpayers.org Scroll down to Upcoming
Taxpayer Events, under “What’s New.”

For Liberty,

Tom

Tom Jenney
Arizona Director
Americans for Prosperity
Arizona Federation of Taxpayers)
www.aztaxpayers.org
tjenney@afphq.org

(602) 478-0146.

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Kelly calls for Jonathan Paton to sign the Taxpayer Protection Pledge

Jesse Kelly for Congress For Immediate Release March 24, 2010

Jesse Kelly, the leading conservative in the AZ 8 Republican Primary, understands free markets and the necessity to cut taxes in order to create jobs. One of Kelly’s first actions as a candidate for US Congress was to sign the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, promising his constituents that he will not raise taxes when in Washington. His main primary opponent, Jonathan Paton has refused to sign the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, claiming, “it’s [the pledge] still promising something that somebody else is going to hold you to” (Arizona Daily Star 8/23/09.) Jesse Kelly responded, saying, “Our public servants must be held accountable for their actions. It is a red flag when a career politician who voted for Janet Napolitano’s billion dollar spending increase hedges on future tax votes. I call on Jonathan Paton to explain why he refuses to sign the Taxpayer Protection Pledge.” Jesse Kelly is a Republican candidate for Arizona’s Eighth Congressional District in the southeastern region of the state.

For more information on the Jesse Kelly campaign please visit VoteJesseKelly.com or send an e-mail to jesse@votejessekelly.com.

###

Paid for by Kelly for Congress

Arizona hog-tied by federal mandates

by Nick Dranias
Goldwater Institute
 
Until recently, state and local government interaction with the federal government seemed to consist mostly of local and state officials asking D.C. for more money. As a result, many states, counties and cities have ended up on their backs, hog-tied by federal mandates. What James Madison called our “compound republic” cannot stand unless state and local governments recognize their obligation to join with the people in resisting federal overreach.

Fortunately, several bills before the Arizona Legislature would let local officials stand shoulder-to-shoulder with Arizonans in fending off expanded federal regulations. For example, SCR1050, the “Freedom to Breathe Amendment,” seeks to amend the state constitution to resist federal regulation of harmless carbon dioxide emissions. Senate Bill 1098 and House Bill 2307 would authorize in-state firearms manufacturing and sales under state regulations that are far less burdensome than federal rules. HB 2337 challenges the federal government’s effort to ban the in-state manufacturing of incandescent light bulbs. And SB 1398 would mandate that counties, cities and towns use their existing rights under federal law to require federal agencies to reduce the burden of any new regulation.

During the November general election, Arizona voters will consider two other measures already referred to the ballot by the Legislature: the Health Care Freedom Act and Save Our Secret Ballot, which respectively can protect the right of Arizonans to make their own health care decisions and guarantee Arizonans the right to a secret ballot vote during union-organizing elections.

Arizona is brimming with ideas that could make it routine and mandatory for state and local public officials to challenge unconstitutional federal government encroachment at every turn.

Far from an exercise in futility, such legislation reflects the public’s desire to preserve the U.S. Constitution’s separation of powers between the state and federal governments. Consistent resistance to unconstitutional federal action cannot help but chasten federal officials who might otherwise regulate without restraint.

Nick Dranias holds the Clarence J. and Katherine P. Duncan Chair for Constitutional Government and is Director of the Joseph and Dorothy Donnelly Moller Center for Constitutional Government at the Goldwater Institute.

Interesting and Sad Observation on the McCain-Palin Association

We’ve been reading the comments on John McCain’s Facebook page related to Sarah Palin’s upcoming visit and it is stunning to read that many of McCain’s supporters speak directly to McCain arguing that it is a huge mistake to even associate with Sarah Palin. Here is an example:

McCain Supporters Despise Palin
BradRoss
ColinOlson
DanaBates
DavidLavacque
ElisaCintron
HimesScireHaz
JerryDagna
JoshuaPfaff

We’re willing to bet that JD Hayworth’s supporters are more than willing to welcome Sarah Palin into his campaign. It only makes sense that JD’s people are the same as Sarah’s people.

Election 2010: GOP’s Martin, Mills Lead Goddard, AG tops Governor

Rasmussen Reports – Tuesday, March 23, 2010

Likely Democratic candidate Terry Goddard now trails two potential Republican opponents in the latest look at Arizona’s gubernatorial contest.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in the state finds State Treasurer Dean Martin leading Goddard 43% to 38%. Just six percent (6%) favor some other candidate in this match-up, while 13% are undecided. In January, Martin led Goddard by nine points.

Political newcomer Buz Mills, who has begun introducing himself to the state through a series of TV ads, now leads Goddard 43% to 37%. Seven percent (7%) prefer another candidate in this match-up, while 13% are not sure.

But incumbent Republican Governor Jan Brewer, embroiled in the state’s budget crisis, now trails Goddard 45% to 36% in her bid for reelection. Twelve percent (12%) of voters like another candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided. In January, Brewer and Goddard were in a virtual tie after the Democrat held a nine-point lead in November.

Against former state GOP Chairman John Munger, Goddard holds a 42% to 36% advantage. Thirteen percent (13%) of voters pick some other candidate, and nine percent (9%) are undecided.

In the state’s Republican Primary race for governor, Mills’ entrance has created a virtual three-way tie with Martin and Brewer. Longtime incumbent John McCain now leads conservative challenger J.D. Hayworth by just seven points in Arizona’s hotly contested Republican Senate Primary race. State Republicans will pick their Senate and gubernatorial nominees in an August 24 primary. Goddard, the state’s current attorney general, is expected to be the Democrats’ nominee for governor.

Male voters prefer Martin and Mills to Goddard among male voters but move into the Democrat’s column when Brewer or Munger is the Republican in the race. Female voters lean toward the Democrat unless Martin’s on the ballot.

Similarly, voters not affiliated with either party prefer Goddard over Brewer or Munger. But unaffiliateds give a slight edge to Martin and Mills over Goddard in those match-ups.

Fifteen percent (15%) of Arizona voters have a very favorable opinion of Goddard, while 13% view the Democrat very unfavorably.

Martin is viewed very favorably by 11% and very unfavorably by seven percent (7%).

Ten percent (10%) of voters have a very favorably impression of Mills, while only nine percent (9%) view him very unfavorably. Thirty-nine percent (39%) have no opinion of him.

Fewer than 10% of voters have a strong favorable or unfavorable opinion of Munger, while 40% of voters don’t know enough about him to venture any opinion at all.

Seven percent (7%) of Arizona voters view Brewer very favorably, but 24% view the governor very unfavorably.

At this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with strong opinions more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers.

Just 41% approve of the job Brewer is doing in office, while 55% disapprove. This includes eight percent (8%) who Strongly Approve and 22% who Strongly Disapprove.

Brewer, as Arizona’s secretary of state, became governor last January when Janet Napolitano moved to Washington to serve as secretary of Homeland Security. But battles over the state budget have taken a toll on her popularity and prompted challenges within her own party. Brewer is currently pushing a three-year temporary one percent increase in the state’s 5.6 percent sales tax to help close the state’s huge budget deficit. Voters will decide on that proposal in a May 18 referendum.

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters in the state now favor the temporary sales tax increase, but 36% oppose it. Eleven percent (11%) are undecided.

Thirty-five percent (35%) say the economy will be stronger a year from now, but 44% think it will be weaker. Thirteen percent (13%) expect it to stay about the same.

Eighty-five percent (85%) of Arizona voters are at least somewhat concerned about drug-related violence in Mexico spilling over into the United States, with 60% who are very concerned. Given Arizona’s location, it comes as no surprise that its voters are more concerned about this outcome than voters on the national level.

However, Arizona voters are split on the question of what concerns them more: 45% say illegal immigration is a greater concern, while 43% name Mexican drug violence.

Seventy-five percent (75%) of Arizona voters believe the U.S. military should be used along the Mexican border if violence continues to escalate there. Just 12% disagree. These results are similar to those found nationwide.

Only 36% of voters in Arizona favor the health care reform plan passed by President Obama and Congress, while 60% disapprove. Voters in Arizona are more opposed to the plan than voters on the national level.

By a 62% to 29% margin, Arizona voters prefer passing smaller plans that address individual problems in the health care system than one large comprehensive plan.

A solid plurality of the state’s voters (48%) says their local representative does not deserve to be reelected to Congress, and 71% believe it would be better for the country if most incumbents up for reelection this November were defeated.

Twenty-seven percent (27%) of Arizona voters describe themselves as part of the Tea Party movement.

In the 2008 election, Obama lost to favorite son McCain 54% to 45%. Forty-two percent (42%) now approve of Obama’s performance as president, with 29% who Strongly Approve. Fifty-six percent (56%) disapprove, including 51% who Strongly Disapprove. This is roughly comparable to Obama’s job approval ratings nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

In 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected nationally that Obama would defeat John McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama won 53% to 46%. Four years earlier, Rasmussen Reports projected the national vote totals for both George W. Bush and John Kerry within half-a-percentage-point.

In Arizona during the 2008 campaign, Rasmussen Reports polling showed McCain winning the state by a 51% to 45% margin. McCain defeated Obama 54% to 45%. In the 2006 Arizona governor’s race, Rasmussen polling showed Janet Napolitano defeating Len Munsil 58% to 37%. Napolitano won 63% to 35%. In the 2006 race for U.S. Senate, Rasmussen polling showed Jon Kyl leading Jim Pederson by nine, 51% to 42%. Kyl won by nine, 53% to 44%.

Full-day kindergarten offers no long-term learning boost

by Le Templar
Goldwater Institute
 
A story last week in the Arizona Republic implied that the loss of state funding for full-day kindergarten will permanently hamper the education of schoolchildren. But this simply is not the case.

In 2005, the Goldwater Institute conducted a comprehensive review of education progress locally and across the country of students that enrolled in pre-school, half-day kindergarten and full-day kindergarten. This review of all available scientific research found that some full-day kindergarten students fared slightly better in reading, writing and math in the first grade, but this advantage fades rather quickly. By the end of third grade, students who had enrolled in full-day kindergarten performed no better in their classes than students who went to kindergarten for a half-day only (which Arizona is still funding). More recently, a study by the U.S. Health and Human Services Department released in January 2010 found that any benefits from Head Start pre-school classes disappear by the end of first grade. Simply put, all-day kindergarten, pre-school, and other early childhood education programs are not effective over time.

Many public schools have said they are going to provide full-day kindergarten despite the loss of state dollars, even if they have to charge families for the classes. The Legislature and Governor Jan Brewer wisely decided to focus on preventing the state from going bankrupt while letting local schools weigh the value of offering full-day kindergarten against other priorities that compete for limited tax dollars.

Le Templar is the communications director for the Goldwater Institute.

New Endorsements in LD6 Races

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

State Senate candidate Lori Klein picked up several new endorsements as Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio and County Attorney Andrew Thomas have both endorsed her campaign for the seat vacated by Pamela Gorman who is now running for Congress in CD3.

Klein and her two House running-mates, current State Representative Carl Seel and newcomer David Fitzgerald (running for the seat vacated by Sam Crump who is also running for Congress in CD3) were also endorsed by former State Representative Sam Crump.

The entire team also told PCs at their district meeting on Monday night that they have all collected more than enough signatures to qualify for the ballot, including the extra signatures that candidates collect to survive challenges.

Klein is also having a private fundraiser later this week with Joe Wurzelbacher, known to most as Joe the Plumber.  Worzelbacher, who gained fame during the 2008 Presidential primary, is a taxpayer advocate and supporter of the Fair Tax.  He will also be headlining a rally for Ax The Tax – No on Prop 100, this Friday at the State Capitol.  Klein estimated that the Senate race would cost more than $60,000, but that she was ahead of pace to raise that money.

J.D. Hayworth Issues Statement on Health Care Bill

JD Hayworth for US Senate

For Immediate Release: Monday, March 22, 2010

“Arizonans across the state have spoken, and the overwhelming message is that you do not want the health care bill that was passed last night,” US Senate candidate J.D. Hayworth said today.

“Devoted to your concerns, I have already pledged to do everything in my power to repeal a federal health care takeover by signing the ‘Repeal It!’ Pledge issued by the Club for Growth. I urge my opponent to do so as well.”

“From the onset, I have opposed a federal health care takeover. On my radio program, I regularly spoke with Arizonans about the disastrous effects the proposed, and now passed, health care legislation could have on Arizonans. As a broadcaster, my role was simply to engage in dialogue. As a U.S. Senator, I will be duty bound to act. Had I been serving in the U.S. Senate in December when the Senate voted on this bill, I would have done everything in my power to stop it. Unlike my opponent, I would have demanded the bill be read in its entirety, even though it would have meant keeping the Senate in session over Christmas.”

“The health care bill is estimated to cost Arizona taxpayers $4 billion in unfunded mandates, while making $500 billion in cuts to Medicare and massive reductions in Veterans’ health care. Furthermore, the legislation creates an avalanche of new agencies, rules and regulations that will vastly expand federal power over the most intimate aspects of each of our lives. It also contains unsustainable, unconstitutional and unaffordable mandates on the states and on individuals alike, including an unprecedented requirement that citizens buy private insurance policies.”

“I support legal challenges to the health care bill’s enforcement as well as legislative efforts toward its repeal.”

Arpaio Continues Record Fundraising Pace

For Immediate Release: Monday, March 22, 2010

Sheriff to Decide on Run for Governor Soon

PHOENIX, AZ – Sheriff Joe Arpaio of Maricopa County continues his record-breaking pace of raising campaign funds for re-election. In just twelve months, Arpaio has raised $2 million from supporters in Arizona and around the country.

“I am deeply humbled and tremendously grateful for the outpouring of support from my constituents and others who support my policies,” said Arpaio.

Arpaio’s campaign manager and architect of the fundraising program, Chad Willems of the Phoenix-based Summit Consulting Group, stated, “The level of support for the Sheriff and his policies is simply staggering. Just when we think it’s going to slow down the contributions just keep pouring in,” said Willems.

“America’s Toughest Sheriff” is still receiving contributions from literally every state in the Union but the vast majority of those are coming from Maricopa County and other counties in Arizona. The campaign announced in January of this year a goal of reaching $1.5 million by March, but easily exceeded that goal by half a million dollars.

Arpaio credits this level of support to his get-tough policies on crime, animal abusers, the operation of his jails, including Tent City, public corruption investigations, and his policies to arrest and detain illegal immigrants and human smugglers.

In recent public opinion surveys, Arpaio’s approval numbers among Arizona voters of all parties poll above 60%. Because of his high approval ratings and ability to raise funds, Arpaio has stated that he is still considering a run for Governor. Recent polls show Arpaio leading all filed candidates and potential candidates in the race for governor by wide margins. A decision on entering the race will be made soon.