1. Start with the list of endorsements provided by both campaigns. No, not the entire list of everyone who claims to be a supporter, but just the names of people who are also State Committeemen.
2. When a husband and wife are both State Committeemen and only one appears as an endorsement while the other does not, we assume that the spouse WILL vote for the same candidate.
3. Where both candidates claim the endorsement of the same person, we try to contact that person and determine who they are actually supporting.
As of Thursday, January 25th, the vote count stands as follows:
Randy Pullen – 379 of which 1 is questionable
Lisa James – 131 of which 1 is questionable
Unclaimed – 330
Both candidates claim the support of the same 5 people, but Pullen has the signatures of 2 on support cards while a third person tells West Washington that he did not tell Lisa he was supporting her and that he is supporting Pullen. We have resolved one of the remaining two cases who says that she is supporting Pullen. The other one remains unreachable, so we have left their vote on BOTH vote counts.
Privately, Pullen’s campaign is indicating that they now have well in excess of the number of votes needed to win. Some of these votes do not wish to be seen publicly endorsing Pullen because they do not want to upset their Congressman or district leadership, so they have asked not to be listed on Pullen’s website. We do not include those figures because we believe that the most accurate count is of those who will publicly stand with a candidate. Those who do so privately may well be making the same promise to both candidates. Nevertheless, Pullen would need only 40 votes out of the 330 votes still outstanding to win and it is highly likely that he has those commitments already. Furthermore, his already substantial lead would strongly suggest that even if he had no additional votes at this time, he would not have troubling attracting the support of a mere 12%-13% of the remaining voters.
At this time, Eyes on West Washington is calling the race for Randy Pullen.
If Randy does in fact win, then we will have invented “Entrance Polling” and we will be considered very cool. If Randy does not win, then we shall never speak of this again!
Next week, we shall turn our eyes back to West Washington for more news!