
The speaker at today’s luncheon meeting of the Pima County Republican Club was Senate President Tim Bee. The reception from the club members was very positive. Senator Bee spoke about the recent budget and other issues of important to Southern Arizona. He also discussed his bill that passed this session aimed at helping victims of domestic violence (SB 1227.) As one of the leading elected Republican officials in all of Southern Arizona he continues to enjoy rock star status, with everyone wanting to shake his hand and say hello.
The contributors at Sonoran Alliance have no direct knowledge of his plans but our best guess is that he will make a move for the district 8 congressional race before late fall, possible much earlier. Our guess is that he will run for the seat, with an official announcement when permitted by the state’s resign to run law. Either way his many years of distinguished public service have clearly earned him a little while longer before another Republican decides he/she wants to run.
Speaking of someone else running on the Republican side we are hearing rumors of a doctor that teaches Environmental and Occupational Diseases at the University of Arizona wanting to get in the race. This would be a TOTAL disaster. First, if for some reason Tim Bee decides not to run for CD-8 the next in line is Representative Jonathan Paton. A few people would even prefer to see Paton run this time but in a brilliant show of party discipline Paton is holding tight for now.
Secondly, anyone running against Bee in the primary would loose. No amount of money will make up for the years of name recognition and goodwill that Bee has built up within the party in Southern Arizona. If Bee for some reason does not enter then Paton surely will and the same prediction for a primary victory applies to him. CD-8 is not just about the money. Certainly a lot of it will be required to unseat a Democrat incumbent but name recognition and broad party support would also be essential. Bee and Paton have both of those. The only other person who might have similar attributes is Pima County Supervisor Ray Carroll and we have not heard any mention of his name this cycle.
The only effect that would result from a no name entering the Republican lineup would be to drain vital financial resources away from the eventual nominee, who will be either Bee or Paton (barring a realignment of the planets.) The incumbent has some vulnerabilities and the proper Republican candidate will have a good chance of winning the general. A hopeless primary challenge will have no other effect than to weaken the chances for a Republican victory in November. With a tough race ahead in CD-5 and possibly CD-1 the Republican Party can ill afford to make any mistakes this cycle.

