The Arizona Republic reported today that Minuteman co-founder, Chris Simcox, won’t get out of the US Senate race if JD Hayworth enters to challenge John McCain. When asked by a Republic reporter, Simcox responded with “No way in hell.” That’s a little more harsh than JD’s normal “H-E-double hockey stick” response.

Simcox doesn’t realize it yet but a JD entry into the race will leave him gasping for campaign cash and petition signatures.  He may have no other choice than to abandon his pursuit of John McCain. The other low profile candidate in the race, Jim Deakin, is also considered an outsider in a political system that favors incumbents and high name ID candidates.

While both Simcox and Deakin may have great conservative credentials on paper, the odds are dramatically stacked against them. They have little or no name ID, a trickle of campaign donations and no way of self-financing. They are entirely grassroots campaigns trying to gain traction in a world of monster truck candidates. JD entering the race will relegate their campaigns to short-lived political footnotes.

In the 20 years I’ve been involved in political campaigns, the reality is that Mr. Deakin and Mr. Simcox, short of a miracle, don’t have a chance to go the distance and impact the race. I wish them the best but watch where the winds of resources blow if JD Hayworth enters the race. And even if he doesn’t get in, those winds will die to a doldrum as John McCain does not face a serious challenge.