So the state convention went well and McCain is all but officially the nominee. The electoral map looks good but the likely Democratic nominee, while weaker than Senator Clinton nationally, is stronger in Arizona. Even though the McCain forces won on Saturday some of them were not smiling. Maybe the following possibility is keeping them up at night.

Senator Obama wins his party’s nomination. In a recent poll he was only 9% behind McCain. Obama chooses Governor Napolitano as his running mate and then the Obama ticket is only 4% behind in the state. Then McCain chooses Lindsey Graham as his running mate. Graham is heckled on a visit to the state and tells the heckler to “just shut up.” Some conservatives are offended and Obama is only 2% behind. The Bob Barr makes a whistle stop tour through the state and speaks to audiences in Phoenix and Tucson. Obama is only 1% behind. Then election day arrives and it’s time to count the ballots. Sleep well.